VP Watch: Say, what?
Crooks and Liars — ... Yes, many from the online community don’t like this choice, but I want to win the White House. She can stay in those three states alone as far as I’m concerned. I think McCain is up by eight points in one Florida poll and we all know what Florida means. ...

The Race Today
The Agitator — ... Obama seems to have eked out a small lead in Florida, which is a huge problem for McCain. Real Clear Politics still gives McCain a slight advantage there, but that’s due to one poll putting him up by eight that looks like an outlier. Obama’s up two points in the three other most recent polls taken in Florida. McCain still holds slim leads in Missouri, North Dakota, and North Carolina, but those are places he shouldn’t need to fight for. And he’s still down in Indiana and Virginia. I don’t see how he wins without taking both of those states. ...

Pres-08: Tie Game
RedState: Conservative News and Community — This is what a tie looks like As a poll watcher, it is hard to avoid RealClearPolitics homepage. On it, there is a list of important states that could swing this election. Right now, almost all of those states are tied. National: Obama +2.7 Colorado: Obama +1.7 Virginia: Obama +1.0 Missouri: McCain +2.0 Michigan: Obama +4.3 Ohio: Obama + 0.5 Florida: McCain +0.5 Wow. But a couple observations would be prudent. First, McCain needs to win almost all of these ...

Ad spending in Florida: millions by Barack Obama, zilch by John McCain
Top of the Ticket — ... McCain has a variety of built-in advantages in the fight for the state's 27 electoral votes, one reason his aides don't seem overly concerned about having ceded the airwaves up to now to Obama or polling that has shown Florida up for grabs. ...

FL Poll: McCain +6
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll in Florida shows McCain leading Obama by 6 points (August 1-3, 679 LV, MoE +/- 3.8%). Obama leads in southeastern Florida, while McCain leads by large margins in all other regions. McCain 50 Obama 44 Und 3 McCain leads by 1.6 points in the RCP Average for Florida ...

Daily Polling Shows McCain Gains
RedState: Conservative News and Community — ... Michael Barone of political statistics. He, too, sees today's state polls as given more weight to the national shift over the last two weeks. Second, we have two national telephone poll giving McCain a lead today: Rasmussen and Zogby put the race at McCain +1. Zogby's telephone polls went from Obama +10 in early July to McCain +1 this week. Third, we have the state confirmation of movements in McCain's direction. See below the fold for data: FL (SUSA): McCain 50 (47) Obama 44 (45) This is a shift toward McCain since the ...

Barack Obama 275 John McCain 250 Ties 13
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog — ... Ohio 45.3 46.8 McCain +1.5 Florida 45.4 47.2 McCain +1.8 Flap ...

What's Up with Florida?
Weekly Standard Blog — ... Florida provides an exception to this trend. McCain's lead in Florida has shrunk from a substantial 5+ percent to a trivial lead within the range of error. Just consider Rasmussen's tracking showed McCain up by 7 percent at the end of June, but had Obama up by 2 percent by the end of July -- for a change of -9 percent. So what's going on in Florida? ...

Why people should be worried about the polls
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth — ... plan lying in wait, I ask you to think back a year ago. Imagine if someone had told you that the most charismatic Democratic speaker in a decade would be in a dead-heat with a Republican has-been corrupt waffler - you would have laughed in their face. After eight years of George Bush? No way, people are fed up - that'll never happen. Well, that's the reality today. This race is a dead heat and is up for grabs both in the national polls as well as in key states like Ohio, Florida, Missouri, etc. Face reality folks - something isn't working. While ...

State Poll Dump: Bush States
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... than 3 points. Obama leads in Iowa, which gave Pres. Bush a one-point win in 2004 after he lost the state to Al Gore by a point in 2000. McCain leads in Missouri, as well as his home state of Arizona, where he failed to break 40% support. Arizona - Arizona State Univ. McCain 40 Obama 30 Und 28 McCain leads by 13.7 points in the RCP Average for Arizona Florida - Rasmussen McCain 48 (+1 vs. last poll, July 22) Obama 46 (-3) McCain leads by 2.6 points in the RCP Average for Florida Indiana - SurveyUSA McCain 50 Obama 44 McCain leads by 1.3 ...

