Submit a Story!
A Few Thoughts About the State Polls
Friday, I posted a review of where things stand right now in the state races. As I wrote at the time, I do not believe they will actually shake out exactly that way in the end, for a number of reasons, but the numbers are valid, even if they are a bit unexpected in places. Some states have been ...
A Note on the Polls
A Note on the Polls
realclearpolitics.com — I've received several emails from people asking about the polls. The national polls do seem pretty variable,... so I thought I would toss in my two cents on them. First, we need a short primer on basic statistics. Real Clear... (more) A Note on the Polls
Does America remain a center-right nation? | Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State
Does America remain a center-right nation? | Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State
redbluerichpoor.com — October 19th, 2008, by Andrew Two interesting articles in Newsweek: Jon Meacham writes that “America remains a... center-right nation,” and Jonathan Alter replies that “we’re heading left once again.” Here’s Meacham: So are we a centrist country, or a ... (more) Does America remain a center-right nation? | Red State, ...
Polls, Polls
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com — If you read Drudge, you might believe that there's a one-point gap between Obama and McCain, and... it's neck and neck in the final stretch. If you read 538, you find that McCain's chances of winning this election just shrank dramatically to 3.7 percent ... (more) Polls, Polls
Comments
Blog Reactions

Gallup Poll declares defeat…
neo-neocon — …for itself. [Via American Digest.] [ADDENDUM: DJ Drummond explains further.]

Obama Plummets Among Independents, Lead Down to Three Points
Stop The ACLU — ... to be in good shape. You’re going to see them drop. There’s nothing automatic about this at all.” Lowering expectations and blaming it on racism all at once, that takes talent. I’ll add this much as well. I thought McCain was on fire in the last debate. The media, including FOX, gave the win to Obama. I completely disagreed, and I think we may be seeing a bump for McCain from his actual win of the debate. Also read AJ Strata’s excellent analysis of the polls. …and DJ Drummond’s anaylsis.

Related Content
First thoughts: Hillary at State?
firstread.msnbc.msn.com 11/14/2008 — From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Carrie Dann *** Hillary at State? As we've learned with anything regarding the Clintons, one never knows exactly how serious the speculation might be. But let's assume the news -- reported ...
The State Of the Races
washingtonpost.com 11/2/2008 — Polls Show Obama Leading in States Whose Electoral Votes Total Nearly 300, and the Democrats Heading Toward Expanded House and Senate Majorities Washington Post Staff Writers Sunday, November 2, 2008; Page AA01
First thoughts: In with the new...
firstread.msnbc.msn.com 10/29/2008 —  From Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Carrie Dann*** In with the new… : A brand-new NBC/WSJ/MySpace poll illustrates not only McCain’s challenge come Election Day, but also the challenge the Republican Party could face in future ...
Real Time Economics : State-by-State Polls Compared to Economic Indicators
blogs.wsj.com 11/2/2008 — Tip O’Neill once declared that “all politics is local.” The economy has become the central issue in the 2008 presidential campaign, but not all states are feeling the downturn equally. The following chart illustrates the economic differences among the ...
2008 Election Day State by State Poll Closing Times
270towin.com 10/21/2008 — Adjusted to Eastern Time (ET), these are the closing times for the polls in each state. This is likely to be the earliest time that results will be reported, and a winner possibly projected, for each state. Note that states that span multiple time ...
Debate polls
washingtonmonthly.com 10/16/2008 — DEBATE POLLS.... Everyone who watched last night's debate came to their own conclusions about the candidates' performances, but there's that other question to consider: what did everyone else think? Reiterating a point from previous post-debate ...
State polls show Obama with advantage in key battlegrounds
politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com 10/20/2008 — Obama holds an advantage in several key battlegrounds. (CNN) — A string of new state polls suggests Barack Obama still holds an advantage in several key battleground states, and is within single digits in a state that has voted Republican in ...
Election Thoughts
pajamasmedia.com 11/5/2008 — What makes me angriest: that there is no outcry against election fraud; that the media have become pure political instruments; that our “educational system” has produced an ignorant electorate. Years and years ago, during Watergate, ...
Are the Polls Accurate?
online.wsj.com 10/22/2008 — Can we trust the polls this year? That's a question many people have been asking as we approach the end of this long, long presidential campaign. As a recovering pollster and continuing poll consumer, my answer is yes -- with qualifications. To start ...
Election 2008: what really happened | Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State
redbluerichpoor.com 11/5/2008 — Election 2008: what really happened November 5th, 2008, by Andrew After a quick look at the election results and exit polls (from www.cnn.com), some thoughts: 1. The election was pretty close. Obama won by about 5% of the vote, consistent with the ...