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Why I'm Still Sweating an Obama Victory
The Stump — ... , Investor's Business Daily) has shifted toward McCain, in some cases sharply. While some of the more traditional (i.e., non-tracking) polls show Obama with a big lead--like the ...

DAY'S END ROUNDUP
News — DAY'S END ROUNDUP John McCain's backers still see a path to victory. Some national polls have tightened slightly in recent days, which puts the Republican in position to pull off an upset, according to conservative bloggers. But one respected poll portends a Democratic landslide and prompts one liberal blogger to declare the race all but over. Ever since McCain and Joe the Plumber have revealed Obama's socialist sympathies, polls by Zogby , Investor's Business Daily and Gallup have been showing a closer race, according to Contentions' Abe Greenwald . The Stump's Noam Scheiber , an Obama backer wary ...

Democrats: Don’t Order The White House Drapes Just Yet
The Moderate Voice — ... administration scares some people — the question is…how many. Admittedly, it is getting easier to imagine that it’s almost “over” — given how the GOP now seems at war within itself…and even within it’s own Presidential ticket. For SURE. Meanwhile, there is the war of the pollsters.,, McCain’s pollster insists it’s going to be a tight election night race. But there are signs Obama is picking up more male voters. And Bill Clinton’s former pollster Stan Greenberg ...

Rasmussen: Race within margin of error
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... gives a reliable trendline for the election.  The gap that had opened after the financial meltdown at the end of September appears to have almost disappeared.  As people begin considering the future, they have to ask themselves: which candidate has the experience and the proven mettle of crisis management?  John McCain has a long record of handling tough problems; Barack Obama wrote a letter and gave a speech. Today, I’ll talk to IBD’s Terry Jones on the Ed Morrissey Show about their TIPP daily tracking poll , which also shows a margin-of-error race.  We’ll talk at length ...

The Polls- 11/1
TalkLeft — ... ticks one point in Obama's direction to a 5 point lead, 51-46. Ras seems headed to predicting a 5 point Obama win come Tuesday. No tracker has McCain closer than 4 (IBD/TIPP has Obama by 4.4, ...

Links for 2008-11-01 [del.icio.us]
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog — ... and opponents of Proposition 8 worry that voters will be confused by a choice that can seem counterintuitive: Voting no on the initiative means voting yes on gay marriage, while voting yes means gay marriage would be disallowed. ++++++++ Counterintuitive thanks to the California Supreme Court's ruling and Jerry Brown's ballot language. YouTube - Baby talks Prop 8 adoption & Gavin Newsom (Proposition 8) Whether You Like it Or Not! IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll Obama's lead firmed heading into the final weekend as he drew ...

links for 2008-11-02
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog — ... You mean someone in the government might actually leak something not damaging to the GOP? Go figure…… (tags: barack_obama) IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll Obama's lead firmed heading into the final weekend as he drew ...

IBD TIPP: Obama +2 with 8.7% Undecided
Riehl World View — ... Hmm. TIPP was the closest poll in 2004. Currently they have it Obama 46.7 to McCain's 44.6 with 8.7% undecided. If they are correct, it's an absolute toss-up moving toward election day. ...

You Want Something to Believe In?
Ace of Spades HQ — You Want Something to Believe In? I'll give ya something to believe in. I'm generous that way. The new TIPP/Investor's Business Daily Poll is out. And it's got the race tightening like Ace's pants at a Star Wars convention. Obama 46.7% McCain/Palin 44.6% Undecided 8.7% From the poll: The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high ...

IBD/TIPP Poll: McCain Surges Within 2.1%, Virginia Now Dead Heat
JammieWearingFool — Considering the IBD/TIPP poll was the most accurate in 2004 (within 0.4%), this at least is some positive news for John McCain with the numbers the closest since October 23. The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates. Consider it's now Obama 46.7 to 44.6%, with a MoE of 3.4. Note also there are still 8.7% ...

Polls Hold Firm for Obama.
The Volokh Conspiracy — ... appears to have stalled. In most polls, Obama has gained a bit in the last few days. The only exception among those outfits who polled through Saturday is the IBD/TIPP poll , which shows only a 2% lead for Obama. The betting services are even more encouraging for Obama, particularly state by state. If McCain were to win on Tuesday, given the improvements in polling since 1948 it would be a much bigger upset for pollsters than Truman over Dewey. BTW, I was polled by Rasmussen on Saturday. The automated operation was professionally handled, though I noted that the question about ...

IBD-TIPP Poll, 10/29 to 11/1
Patterico's Pontifications — [Guest post by DRJ] The IBD-TIPP poll shows the Presidential race has narrowed to within the margin of error: Obama — 46.7% McCain — 44.6% Undecided — 8.7% This is a 3-day average but the two prior days’ polls showed Obama leading by at least 4 points, which means the Saturday results moved sharply toward McCain or are an anomaly. Tomorrow’s results may clarify this. Meanwhile, Obama leads with: voters from the Northeast (54%-46%) and the West ...

