All American Maverick
The American Spectator — ... his Democratic rival in recent national polls. No Republican presidential candidate has carried Pennsylvania since 1988, and recent statewide polls show Sen. Barack Obama leading by more than 7 points. The McCain campaign projected confidence yesterday, however, as the candidate -- whose ads have mocked Obama as a " ...

Obama Leads In PA, NJ Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll shows Obama leading by 10 points, a margin increase of 4 points since the last poll taken in early June, shortly after Obama secured the Democratic nomination. Pennsylvania (August 4-9, 370 LV) Obama 46 (+4 vs. last poll, June 16-22) McCain 41 (+5) Obama leads by 6.8 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania New Jersey (August 4-10, 1468 LV) Obama 51 (+6 vs. last poll, June 5-8) McCain 41 (+2) Obama leads by 10.7 points in the ...

Polling Pennsylvania
RedState: Conservative News and Community —

The Million Dollar Question
The Next Right — Over at Redstate, Adam C raises what is probably the most important question of the election season for pollsters: Let's take a look at PA polling and party ID. Today, Franklin and Marshall released a new poll showing Obama +5. This is in line with other recent polls showing a comfortable Obama cushion (RCP Ave.: Obama +6.8%) that is similar to his national lead. But the F&M poll is a sample of 50D/38R or D+12. I thought that looked a bit more Democratic than I would expect so I looked into. In 2004, PA exit polls showed the ...

PA Poll: Obama +3
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll in Pennsylvania (August 19, 700 LV) has Obama's lead over McCain down to 3 points, a 3-point drop for Obama since the last poll taken in mid-July. Obama 48 (-3 vs. last poll, July 23) McCain 45 (nc) Obama leads by 5.8 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania ...

Scranton, Delaware?
RedState: Conservative News and Community — ... The Obama campaign is worried about Pennsylvania. The state went for Gore in 2000 by four points, and for Kerry in 2004 by 2.5. The Real Clear Politics average shows Obama leading by just under six points. But the last three polls put the race in the state under 5 points with the most recent showing a ...

Quinnipiac Swing State Polls: FL, OH, PA
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... in PA hasn't moved at all in the last month according to Quinnipiac: Obama 49 (nc vs. last poll July 31) McCain 42 (nc) Undecided 9 (+1) Favorable Ratings: Obama +21 (53/32), McCain + 15 (50/35) Slicing the demos: Obama is winning Independents by 10 (48-38) and women by 16 (53-37). McCain is winning men by 4 (47-43) but he's losing 13% of Republicans to Obama. One in four supporters of Hillary Clinton say they will vote for McCain in November. Overall, Obama leads by 5.0% in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania . Sample sizes and Margins of error for the Quinnipiac surveys: ...

Doldrums
The Stump — ... It'll be a few more days before we learn whether McCain-Palin are just riding a convention bounce or have changed the fundamental dynamics of the race. I think there's good reason to believe Palinmania will wear off and Obama will rise again. But it's got to be unnerving out in Chicago to see that a must-win state like Pennsylvania is creeping ever closer to a tie. ...

Sneak Peek: Obama Up 2 in PA
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... will be releasing a survey of Pennsylvania tomorrow (Sept. 5-7, MoE +/-3.0%) showing Obama leading McCain by two points, 47-45, with 3% supporting other candidates and 5% undecided. That's a 7 point drop for Obama from SV's last poll taken in late July showing Obama ahead 49-40. ...

Does Obama Have A Serious PA Problem?
Riehl World View — John Kerry took Pennsylvania by two points against Bush in 2004. Obama lost the PA primary to Hillary but led McCain there by 12 as recently as mid-June. His lead has been shrinking ever since and the two most recent polls have the PA race at 2 points - albeit advantage Obama: see here and here. Given McCain's current momentum while Obama seems to be starting to flail a bit, this is very bad news for Obama. If he loses Pennsylvania and its 21 Electoral Votes, this thing could be over. Democrats lost the White House while carrying ...