Quinnipiac Swing State Polls: FL, OH, PA
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... McCain 47 (+3 vs. last poll July 31) Obama 43 (-2) Undecided 8 (+1) Favorable Ratings: Obama +15 (51/36), McCain + 23 (55/32) Slicing the demos: Obama is winning 78% of Dems and 10% of Republicans, while McCain is winning 83% of Republicans and 16% of Dems. McCain is leading among Independents by 8 (47 to 39), men by 9 (50 to 41), and the two are tied with women at 45. Lastly, 16% of Hillary Clinton supporters say they will vote for McCain. Overall, McCain leads by 3.8% in the RCP Average for Florida . Ohio Ohio continues to be extremely close. Obama has lost four points ...

Florida: McCain up 7
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... can’t make Obama very happy.  In a survey of 1200 likely voters, John McCain leads Florida by seven points in a three-way race with Bob Barr, his largest lead in the state thus far, 49%-42%, with Barr getting one point and eight percent undecided. Real Clear Politics shows that the race had been tightening in Florida until three weeks ago.  In July, McCain and Obama had been tied for two weeks and Obama had gained significant momentum.  Now all of that has disappeared, and Obama has slid all the way back to where he was after Hillary’s withdrawal from the race in June.  This ...

Florida.
INSTAPUTZ — Best to keep an eye on the Florida polls. I can't imagine that seniors, probably still miffed by the on-accident Buchanan vote, will be too keen to pull the lever for Pitchfork Palin. The more they find about this fallacious, extremist troglodyte, the less pleased, I expect, ...

FL Poll: McCain +5
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll in Florida (Sept. 6-7, 986 LV, MoE +/- 3.1%) has McCain leading by 5 points. It's the first Florida poll since May in which either candidate hit 50% support. McCain 50 (+3 vs. last poll, July 30-Aug. 2) Obama 45 (+1) Und 5 McCain leads by 3.0 points in the RCP Average for Florida ...

Hemingway: McMoney
Articles on National Review Online — ... . And yet McCain has consistently led in the state . With McCain narrowly leading in most national polls, every dollar Obama has spent on advertising up to this point is effectively moot. Further, McCain has been able to rely on the RNC to augment the campaign s fundraising, whereas the DNC s fundraising has been lackluster — having been outraised by the RNC in this election cycle by more than two-to-one. What s more, according to the ...

Florida the new Florida?
Ben Smith's Blog — ... This year, though, Florida is again looking awfully, unexpectedly close, with McCain up just three in the RCP average after a summer during which it was, at one point, tied. Despite a set of demographic trends that favor the Democrats, McCain was thought by many to have something of a lock on the state, since he was doing better than your average Republican with older voters and Jewish voters. ...

Rep. Steve Cohen (D-TN) compares Obama to Jesus on the House floor
Sister Toldjah — ... Do I detect a pattern of desperation here on the part of the the Obama campaign in trying to win over a majority of Florida’s Jewish voters at a time when Florida polls show McCain and Obama in a close race? Hmmm. ...

New State Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... , with McCain holding comfortable leads in both. Florida McCain 50 Obama 42 Und 4 McCain has a 5.0-point lead in the RCP Average for Florida Georgia McCain 56 Obama 38 Und 4 McCain has an 11.6-point lead in the ...

Ohio Slipping Away from Obama?
Weekly Standard Blog — ... show that John McCain is establishing a consistent lead in the state. Ohio is a bellwether; no Republican has won the White House without it. If McCain can take Ohio, as well as Florida (where he also leads), he probably comes very close to re-creating the winning Bush map of 2004. ...

