pollster.com - 1/8/2009
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I believe that race was a factor in this election. Given the state of the economy, a Democrat should have won with at least 55% of the vote. Exit polls showed that Hillary Clinton would have won by 11 points. According to the exit polls, Obama received 43% of the white vote, only 2 points higher ...
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Race, the Economy, and the 2008 Election
The Monkey Cage —
Over at Pollster, and very much apropos of the post Andy links to below, Mark Blumenthal links to this piece by Marc Ambinder, which talks about the Obama campaign’s strategy to deal with his race.
The thrust of Ambinder’s piece is that once Obama’s team realized he had captured the black vote, they were free to appeal to white voters. In particular, they could appeal even to those white voters who demonstrated a degree of racial aversion by trying to capitalize on their economic situation:
These voters were ...
Post-Racial?
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
Blumenthal praises Ambers' new piece on how the Obama campaign approached race. Cornell Belcher, one of Obama's pollsters, gives his take: Belcher resampled the white voters whose racial animus he had measured before. More than half had voted for McCain, but not by an overwhelming margin. Belcher concluded that Obama might have done better among them had he not been black. In 1992, Belcher noted, 85 percent of voters who said the economy was bad broke for Bill Clinton. In 2008, in a verifiably worse economic climate, only 66 percent of voters who said ...
Did Race Win the Election for Obama?
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right —
... intended to represent a criticism of their scholarship. Once you want to break the vote down by demographics, I agree that ethnicity is the biggest factor (with age being an important predictor also, much more than in the past). But when it comes to the national outcome, I'd say that the #1 feature of the election was a bad economy that produced a national swing toward the Democrats in general and Obama and particular. P.S. Comments here from John Sides. who links to this article by Mark Blumenthal and this by Marc Ambinder. John writes that "Most ...
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Re: Race and the Presidential Race
corner.nationalreview.com 10/30/2008 — It turns out that I'm wrong to think that Obama's election would have even symbolic benefit. Hans Bader informs us that Harvard law professor Charles Ogletree, "Obama's top advisor on race issues, explains that since Obama is 'biracial,' his election ...
Correcting Ambinder on the Budget
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Ambinder
talkingpointsmemo.com 8/3/2009 — Marc Ambinder seems to think the tea-bagger effort to shut down Democratic town hall meetings is just working from the Dems 2005 anti-Social Security privatization playbook .
Really?
I watched those events unfold pretty closely. And what the ...
Space Race
mudvillegazette.com 1/3/2009 — Bloomberg : President-elect Barack Obama will probably tear down long-standing barriers between the U.S.’s civilian and military space programs to speed up a mission to the moon amid the prospect of a new space race with China.
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It's a race in NY-20
politicalwire.com 3/12/2009 — Two new polls show the special election race between Scott Murphy (D) and Jim Tedisco (R) is down to a few points with just three weeks left.
The Non-Mainstream Media State of the Race
3bluedudes.com 10/28/2008 — So what is the ACTUAL state of the race. First, let’s try and understand something. Barack Obama’s lead in the national polls is pretty stable and steady. The media will portray a different story, such as seizing on an outlier or bad poll, like the AP poll last week, but the overall reality is, ...
Re Race Relations, 2009
corner.nationalreview.com 1/27/2009 — Well, Derb, you do indeed have "a few questions," but I wonder how much you really disagree with my answers, at least as second-best answers for the real world in which conservatives live.
On your first point, if we don't want African Americans to ...
RNC chair race is all about race - Alexander Burns
politico.com 1/22/2009 — I judge people on what they ve got in their hearts, and Katon s not a racist guy, said Nevada Committeeman Joe Brown, who is undecided in the race. He has the issue of belonging to the country club, but he also has a lot of pluses in his column on ...
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