Published 11/1/2008
at WSJ.com: Washington Wire
The polls are definitely tightening as we head into the final sprint, but the truth is the momentums still with Sen. Barack Obama , writes Washingtonpost.coms Chris Cillizza . Indiana, where Sen. John McCain is up three points according to a Rasmussen poll, is a prime example of how McCain might be getting a small boost but not a surge. George W. Bush carried the state by 21 points in 2004. The very idea that Indiana is shaping up to be a nip and tuck race seems to belie the Republican argument that things are moving in McCains direction in the final days
Even the most ardent Democratic strategists largely agree privately that the ideological makeup of the country probably prevents Obama from winning 55 percent of the vote or more, which would amount to an electoral vote landslide. But, a natural tightening does not equal momentum. At least not yet.
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