Battleground Polls: CO, FL, OH, PA, VA
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — Here are the latest FOX News/Rasmussen polls in five battleground states: Colorado McCain 48 (+2 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 46 (-3) Obama leads by 0.6 of a point in the RCP Average for Colorado Florida McCain 49 (+1 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 44 (-4) McCain leads by 6.3 points in the RCP Average for Florida Ohio McCain 48 (-3 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 45 (+1) McCain leads by 2.2 points in the RCP Average for Ohio Pennsylvania Obama 47 (nc vs. last poll, Sept. 7) McCain 47 (+2) Obama leads by 1.6 points in the RCP ...

How Much Impact will Obama’s Money Have?
GayPatriot — ... .  Although spending $8,000,000 less than Obama, McCain still manages to lead by 6.3 points in the Real Clear Average of Polls for the Sunshine State. ...

Barack Obama Watch: Send Us $39 Mil for Florida?
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog — ... Obama campaign manager makes the pitch for more campaign cash. But, for Florida (where media markets are expensive)? Uhhh…..No Send the money anyway, right David? ...

CNN State Polls: FL, IN, NC, OH, WI
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... show tight races in five battleground states: Florida (tied), Indiana (McCain +6), North Carolina (McCain +1), Ohio (Obama +2) and Wisconsin (Obama +3). Florida (Sept. 14-16, 907 RV) McCain 48 Obama 48 McCain leads by 5.0 points in the RCP Average for Florida Indiana (Sept. 13-14, 890 RV) McCain 51 Obama 45 McCain leads by 5.0 points in the ...

Gallup: Obama gains another point, leads by six now
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... undecided voters participating in the discussion one recent evening at the Times — four Republicans, five Democrats, and two registered to no party — only two Republican men applauded the selection of Palin. Nobody had finalized a choice, but seven of the panelists said that McCain’s running mate selection had made them more likely to vote for Obama, and in several cases much more likely. Exit question: How much should this very important Florida focus group bother us? Exit answer: Not much.

Fearmonger in Florida: Obama Lies About Social Security
Ace of Spades HQ — Fearmonger in Florida: Obama Lies About Social Security Lemme tell you the one about the lawyer who lies. What? You've heard it? Obama is in big trouble in Florida. Over the summer he spent $8 million on advertising there. McCain spent nothing, but always managed to stay on top in the polls . Democrats are talking about turning out new voters and rarely-voters. That sounds good and feeds the Obama Change motif. The problem is that these voters are not reliable, something Democrats learned in 2002 when they made a nation-wide push to defeat Jeb Bush. People are more than ...

Banner seen at Gov. Palin’s Sunday rally in The Villages, FL
Sister Toldjah — A friend of a friend of mine went to the massive Gov. Sarah Palin rally in The Villages, FL yesterday and got some good pix. Among them, this one: Compare and contrast that with the airplane banner Obama got while in Jacksonville, FL on Saturday. Gotta luv it. BTW, here are the latest poll numbers coming out of Florida. Still tight, but Mc has a slight edge.

Battleground Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... in five battleground states. All polls were conducted on September 21 with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points: Florida McCain 51 (+2 vs. last poll on Sept. 14) Obama 46 (+2) Overall, McCain leads by 2.8% in the RCP Average for Florida . Michigan Obama 51 (nc vs. last poll on Sept. 10) McCain 44 (-2) Obama leads by 4.0% in the ...

FL Poll: Obama +2
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... out of Florida from NBC and Mason-Dixon (Sept 16-18) showing Barack Obama leading John McCain by two points: Obama 47 (+2 vs. last Mason-Dixon poll August 24) McCain 45 (+1) McCain leads by 2.0% in the RCP Average for Florida . ...

Does NBC Not Trust Its Own Polls?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... showing Obama ahead of McCain by two points, 47-45, with no mention of other polls in the Sunshine State , all of which show McCain with small leads over Obama: *** Sunshine on Obama's shoulders: If you want to know why Obama is doing his debate prep today in -- of all places -- Tampa, FL, look no further than the latest ...