Swing-State Tour Ends In Virginia
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... South Side and outside Richmond; and on Tuesday and Wednesday, Obama held events in the southwestern corner of the state and in Norfolk. Along with Virginia, McCain is working to defend Colorado, New Mexico and Ohio, all of which Pres. Bush won in 2004. Obama currently leads in Colorado and New Mexico , according to the latest RCP Averages. The two are tied in Ohio , and McCain leads by 2.6 points in Virginia . Obama currently leads in Pennsylvania , Michigan and Wisconsin , the three swing states won by John Kerry that McCain ...

Brainster's Blog — ... Remember, no candidate yet has been able to win without a victory in two of three states: Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio. And things are tight in the Keystone State, with Obama showing only a 2-3 point lead.

Uh-O... Pennsylvania's Bitter, Clinging, Bible-Thumping Gun Nuts Turning Against Obama
The Jawa Report — September 13, 2008 Uh-O... Pennsylvania's Bitter, Clinging, Bible-Thumping Gun Nuts Turning Against Obama mccain-obama-pa.gif If you think the above chart looks bad, wait 'til you see ...

Battleground Polls: CO, FL, OH, PA, VA
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... 48 (+2 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 46 (-3) Obama leads by 0.6 of a point in the RCP Average for Colorado Florida McCain 49 (+1 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 44 (-4) McCain leads by 6.3 points in the RCP Average for Florida Ohio McCain 48 (-3 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 45 (+1) McCain leads by 2.2 points in the RCP Average for Ohio Pennsylvania Obama 47 (nc vs. last poll, Sept. 7) McCain 47 (+2) Obama leads by 1.6 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania Virginia McCain 48 (-1 vs. last poll, Sept. 7) Obama 48 ...

NH Union Leader: Barack Obama is not the candidate you thought you knew
Sister Toldjah — ... . McCain won’t be able to win without flipping a couple of states as well. One I’m sure he’s hoping to flip is Pennsylvania. In the even that he doesn’t, being able to flip a state like NH - and perhaps Minnesota and/or Michigan could mean just the difference Mc would need to win in November. ...

PA Poll: Obama +2
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... poll in Pennsylvania has Obama leading McCain by 2 points (Sept. 16-18, 625 LV). Obama 46 McCain 44 Obama leads by 1.8 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania ...

Battleground Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... . Pennsylvania Obama 48 (+1 vs. last poll on Sept. 14) McCain 45 (-2) Obama leads by 2.5% in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania . Virginia McCain 50 (+2 vs. last poll on Sept. 14) Obama 48 (nc) McCain is up 1.3% in the ...

The latest from Virginia and Pennsylvania
Power Line — ... attack ads. Meanwhile, if advertising during Redskins games and selected other sporting events is a guide, McCain is not hitting back. The economy, naturally enough, is the biggest issues for Virginians these days, the Post/ABC News survey found. So McCain needs to get a coherent economic message out (not that I want to sound like a broken record). McCain no doubt would trade Virginia's 13 electoral votes for Pennsylvania's 21. And McCain isn't doing badly in the Keystone state. The RCP average his him trailing Obama by only 2.5 percentage points. This will increase only ...

Even More State Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — -- New Rasmussen polls: North Carolina Obama 49 McCain 47 McCain leads by 3.2 points in the RCP Average for North Carolina Ohio McCain 47 Obama 46 McCain leads by 1.2 points in the RCP Average for Ohio Pennsylvania Obama 49 McCain 45 *Also, a SurveyUSA poll has the race at Obama 50, McCain 44 Obama leads by 3.7 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania West Virginia McCain 50 Obama 42 McCain leads by 5.7 points in the RCP Average for West Virginia -- New Strategic Vision polls: Michigan Obama 48 McCain 45 ...

