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yglesias.thinkprogress.org - 25 days ago
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I’ve been feeling sick and wasn’t up for waiting for the NY-23 returns. But now that we’re in we know that the CA-10 vacancy created by Ellen Tauscher becoming an Undersecretary of State has resulted in a moderate Democrat being replaced by a progressive Democratic, and the ...
pollster.com - 20 days ago
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pollster.com —
November 8, 2009 Shifts in Vote and Turnout
in New Jersey and Virginia By Charles Franklin vaarrowvote.png...
The shifts in outcomes between the 2008 presidential and 2009 gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia were driven far more by shifts ...
(more)
Shifts in Vote and Turnout in New Jersey and Virginia
fivethirtyeight.com - 26 days ago
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fivethirtyeight.com —
California 10th Congressional District -- Special Election to
replace Ellen Tauscher. The Candidates: California Lieutenant Governor John...
Garamendi , Democrat David Harmer , Republican Various minor party candidates The Polling: The only poll of ...
(more)
2009 Elections Preview: CA-10
| Good take by @mattyglesias on the meaning of Congressional races. http://bit.ly/2hU3ps 25 days ago |
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Election trends worth watching
Ezra Klein —
Dismissive as I am of trying to read too deeply into a small handful of statewide, off-year elections, there are a couple of structural trends worth keeping an eye on.
The first is the composition of the electorate. The coalition that elected Barack Obama had an uncommonly high percentage of young and African American voters. That was particularly important in states like Indiana and Virginia, where the electorate that normally controls elections doesn't favor national Democrats.
But Barack Obama wasn't on the ballot yesterday, and he won't be on the ballot in 2010. If his voters stayed home last night, many ...
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