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Holy Shit
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — Kos's poll in Arizona finds a dead heat between McCain and Obama: 48 - 47. Among early voters, Obama has a 54 to 42 lead.

Poll: A Dead Heat In McCain's Home State Of Arizona
TPM Election Central — ... The new numbers from Research 2000: McCain 48%, Obama 47%, with a ±4% margin of error. The key number from the internals is that Obama is winning the early vote by a 54%-42% margin, and this group is expected to make up 17% of the total likely voters. ...

Obama Ahead Of McCain In Arizona Early Voting
Firedoglake — ... Per the new DKos Research 2000 poll: Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines) McCain (R) 48 Obama (D) 47 Early voters (17 percent of sample) ...

MIDDAY ROUNDUP
News — ... writes at Political Animal. Obama has a shot of winning McCain’s home state, kos asserts at Daily Kos upon releasing a new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll that shows the race in that state nearly even. And the new ad buy could help Democrat Jim Martin in his narrow race to unseat Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.), AMERICAblog’s ...

Research 2000: Arizona is Very Tight
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire — A new Research 2000 poll in Arizona shows Sen. John McCain beating out Sen. Barack Obama by just one point in his home state, 48% to 47%. ...

Poll: Obama/McCain tied in Arizona, McCain would lose Senate seat in AZ if election were today
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth — More reasons why Obama started advertising in Arizona. A new poll from Daily Kos, two polls from Arizona - the first McCain vs Obama, the second McCain's Senate race in 2010: Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/28-30. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines) McCain (R) 48 Obama (D) 47 Early voters (17 percent of sample) McCain (R) 42 Obama (D) 54 I can't believe we may actually win Arizona. And I have a bonus treat for you guys: If the 2010 election for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices ...

how bad does it look for mcmuffin?
skippy the bush kangaroo — ... per the new dkos research 2000 poll: likely voters. moe 4% (no trend lines) mccain (r) 48 obama (d) 47 early voters (17 percent of sample) mccain (r) 42 obama (d) 54 if the 2010 election for u.s. senate were held today for whom would you ...

McCain on the Verge of Losing Home State, Would Lose Senate Seat in 2010
Open Left - Front Page — Markos has the remarkable stats.  I happen to really like Governor Janet Napolitano of Arizona, and if the environment is neutral, she can take McCain out.  That McCain is on the verge of losing his home state is remarkable.  Gore lost Tennessee, but that was a very Southern state voting against a Democrat.  In this case, Arizona is a pretty solid Republican state and it's on the verge of leaving the McCain column. Wow.  Let's build that progressive governing majority.

Taking the fight to Arizona, now a battleground state
The Reaction — ... Kos is reporting that Arizona is "neck and neck." McCain is up by just a single point in a new Research 2000 poll, 48 to 47, with Obama leading 54 to 42 among early voters. ...

BREAKING NEWS: According To A High Placed DC Insider, Ted Stevens Was Not Convicted After All
DownWithTyranny! — ... machine without raising his voice. ...Something new is happening in America. It is the imminent arrival of a new liberal moment. History happens, it makes its turns, you hold on for dear life. Life moves. A fitting end for a harem-scarem, rock-'em-sock-'em shakeup of a year--- one of tumbling inevitabilities, torn coalitions, striking new personalities. Apparently nervous Jews have come around for Obama. What's left? Georgia? Arizona? Glad you asked. A poll over at Kos: Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend ...

Taking the Fight to Arizona, Now a Battleground State
The Moderate Voice — ... Kos is reporting that Arizona is “neck and neck.” McCain is up by just a single point in a new Research 2000 poll, 48 to 47, with Obama leading 54 to 42 among early voters. ...

Just beat it, beat it, No one wants to be defeated
SteveAudio — Obama is beating McCain in early AZ polling: Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/28-30. Likely voters. MoE 4% (No trend lines) McCain (R) 48 Obama (D) 47 Early ...

Quick Hits: One Day Left Edition
BlueOregon — Over at the Politico, they've mentioned Congressman Earl Blumenauer as a potential Secretary of Transportation. They've also mentioned John Kitzhaber as a potential nominee for Secretary of Health and Human Services. Personally, I think he should be Surgeon General. HHS is just a mega-bureaucrat. The Surgeon General is supposed to be America's health advocate - talking to Americans about the greatest threats to their health... cigarettes, AIDS, obesity, etc. Seems to me, the greatest threat right now is our health insurance system - and Kitzhaber would be a great advocate for reform. Over at the Swing State ...

Napolitano Reportedly Picked for Homeland Security, Casting Doubt on Potential Senate Run
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... Napolitano, popular among her constituents as well as with the netroots, was to be term-limited in 2010, but was reportedly considering a run for Arizona's Class 3 senate seat, currently occupied by John McCain. At least one poll had shown Napolitano ahead of McCain in a trial-heat matchup, although McCain remains fairly popular in Arizona and had led Napolitano in ...