State Polls: FL, MO
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll in Missouri: Florida (Sept. 24, 700 LV) McCain 48 Obama 47 McCain leads by 1.6 points in the RCP Average for Florida Missouri (Sept. 22-24, 800 LV) McCain 47 Obama 46 McCain leads by 3.6 points in the ...

FL Poll: McCain +1
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... has the race down to one point Florida (Sept 27-28, 599 LV), a five point swing from ten days ago: McCain 48 (-3 vs. last poll Sept 16-17) Obama 47 (+2) Overall, McCain leads by 1.6% in the RCP Average for Florida . ...

A Dead Heat In Florida
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — RCP crunches the numbers, and the trend is ominous for the GOP in the last week. 538 is now putting Florida into the lean-Democrat column. Pollster still gives McCain the edge. ...

Fox News/Rasmussen Swing State Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Florida McCain 47 Obama 47 McCain leads by 0.7 of a point in the RCP Average for Florida Ohio McCain 48 Obama 47 McCain leads by 1.2 points in the ...

FL Poll: Obama +3
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll in Florida shows an 8-point reversal since the last poll was taken three weeks ago, with Obama taking a small lead. Obama 49 (+4 vs. last poll, Sept. 7-9) McCain 46 (-4) McCain leads by 0.3 of a point in the RCP Average for Florida ...

Paul Jenkins: Obama and Democrats Fighting Hard on GOP Turf
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... and Florida (which are also among the Bush states most likely to go Democratic), Obama could lose both and still win comfortably overall. That is not to say those states don't matter: McCain basically has no shot at the presidency if he does not win both. ...

Barack Obama gets a polling boost ... but is it to be believed?
Top of the Ticket — ... south and the Wall Street meltdown has been a dagger to McCain's political heart. Roughly a third of voters, and almost as large a share of the key independent vote, say McCain did more harm than good in trying to resolve the financial crisis, and the share of voters who see the economy as the top issue has risen from roughly half to six in ten. Then again, Quinnipiac may be giving us a bum steer. Othre surveys in Ohio and Florida (see here and here) have shown nailbiters. -- Don Frederick ...

Bill Clinton a Barack Obama backer? Not everyone got the word
Top of the Ticket — Bill Clinton, the master politician of his generation, clearly was in his element Wednesday as he hit the campaign trail for Barack Obama in the key state of Florida (where the recent polls have been breaking the Democratic way). At the first of two rallies he headlined in the Sunshine State, the ex-president joyfully worked a crowd in Orlando. And he gave a speech as only he can; it was fiery yet folksy, and focused on the issue he always has most liked to talk about. ...

It's worth remembering these assholes are still around
Blah3 Feed — ... My only point is that such assholery is still plenty evident, even though there are those out there that want to pretend otherwise. And that's what makes Obama's recent surge to the front of the polls in Florida a rather amazing thing, something I didn't think could happen. ...

McCain/Palin Ramp Up Attacks On Obama And His Terrorist Pals
Ace of Spades HQ — ... but it makes me a little worried. Going negative like this is necessary because they are behind and most likely because between the economy and fallout from the bailout plan they need to change the subject quickly. I know McCain didn’t want to run a “Rovian” base election but you know, it did work. Twice. Given McCain’s apparent abandonment of Michigan, it’s hard to see what states McCain is going to flip from blue to red. In fact, he’s got a fight on his hands to keep states like Florida and ...

State Polls: CO, FL, MO, OH, VA
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — New Fox News/Rasmussen polls in five competitive states: Colorado, Florida, Missouri, Ohio and Virginia: Colorado Obama 51 McCain 45 Obama leads by 4.0 points in the RCP Average for Colorado Florida Obama 52 McCain 45 Obama leads by 4.0 points in the RCP Average for Florida Missouri Obama 50 McCain 47 Obama leads by 0.3 of a point in the RCP Average for Missouri Ohio McCain 48 Obama 47 Obama leads by 3.0 points in the RCP Average for Ohio Virginia Obama 50 McCain 48 Obama leads by 4.8 points in the RCP ...