State Polls Update
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — Pennsylvania - Morning Call Obama 47 McCain 43 Obama leads by 3.5 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania Virginia - Rasmussen Obama 50 McCain 45 Obama now leads by 0.3 of a point in the RCP Average for Virginia New York - SurveyUSA Obama 57 McCain 38 Obama leads by 12.4 points in the RCP Average for New York Missouri - SurveyUSA McCain 48 Obama 46 McCain leads by 3.2 points in the RCP Average for Missouri **The poll also found Atty Gen. Jay Nixon (D) leading Rep. Kenny Hulshof (R) 57%-34% in the ...

Fox News/Rasmussen Swing State Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Pennsylvania Obama 50 McCain 42 Obama leads by 5.5 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania Virginia Obama 50 McCain 47 Obama leads by 1.4 points in the ...

Paul Jenkins: Obama and Democrats Fighting Hard on GOP Turf
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... and Florida (which are also among the Bush states most likely to go Democratic), Obama could lose both and still win comfortably overall. That is not to say those states don't matter: McCain basically has no shot at the presidency if he does not win both. McCain has so little room to maneuver because Democratic states long-targeted by his campaign have mostly been coming home to Obama in recent weeks: he leads by comfortable and growing margins in Michigan and Pennsylvania, for instance. It is not inconceivable that Minnesota or Wisconsin ...

Obama Continues to Make Gains
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... , 48% to 46%, erasing a McCain lead that reached a high of 2.4% on September 15. Pennsylvania: On the 18th of September, Obama's lead in the RCP Average in Pennsylvania reached a low of 1.3% (46.8 to 45.5). In the intervening two weeks, however, support for Obama has jump three points to nearly 50% while McCain's support has eroded by an equal amount (-3.5%). Obama's lead in Pennsylvania is now up to 7.7%. The Mountain West Colorado: Obama maintained a tiny lead in Colorado (0.4%) heading into the Democratic National Convention in late August. By the middle of September, he ...

Hmmm: McCain creeps back to within four in new Gallup
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... we need to win. Quinnipiac’s numbers actually do look like outliers, but the trends ain’t good even in other polls in Pennsylvania and ...

McCain gives up on Michigan
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... has The One with fully 336 EVs right now versus barely 200 for Team Maverick. There is, in short, no more margin for error. Assuming Iowa and New Mexico are lost causes and Obama can hold the rest of Kerry’s cards, every last toss-up state that went for Bush four years ago has to break McCain’s way. Exit question: Which swing state will Maverick pull out of next? Exit answer: This one.

McCain Camp Confirms Michigan Report
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... and Pennsylvania , where they feel they have a better chance of picking up electoral votes. Democrats have won Wisconsin by 1 point or less the last two elections, and John Kerry won Pennsylvania by just 3 points in 2004. Obama currently leads by at least 5 points in the RCP Averages in both states. DuHaime and senior adviser Greg Strimple, also on the conference call, also said they plan to move resources to ...

THAT SINKING FEELING
Right Wing Nut House — ... the kitchen sink – but history is telling us it won’t be enough. The problem McCain has is that he must play defense in too many states while his opportunities for flipping some blue states are few and getting fewer. Pennsylvania is a good example. Just a few short weeks ago, McCain appeared to be on the rise in the Keystone state, with some polls showing him within the margin of error. But the last 2 weeks have been disasterous. McCain now trails by 15 and 12 points in the two most recent polls and it appears that PA is now beyond reach. One of my correspondents said that ...

McCain Camp Thinks PA and WI Stronger Than MI. Really?
The Next Right — ... McCain is currently losing PA by 9.2% in RCP and by 7 in the FiveThirtyEight projection. There, he should be losing by 10.8%. In Wisconsin, RCP has him down by ...

Survey USA: Obama by 15 in Pennsylvania
Hot Air » Top Picks — Survey USA: Obama by 15 in Pennsylvania posted at 2:01 pm on October 7, 2008 by Allahpundit Send to a Friend | printer-friendly Another horrifying SUSA state poll that oversamples Dems (50/39), another lead so wide that even a correctly weighted sample probably still equals a double-digit advantage for The One. Quinnipiac also had him by 15 last week and something called Morning Call Tracking has him up 10 . The RCP spread: 11 points , four more than the current margin in Michigan , where Maverick’s already abandoned ship. The ...