POLLS ACTUALLY SHOW WHY OBAMA WILL LOSE AND MCCAIN WILL WIN
THE ASTUTE BLOGGERS — ... POLLS SHOW THAT OBAMA IS NOT DOING AS WELL AS KERRY WITH DEMOCRATS: IBD/TIPP: OBAMA AMONG DEMOCRATS: 85% MCCAIN IS POLLING AT 8%, BUT UNDECIDEDS - WHO ARE BREAKING FOR MCCAIN - ARE STILL A WHOPPING 7%. DEMOCRATS WHO HAVEN'T YET DECIDED THEY'RE GOING TO VOTE OBAMA, ARE - IMHO - NOT GOING TO VOTE OBAMA; THEREFORE, MCCAIN SHOULD PICK UP ABOUT 75% OF THESE AND END UP WITH 14% (WITH 1% VOTING FOR SOMEONE ELSE OR ABSTAINING). ...

Hugh Hewitt: IBDD-TIPP: O: 46.7%; M: 44.6%; U: 8.7%
Hugh Hewitt's TownHall Blog — Well, well, well. Key finding: The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.

Hugh Hewitt: IBDD-TIPP: O: 46.7%; M: 44.6%; U: 8.7%
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog — Well, well, well. Key finding: The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.

IBD/TIPP: Obama +2, under 50%
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... TIPP got the 2004 almost exactly correct, and now they’re showing a much closer national race than almost every other pollster.  They now have Barack Obama ahead of John McCain by only 2, 46.7% to 44.6%.  Outlier?  Prophets?  We’ll see on Tuesday, but if they’re right, two points in particular have to be worrying Team Obama: The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, ...

IBD/TIPP: Obama +2, under 50%
Stop The ACLU — Hope for the Eeyores! The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates. Hat tip: ...

McCain-Palin Cuts Obama's Lead Down to 2-- 8.7% Undecided
Gateway Pundit — ... IBD-TIPP -The most accurate pollster of the 2004 Campaign- shows that McCain has closed the gap on Barack Obama down to 2 points. ...

Hugh Hewitt: The Catholic Vote In PA and Ohio
Hugh Hewitt's TownHall Blog — ... e-mails me that the IBD-TIPP poll shows 11% of Catholics nationwide are "undecided," which is extraordinary given the amount of effort Catholic leaders have put into instructing their faithful this year on the paramount importance of the life issue and Obama's abortion radicalism. If IBD-TIPP remains, as it was in 2004, the most accurate poll in 2008 and the race does emerge as the close and possibly upset contest IBD is predicting, the great untold stories --among many untold stories by the MSM-- will be the decisive role of the Catholic vote, mobilized originally by ...

Hugh Hewitt: The Catholic Vote In PA and Ohio
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog — ... e-mails me that the IBD-TIPP poll shows 11% of Catholics nationwide are "undecided," which is extraordinary given the amount of effort Catholic leaders have put into instructing their faithful this year on the paramount importance of the life issue and Obama's abortion radicalism. If IBD-TIPP remains, as it was in 2004, the most accurate poll in 2008 and the race does emerge as the close and possibly upset contest IBD is predicting, the great untold stories --among many untold stories by the MSM-- will be the decisive role of the Catholic vote, mobilized originally by ...

Dear AP: The Answer Would be "Yes"
Tammy Bruce — ... Sheesh, it never ends. This is supposed to be a news story, but they have to insert little encouragements and assurances throughout. Amazing. This on a day when when IBD and ...

Breaking: FOX News Reports McCain Camp Is VERY Optimistic!
Gateway Pundit — Breaking: FOX News is reporting that the McCain Campaign is VERY OPTIMISTIC with the latest developments. IBD-TIPP still shows that nearly 10% of voters are undecided. Most undecided are siding with McCain. Rasmussen reported that McCain-Palin have tied up the race in 4 of 6 Swing States. McCain has pulled ahead in Florida and North Carolina and is tied in Missouri and Ohio. Fox News/Rasmussen Reports polling this week in Colorado, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and ...

Final numbers: Most accurate '04 poll says Obama over McCain by 7%
Top of the Ticket — ... 71% of the Jewish vote and 71% of those without religion. Protestants prefer McCain (59-33), as do Catholics (48-40). Obama captures 89% of the self-described liberals while McCain gets 71% of the conservatives. Single women prefer Obama (65-26) while married women vote for McCain (46-43). Sixty-thrtee percent of Obama voters do not display the American flag, more than twice the proportion of McCain supporters who don't (30%). The complete IBD/TIPP results are available here. --Andrew Malcolm To get tonight's ...

The Polls - Will America Choose "Socialism?"
TalkLeft — Will "Center Right" America choose Socialism? According to John McCain and the polls, they will. Final polls: Dkos/R2000 - Obama 51, McCain 46 ABC/WaPo - Obama 53. McCain 44 NBC/WSJ - Obama 51, McCain 43 CBS - Obama 51, McCain 42 Fox - Obama 50, McCain 43 Gallup - Obama 55, McCain 44 IBD/TIPP - Obama 52, McCain 44 CNN - Obama 53, McCain 46 Ipsos/McClatchey, Obama 53, McCain 46 Hotline - Obama 50, McCain 45 Pew, Obama 52, McCain 46 ...

IBD/TIPP Final: Obama +8
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... The final IBD/TIPP poll shows Obama with 48% of the vote compared to 42% for John McCain. IBD then allocates the 6% of undecided voters two-to-one in favor of Obama, yielding a final result of 52% for Obama and 44% for McCain. Overall, Obama's lead in the ...