To intimidate the MSM, Barack Obama needs a landslide Electoral College victory
BuzzFlash.org - Progressive News and Commentary with an Attitude | Fight Ignorance: Read BuzzFlash —
... votes and Reagan had 489 votes. In 1980, Carter only won Georgia, Minnesota, West Virginia, Maryland, Rhode Island, Hawaii, and the District of Columbia. Reagan took the rest. If Obama wants respect from the MSM, the map will need to have a lot more blue. The fact that Reagan had 489 electoral votes, even though his overall percentage wasn't that high, intimidated the MSM into giving him respect. The last Democratic president to get more than 400 Electoral College votes was Lyndon Johnson in 1964 -- 486 votes. Barry Goldwater won Arizona, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, ...
For McCain, It’s All About Ohio
Firedoglake —
... Nevada (up 2), Montana (down 3) and Colorado (down 2).
Failing that, he'd have to cobble together a whole series of upsets, like New Mexico (where he's down 5), Minnesota (down 7) and Iowa (down 5). But even then, that would also mean that McSame would have to win just about every state where Obama's pushing him -- states like Colorado, Nevada, Montana, North Dakota, Missouri, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.
There's a handy electoral college map simulator here. See for yourself.
The whole thing's going to come down to Ohio, again. It's a big union ...
Wargaming the Electoral College
Vodkapundit —
... The way 270toWin does its math, with this scenario, Obama has a 71% chance of winning, McCain 17%, and a 12% chance of… a tie. But the odds go down to 35% for Obama and up to 38% for McCain if you color Virginia red — and I remain convinced that Virginia won’t go blue before 2012. The chances for a tie, however, more than double. This might be a good time to pour yourself a drink. Tagged as: ...
McCain Reportedly Pulling Out of Michigan
MoJo Blog Posts: mojo —
... in the state and moving most staff to more competitive battlegrounds. The move means that McCain is not playing offense in any 2004 Kerry states except New Hampshire, which has just four electoral votes. ...
Fun historical maps
The Monkey Cage —
Here.
Political Junkies Only
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
Some very cool maps of past election results. They go all the way back to George Washington.
Left Hooks - In Between Debates Edition
Politics Daily —
... Al Franken may actually beat incumbent Republican Norm Coleman for the Minnesota open Senate seat! Heh. Author Carl Bernstein (All the President's Men, A Woman in Charge) tell us how he REALLY feels about McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate and quotes a former Republican White House COS agreeing, "Palin is evidence of desperation; she is an embarrassment." That is the bottom line." Andrew Sullivan found a great website that shows electoral maps all the way back to Washington. It's very cool - check it ...
How They Voted
PoliGazette —
... Here’s a site with maps showing the electoral vote count and popular vote count of every U.S. presidential election back to 1789. Maybe not interesting to all, but it was to me. ...
Campaign 08: McCain's Pennsylvania Plan
The Nation: Top Stories —
... .'") Hillary placed all her hopes on beating Obama in Pennsylvania, but by the time she won the state she was so far behind in delegates that it didn't matter. McCain could find himself in a similar electoral predicament. Obama can prevail without Pennsylvania, so long as he wins Iowa, New Mexico, Colorado, Virginia and Florida and holds all the other Kerry states. That scenario, which I just projected on the addictive site 270towin.com , has Obama losing Nevada, Missouri, Ohio, North Carolina and Indiana, all states in which he currently has a decent shot or better. Losing ...
Time to Put Up or Shut Up
Rising Hegemon —
... NV (5), NY (31), OH (20), OR (7), PA (21), RI (4), VA (13), VT (3), WA (11), WI (10) McBUSH: Obscurity Three GOP House Asshats I most want to see crushed: 1. Musgrave (CO) 2. Bachmann (MN) 3. Garrett (NJ) Two GOP Senate Asshats I most want to see crushed: 1. Coleman (MN) 2. McConnell (KY) Put your fearless election predictions/desires in comments. (No science here, people. Just looking at all the same sites you look at, plus making a few wild guesses and flipping a few coins.)
Electoral Map:
The Volokh Conspiracy —
You can look at the electoral maps for all previous presidential elections at sites like this and this . The electoral map that bears the closest resemblance to the predictions for 2008 is 1896 . And it is a pretty close resemblance. There is one small difference, though: the parties have flipped. The core of the Democratic party in 1896 was the South and the Interior West (the plains states west to Nevada, but not including California and Oregon). The rest of the country went to the Republicans. I'm not the first to note this inversion, and political ...
Pollsters Need The Anecdote Factor
Classical Values —
... side by side with fundamentalist conservatives against Obama . That is not supposed to be possible. It is like the lion lying down with the lamb. Historical. A change of Biblical proportions even. You know, this may be the beginning of a political re-alignment. Or at least the beginning of respect. In any case there is much more I haven't covered. You should read it all. And for those of you who want to follow along here are some interactive electoral maps: CNN electoral map Not a CNN electoral map Cross Posted at Power and Control
The Big Day is Finally Here
Newshoggers.com —
... By BJ
Via the Swing State Project, a handy guide for when the results will start to come in. Well, except for the first two towns to vote, which both went for Obama.
Speaking of maps, the one over at 270towin should prove a useful toy for the evening. Regardless whether or not the networks decide to call things early on or not, such a map will make it pretty obvious which way the night is going to go.
Now we just get to sit around and worry for a few hours. ...

