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Tightening? Uh, No
TalkLeft — ... had Obama leading in Nevada by just 2, 47-45. Similarly in Virginia, Joe is screaming about tightening based on a 10/29-30 M-D poll showing Obama by 3, 47-44. The problem for Joe is ...

Poll Dump
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... +11 MO Mason-Dixon McCain 47, Obama 46 McCain +1 NV LVRJ/Mason-Dixon Obama 47, McCain 43 Obama +4 NC Mason-Dixon Obama 46, McCain 49 McCain +3 OH Mason-Dixon Obama 45, McCain 47 McCain +2 OH Columbus Dispatch* Obama 52, McCain 46 Obama +6 PA Morning Call Obama 52, McCain 45 Obama +7 UT Deseret News McCain 57, Obama 32 McCain +25 VA Mason-Dixon Obama 47, McCain 44 Obama +3 Sphere It! | [image]

Mason-Dixon: Obama Just Ahead in Virginia
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire — The final Mason-Dixon poll in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama just ahead of Sen. John McCain, 47% to 44%. The poll "shows that 11 percent of whites are undecided -- far more than usual in the closing week of a statewide election... The last time the figure was nearly as high was 1989 in Virginia, when Democrat Doug Wilder was elected the nation's first black governor." In that election, Wilder held a narrow lead going into Election Day but nearly all the undecided white voters chose his opponent. Wilder ultimately won by just four-tenths of a percentage ...

Election Central Morning Roundup
TPM Election Central — ... A new Mason-Dixon poll of Virginia gives Barack Obama a lead of 47% to John McCain's 44%, with a ±4% margin of error, not significantly changed from a 47%-45% Obama lead a week ago. The poll also shows that white voters are disproportionately undecided, which if true could mean a late break in John McCain's direction -- the question is whether this pattern in Virginia politics repeats again, and whether it's enough of a break to overcome Obama's lead. ...

More Polls Show Obama Leading In Bush States
TPM Election Central — ... of Virginia shows that this state is a tight race going into the final days of the campaign, with Barack Obama up by just four points. The numbers: Obama 50%, McCain 46%, with a ±3.9% margin of error. A week ago, Obama had a heftier lead of nine points, 52%-43%. Today's poll has the same margin as the new Mason-Dixon poll, which has Obama up 47%-43%, although with a smaller number of undecides. ...

IBD/TIPP Poll: McCain Surges Within 2.1%, Virginia Now Dead Heat
JammieWearingFool — ... with a 6.3% average margin. Oh, and although all the "experts" have declared the race over, has anyone noticed Virginia is now a dead heat? Virginia will be among the first states to report results Tuesday night, and should it vote Democratic for the first time in a presidential race since 1964 - as many polls suggest - Barack Obama probably will win the White House. But should McCain hold the state, the result could portend a McCain comeback nationally. A new poll commissioned by The Virginian-Pilot concludes the state remains up for grabs. The survey of 625 likely voters ...

Obama McCain Race Gets Uglier By The Hours
The Moderate Voice — ... on the part of McCain supporters. It could and will be argued that its use in this way gives the McCain campaign plausible deniability since it can say “It wasn’t us!” But this is also typical of how in the waning moments of political campaigns one side will throw out what it feels is its toughest shot, figuring if it comes right before the vote the other side won’t be able to neutralize it quickly enough. What’s at stake? A lot. Some key states such as Virginia are still in play. And here’s one reason why: ...