outsidethebeltway.com - 11/3/2008
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Minnesotan Ed Morrisey got an email from Team McCain informing him that the state is “a dead heat” based on a Survey USA poll. Ed then cites some research that Obama is actually dragging Al Franken’s numbers down in the state and muses, “If McCain wins Minnesota, that ...
tnr.com - 11/2/2008
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tnr.com —
One day in early March 1986, John McCain,
an Arizona congressman, sat down to write a letter....
McCain had heard that a long-time friend and donor, Charles Keating, was upset for being listed as a member of McCain's campaign finance committee when a ...
(more)
McCain First, Second, And Always
hotair.com - 11/3/2008
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hotair.com —
This morning, one of the first e-mails I
opened was from the McCain campaign, claiming that the...
presidential race in my state had pulled into a dead heat. Sure , I thought — Minnesota barely has Norm Coleman ahead of Al Freakin’ Franken. ...
(more)
Could McCain win Minnesota?
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/3/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
This was by far the most common McCain
victory scenario, occurring 169 times out of 10,000 simulations...
this afternoon: ...this would be a boring ol' map. Obama wins everything that either Al Gore or John Kerry won. McCain wins everything else. ...
(more)
What A McCain Win Looks Like...
Comments
Blog Reactions
The McCain Surge: Pipe Dreams or Prescience?
The Moderate Voice —
... was from the McCain campaign, claiming that the presidential race in my state had pulled into a dead heat. Sure, I thought — Minnesota barely has Norm Coleman ahead of Al Freakin’ Franken. Obama should be up 15 here under those circumstances, and in fact the MinnPoll has Obama ahead by 11. Survey USA says it’s a margin-of-error race, though, and says Obama’s tripping up Franken
James Joyner probably feels bad about pouring cold water on Ed’s hopes, but does so anyway.
Certainly, another 10 Electoral Votes — a swing of 20 — ...
My Predictions
Hot Air » Top Picks —
... and James Joyner note, the RCP average shows Obama significantly ahead, but they include the Strib’s MinnPoll that routinely overstates Democratic strength. The same poll has Al Franken ahead of Norm Coleman by four points. Because of its structure, the RCP average lags on movement, and Survey USA shows some movement towards Republicans here — but I don’t think this is the election that moves Minnesota to the red column after 36 years of going blue. I don’t think this is the election that puts Florida in the blue column, either, or Nevada. ...
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What She Said
balloon-juice.com 11/12/2008 — This is win on so many levels . Can I be an honorary “Jane Hamsher of the left?”
By the way, I am exceptionally cranky this afternoon. In case you missed it.
10 Reasons Why McCain Might Win
commentarymagazine.com 10/31/2008 — This is why it might happen. Not saying it will.
1) One poll has undecided voters at 14 percent on the last weekend, which means most of them probably really aren’t undecided, that they are either going to stay home or vote preponderantly for ...
How McCain Could Win
truthout.org 11/3/2008 — It's November 5 and the nation is in shock. Media blame it on the "Bradley effect": Americans supposedly turned into Klansmen inside the voting booth, and Barack Obama turned up with 6 million votes less than calculated from the exit polls. Florida ...
McCain On Meet The Press: "I Believe I'm Going To Win"
tag:www.huffingtonpost.com,2008: 10/26/2008 — Republican John McCain on Sunday dismissed the sour poll numbers that show him trailing in his White House race against Democrat Barack Obama and said his campaign is "doing fine."
Interviewed on NBC's "Meet the Press," the Arizona senator said he has pulled closer to Obama.
Watch:
...
We Will Win
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com 11/6/2008 — Kevin Drum gives his take on prop 8: In one sense, this might have been inevitable: this is precisely the margin I projected six months ago based on basic demographic trends. What's more, the voting trends are exactly what you'd expect: strong No ...
Op-Ed Columnist - Win, Win, Win, Win, Win ...
nytimes.com 12/28/2008 — How many times do we have to see this play before we admit that it always ends the same way? Which play? The one where gasoline prices go up, pressure rises for more fuel-efficient cars, then gasoline prices fall and the pressure for low-mileage ...
Big Win????
newshoggers.com 11/1/2008 — By Ron Beasley
I've been quiet again and I apologize. I haven't been feeling well but it's mostly because I still can't believe the Rethuglicans will let Obama and the Democrats to win next week. Everything would indicate that Obama should ...
Poll: 7 in 10 Americans Say Obama Will Win
gallup.com 10/28/2008 — PRINCETON, NJ -- By a 71% to 23% margin, Americans expect that Barack Obama will be elected president in next Tuesday's election, including a 49% to 46% ratio of John McCain's own supporters who say Obama, rather than their own candidate, will win. ...
More Good News
balloon-juice.com 10/21/2008 — For John McCain :
As voters have gotten to know Senator Barack Obama, they have warmed up to him, with more than half, 53 percent, now saying they have a favorable impression of him and 33 percent saying they have an unfavorable view. But as ...
Poll update: McCain on defense in Bush states —
CNN Political Ticker 11/3/2008
McCain is campaigning to defend several Bush states.
(CNN) – New CNN state polls of polls released on the final full day of the 2008 campaign show Barack Obama holding on to battleground states won by John Kerry four years ago – and tied with ...
McCain vs. Obama: A final round of polls —
First Read 11/3/2008
Here’s the Wall Street Journal on the new NBC/WSJ poll: “Sen. Barack Obama enters Election Day with a solid, though narrowing, lead over Sen. John McCain as both men sprint to the finish line of their long presidential race.”
Here’s our writeup ...
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