Watching Florida
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — Something very big appears to be happening. How can Palin win without Florida?

FL Poll: Obama +5
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll taken this week in Florida shows Obama leading McCain by 5 points (Oct. 6-8, 600 LV, MoE +/- 4%). Obama 49 (+4 vs. last poll, Sept. 15-18) McCain 44 (-2) Obama leads by 3.8 points in the RCP Average for Florida ...

OVER?!?!? NOTHING's Over Until We Decide It Is
The Jawa Report — ... If the race continues over the next three weeks to be a conventional one, McCain is doomed. He may be anyway. Bush is unpopular. The media is hostile. The financial meltdown has made things tougher. Maybe the situation is hopeless — and if it is, then nothing McCain or his campaign does matters. Just a thought. Another data point to consider: Ohio is turning around , with two recent polls showing McCain in the lead. McCain's fortunes may be getting ready to turn around in Florida , Nevada and Missouri , as well. A mere TEN DAYS AGO, the polls were a ...

10/13 Recap
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... today for the first time, and he holds a commanding 7.4% lead over McCain. It's much the same at the state level, The Forum poll in North Dakota is generating some buzz - most of it skeptical - but the more significant problem for McCain is in Florida, where Obama has built a five point lead and reached the 50% mark in the latest RCP Average . Two new polls add to the small but steady lead Obama is maintaining ...

State Poll Dump
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... (Oct. 13, 612 LV) Obama 48 (-1 vs. last poll, Sept. 30) McCain 44 (-2) Und 7 Obama leads by 4.8 points in the RCP Average for Florida ...

CNN/Time Battleground Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... . Florida Obama 51 (nc vs. last poll Sept 28-30) McCain 46 (-1) Obama leads by 4.8% in the RCP Average for Florida . Georgia McCain 53 (no trend) Obama 45 McCain leads by 7.0% in the ...

The Palin Plunge: Voters Sour On McCain VP Pick
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... In Florida, where McCain had led - sometimes by relatively strong margins - Obama took the lead during the past month. Real Clear Politics gives Obama a 3.2 percentage point advantage in the state, which has become a key battleground. ...

The Palin Plunge: Voters Sour On McCain VP Pick
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... In Florida, where McCain had led - sometimes by relatively strong margins - Obama took the lead during the past month. Real Clear Politics gives Obama a 3.2 percentage point advantage in the state, which has become a key battleground. ...

A Good Day To Be In Tampa
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... a year ago to the World Series after defeating the Boston Red Sox in last night's decisive seventh game. The Obama camp planned the rally -- being held across the street from the Buccaneers' stadium -- in Tampa to coincide with the beginning of Florida's early voting period. Later in the day, Obama is set to hold a joint rally with Hillary Clinton in Orlando, and tomorrow will speak at two rallies in South Florida. Florida is currently a tight race, with Obama up by 3.2 points in the RCP Average , though Democrats are excited by the final voter registration numbers released in ...

Fox News/Rasmussen: CO, FL, MO, NC, OH
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — Here are new Fox News/Rasmussen polls taken Oct. 19 in five battleground states: Colorado (1000 LV) Obama 51 (nc vs. last poll, Oct. 5) McCain 46 (+1) Obama leads by 5.5 points in the RCP Average in Colorado Florida (1000 LV) McCain 49 (+3 vs. last poll, Oct. 12) Obama 48 (-3) Obama leads by 2.0 points in the RCP Average for Florida Missouri (1000 LV) Obama 49 (-1 vs. last poll, Oct. 12) McCain 44 (-3) Obama leads by 2.7 points in the RCP Average for Missouri North Carolina (1000 LV) Obama 51 (+3 vs. last poll, Oct. 12) ...

