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AK-Sen: Begich Leads by 814 Votes
Swing State Project —
... will count their remaining ballots Friday. The Southcentral regional election district, based in Anchorage, plans to count ballots between Monday and Wednesday.
As you can see from ADN's results map, in the results tallied so far, the Mat-Su Valley went strongly for Stevens, while Nome went about as strongly for Begich. Fairbanks was a bit of a wash, and both candidates have different pockets of support in Southcentral. Overall, though, our friends at 538 feel good about the numbers so far. I'm optimistic, too.
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Alaska Senate Update
Political Animal —
... Ted Stevens by 814 votes in the Alaska Senate race. Nate Silver : "The remaining votes come from Begich-friendly districts. Mark Begich is now an overwhelming favorite to win the Alaska Senate seat." We might be spared the question what to do if a felon is elected to the Senate. This is a good thing, since Sandy Levinson ...
Alaska Senate Update
Obsidian Wings —
... by hilzoy
Mark Begich is now leading Ted Stevens by 814 votes in the Alaska Senate race. Nate Silver:
"The remaining votes come from Begich-friendly districts. Mark Begich is now an overwhelming favorite to win the Alaska Senate seat."
We might be spared the question what to do if a felon is elected to the Senate. This is a good thing, since Sandy Levinson thinks that excluding him might be unconstitutional. Whether or not he's right is beyond my competence, but he notes that allowing the Senate to add to the ...
Alaska Senate Race: Begich Pulls Ahead
PoliGazette —
... There are still some 35,000 ballots remaining to be counted. Über- statistics nerd Nate Silver says that the remaining votes are coming from districts that favor Begrich, making him the “overwhelming favorite” to win the race. What isn’t clear is whether Begrich can expand his lead to over 1 half of 1 percent of the vote, which would make a recount less viable. ...
Early Morning Swim
Firedoglake —
... Hulk getting smashed?
Nate thinks it will hold.
If so, Palin's ready to start shakin' up Washington.
Lawyering up in Minnesota.
Cleland ad biting Saxby in the ass.
Obama's plans for investigating torture.
From bring 'em on and smoke 'em out ... to this.
Ted Nugent goes hunting for RINOs.
MORNING READ
News —
... . More than 35,000 votes remain uncounted, and most of them come from areas where Begich is expected to do well, including Anchorage, his home city. FiveThirtyEight's Sean Quinn now calls Begich the "overwhelming favorite" to win the seat. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell should join Sens. Chambliss and Jim DeMint (R-S.C.) in calling for the ouster of Stevens, a convicted felon, from the Senate, writes Townhall's ...
Begich Surges Ahead
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
He's up by 814 votes according to the ADN. Sean Quinn adds: As we've pointed out and has been pointed out elsewhere, the remaining votes come from Begich-friendly districts. Mark Begich is now an overwhelming favorite to win the Alaska Senate seat. Sam Wang also expects a Begich win: As I predicted from polls, Begich is pulling ahead. Andrew Sullivan is still clinging to the idea that turnout is suspiciously down from 2004, which I have pointed out may not be true. I’ll stick with my prediction of a Begich ...
News and other things
The Sideshow —
Nate Silver says "Begich Leads By 814 Going Into Thursday [...] As we've pointed out and has been pointed out elsewhere, the remaining votes come from Begich-friendly districts. Mark Begich is now an overwhelming favorite to win the Alaska Senate seat." Which is reall good news, since Sarah Palin was saying she'd appoint herself to that seat if Stevens won the Senate kicks him out for being a criminal. ...
Begich expands lead in Alaska Senate count
The Reaction —
... holding a lead of just three votes, and he has expanded his lead as the counting continues. As the Anchorage Daily News is reporting (and CNN and Alaska Elections have the same numbers), Begich is now up by 814 -- "132,196 to 131,382 -- with the state still to count roughly 35,000 more ballots over the next week." In percentage terms, it's Begich 47.41, Stevens 47.12. Sean Quinn at FiveThirtyEight: "As we've pointed out and has been pointed out elsewhere, the ...
Begich Expands Lead in Alaska Senate Count
The Moderate Voice —
... Stevens late yesterday, at one point holding a lead of just three votes, and he has expanded his lead as the counting continues.
As the Anchorage Daily News is reporting (and CNN and Alaska Elections have the same numbers), Begich is now up by 814 — “132,196 to 131,382 — with the state still to count roughly 40,000 more ballots over the next week.” In percentage terms, it’s Begich 47.41, Stevens 47.12.
Sean Quinn at FiveThirtyEight: “As we’ve pointed out and has been pointed out ...
Stevens' pollster sees Begich win
Political Animal —
... the election, when I called and just told him I was sorry for the way it turned out." Dittman believes early and absentee ballots, which compromise the approximately 40,000 votes left to count, will likely reflect Begichs' overall advantage so far among those who took advantage of either process. Heavy early voting occurred in the period that directly followed Stevens' conviction on seven felony counts of making false statements on his Senate financial disclosure forms. This follows Sean Quinn's analysis : "The remaining votes come from Begich-friendly districts. Mark Begich ...
