Published 11/3/2008
at WSJ.com: Washington Wire
Laura Meckler reports from Washington on the presidential race:
He was the architect of the last presidential victory. Will he be the prognosticator of the next?
On his Web site, Karl Rove has been tracking polling in all 50 states, classifying each one as red for John McCain , blue for Barack Obama or yellow for toss-up. But as of today, there are no more toss-ups: every state is assigned to either Obama or McCain, based on polling.
The result: a huge Obama win.
If his forecast were to come true, the Democrat would take 338 electoral votes — 68 more than needed to win. McCain would win 200.
His projections are hardly wild. Of the six Republican-leaning states that have been more fiercely contested in recent days, he gives Ohio, Florida and Virginia to Obama, but Missouri, Indiana and North Carolina to McCain. He allocates Pennsylvania, which McCain has been trying for, to Obama, as do most if not all other independent guessers working off public polls.
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