Poll Dancing
QandO — ... the on-the-ground reality of this election (and consummate poll-watcher, Michael Barone, doesn’t think they are that far off), that does not mean that McCain is actually ahead, nor that he doesn’t have serious work to do if he expects to win on Nov. 4. My best guess is that he’s still behind Obama in the key battleground states, although it is probably only by a point or two in places like Virginia and Missouri, and he may even have a lead in Florida and North Carolina. Strategically, however, it’s clear ...

Race Tightening
PoliGazette — ... But the big dogs of the toss-up states are Ohio and Florida (also Pennsylvania, but more on them later). Both races had McCain originally ahead, until the economic meltdown, and the subsequent McCain campaign meltdown. Obama then pulled ahead in both states. However, slowly but surely McCain has been eating away at those leads. In Florida RCP has Obama up by just 1.5 points, with the last three polls showing McCain ahead by 1-2 points, while Pollster has Obama up by 2.2 points. In Ohio ...

Pretending PA Is In Play
TalkLeft — ... and skate through in Florida. But I tell you where McCain will not win - Pennsylvania -- as well as Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada. And that, with the other Kerry states, gets Obama past 270 electoral votes. This election is over. McCain needs a miracle not to get blown out. ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — The Rudy Robo-Call | The RCP Blog Home Page | Candidate Statements on Jobless Claims October 23, 2008 Where Are They Today? Posted by BLAKE DVORAK | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email Author Just for a sense of what's going on today on the trail, here's where the candidates and their running mates are stumping (and links to those states' RCP Avgs): * Obama is in Indianapolis ; * McCain is in Florida ; * Biden is in North Carolina ; * and Palin is in Ohio , and later tonight in Pennsylvania ...

ABC's David Wright Knocks McCain's 'Angry Rant' Over Taxes
NewsBusters.org - Exposing Liberal Media Bias — ... Wright visited a McCain campaign headquarters and described supporters as "trying to scrounge up more volunteers." He then moved along to the Miami Obama HQ, where "there were a lot more people and they were busier." Despite Wright's scenario of doom and gloom, the Real Clear Politics average for Florida is only a 2.2 percent lead, with an October 21 NBC poll gave the Republican a one point edge. ...

Biden Mocks 'Maverick' Claims, Compares GOP Ticket to Bret and Bart Maverick
News — ... the main character of 1980s NBC series and his fictional brother, Bart. Biden said that McCain and Palin are not, in fact, mavericks. The Democratic VP nominee repeated an accusation that the two are more like President Bush's sidekicks than mavericks in their own right. "It's George W. Bush and the sidekicks, that's what we're talking about," Biden said. Biden swung through Florida today as polls show a narrow presidential race in the state, with Barack Obama leading McCain by an average of 3.4 percentage points. Embedded video from ...

Find The Nearest Coservative Democrat
Right Wing Nation — ... Democrats have an almost 2 to 1 advantage in numbers, yet McCain leads in the vote totals. RCP has Obama up 3.5% in Florida - totally opposite this massive wave of early voting.  According to a GMU site ...

Obama's Florida Bet
Swampland — ... looks promising for Obama where registered Dems are outpacing GOP voters 45.4% to 39.0%, though there's no way of telling which way those ballots were cast. Obama holds a 3.5% lead in the RCP average and a 4% lead in our latest ...

Al Gore to Campaign for Barack Obama
News — ... Change" events. "Nobody knows better that every single vote counts–especially in Florida–than Vice President Al Gore, who will be encouraging Florida voters to Early Vote in record numbers so no amount of chads, butterflies or undervotes can stand between Floridians and the change we need," Obama Florida State Director Steve Schale said. Current polls show a tight race in Florida, with Obama leading GOP rival John McCain by an average of 3.5 percentage points in RealClearPolitics' average of surveys, placing him near the margin of error for those polls. Gore carried the West ...

Nat'l Journal Polls: Obama Leads
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Florida (402 RV) Obama 48 McCain 44 Obama leads by 3.5 points in the RCP Average for Florida North Carolina (402 RV) Obama 47 McCain 43 Obama leads by 2.5 points in the ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * McCain is in Virginia , then later in Pennsylvania (then to "Saturday Night Live"); * Obama is in Nevada , then Colorado , then Missouri ; * Palin is in Florida , then North Carolina ; * Biden is in Indiana , then Ohio .

Dems Have Edge in Early Florida Voting
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... early and absentee voters so far -- with 86 percent of them registered Democrats. In 2004, black turnout for early and absentee voting was a bit more than 10 percent of the total. Black turnout has been especially high in the state's urban areas. In Broward County, blacks accounted for 39 percent of all early voters at the polls through Thursday; in Miami-Dade County, it was 30 percent. In Orange County, 30 percent of all voters were black; in Duval County, it was 36 percent. A new Mason-Dixon poll out today conducted October 29-30 shows Obama with a two-point lead over ...

Has Obama Given Up On PA?
Riehl World View — ...  for a total of 11 Evs. Wouldn't you rather be in Florida - clearly in a weaker position than Nevada but offering a total of 27 EVs? ...

Polling And The Nature Of Miracles
Riehl World View — ... examples - admittedly a rose-colored glasses interpretation that makes the race close, even without that simple error. You can pick your major poll and depending on how you pick one or a few, the case can be made that the race for President is too close to call. Both Mason Dixon and Rasmussen have Pennsylvania just within the margin of error. Two pollsters have Ohio just one point above the MOE for Obama. In Virginia it's three. Florida two - and the same for Nevada. What is most important now ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Latest Polls Videos Links Markets Sports Every (Electoral) Vote Counts | The RCP Blog Home Page November 2nd, 2008 Where Are They Today? Posted by Blake Dvorak | Email This | Permalink | Email Author A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * McCain is in Pennsylvania , New Hampshire and Florida ; * Obama is in Ohio ; * Palin is in Ohio; * Biden is in Florida. Sphere It! ...

Don’t Count McCain Out!
Flopping Aces — ... and Florida (click for latest polls): All are still in the Obama column, but all are tightening in the final days. ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * Obama is in Florida , ...

Guide For Watching Election Night Results
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... Of the presidential states with 8 pm poll closings, Florida is by far the most important. RCP's 4-poll average in Florida gives Obama a 4.2 point edge over McCain. If that holds up, Obama would be well on his way to victory. ...

Guide For Watching Election Night Results
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... Of the presidential states with 8 pm poll closings, Florida is by far the most important. RCP's 4-poll average in Florida gives Obama a 4.2 point edge over McCain. If that holds up, Obama would be well on his way to victory. ...

Fox News Battleground State Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Florida McCain 50 (+3 vs. last poll, Oct. 26) Obama 49 (-2) Obama leads by 1.8 points in the RCP Average for Florida Missouri McCain 49 (+2 vs. last poll, Oct. 26) Obama 49 (+1) McCain leads by 0.5 of a point in the ...

Being An Optimist Today
RedState: Conservative News and Community — Here's the Rose-Colored View 1) The last batch of swing state polls that came from Fox News/Rasmussen shows the closest numbers in a while. This includes McCain leads in FL (+1) and NC (+1). It shows a tie in MO and OH. And it shows McCain in striking distance in VA (-4) and CO (-4). 2) The major battleground states are narrowing each day. Look at the RCP graphs to see the movement: FL, NC, VA, CO, MO, OH. All the graphs show the same spike for McCain and dip for Obama. If that movement ...

A Coming Shift on Cuba
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... in Little Havana saying that his policy toward Cuba would be "guided by one word: libertad." In the speech Obama again advocated easing restrictions on remittances and travel to Cuba. Obama lost the meaningless Florida primary to Clinton in January by 17 points, which included a 33-point thumping among the state's Hispanics. But Obama won the Sunshine State 51-49 over McCain in November, including a majority of the Hispanic vote.  Obama ...