Obama Tours Philly
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... than Casey won in the 2006 general election. Combined with Clinton, the two Democrats took in a total of some 442,000 votes, only 100,000 less than Kerry won in the county in the 2004 general. Obama appears set for a result in the state that will more closely resemble Casey's win than Kerry's. Obama's lead has continued to grow since mid-September, when the RCP polling average margin between Obama and McCain was within just a couple of points. Obama now leads by 13.8 points in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania .

10/13 Recap
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... . All of these states are now must wins for McCain, given that two more polls in Pennsylvania confirm that his chances of winning there have taken a significant hit over the past couple of weeks. In the ...

McCain Seeking Way To Win Without Winning
pandagon.net - we are the public option — by Jesse Taylor McCain is giving up on Colorado, and is instead focusing on Pennsylvania. Barack Obama is up an average of 11 in Pennsylvania. This means one of two things: either John McCain plans to go full-out Reverend Wright for the next two weeks (in which case it’ll actually be for about two days after the McCain campaign spends the next week mumbling about it, releases a web ad, and then McCain is forced to back off it after someone at a rally yells, “Burn a cross, see what he thinks about that!"), or McCain is ...

McCain going for broke in Pennsylvania?
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... meanwhile, said internal polls show Mr. Obama’s lead in the “mid- to low single digits.”… But Mr. Madonna said time is running out for the Republican. “I thought all along that if he could get it into single digits this week, he had a chance. He hasn’t. They say his internal polls show him better than our state polls, but wait a minute. What that means is that every single poll - every single poll - done in the last couple weeks is wrong. That can’t be,” he said with a laugh. Yeah, every poll this month except one has Obama by double digits, and the one outlier has him by ...

Should Obama Be Worried About Pennsylvania?
Truthdig: Drilling Beneath the Headlines — ... Real Clear Politics has Barack Obama leading in Pennsylvania by an average of 11 points, so why is John McCain betting on an upset there of all swing states? It seems Ed Rendell shares his thinking—the Democratic governor ...

John McCain's political guru explains how he wins Pennsylvania
Top of the Ticket — ... . Romano also appropriately cast a skeptical eye on that strategy, in light of what the Pennsylvania polls have been indicating. ...

Something Strange Coming Your Way
Classical Values — Something Strange Coming Your Way Real Clear Politics has Obama up by 11 in Pennsylvania as of 22 Oct 008 0300z. And yet Governor Rendell is ...

Should Obama Be Worried About Pennsylvania?
Truthdig: Drilling Beneath the Headlines — ... Real Clear Politics has Barack Obama leading in Pennsylvania by an average of 11 points, so why is John McCain betting on an upset there, of all swing states? It seems that Gov. Ed Rendell is among the Democrats who are nervous: He has asked the Obama campaign to send its big guns back to the Keystone State. ...

Is Pennsylvania in play after all, based on Obama campaign polling?
Top of the Ticket — ... campaign in Pennsylvania that supposedly showed the Democrat leading there by only 2 percentage points -- a much-slimmer margin than independent surveys have recorded for him and one that would make the race for the state a tossup. ...

Race Tightening
PoliGazette — ... I’ve left Pennsylvania for last because of events, not in the polls, but in the news. Poll-wise, it’s not a very interesting state. RCP considers it solid Obama territory, giving him a 11.4 point lead in the state. McCain didn’t even lead here after his convention bump. Meanwhile ...

The McCain Victory Scenario
The Corner on National Review Online — ... ] I have no special knowledge of Pennsylvania politics, but it seems very unlikely that McCain can win there. Maybe internal polls show it differently, but Obama leads by 8-15 points in the latest state polls according to RCP. The more viable scenario would appear to be holding the states Bush won both in 2000 and 2004. This is difficult and leaves no margin for error, but not impossible. In ...

Big Ten Battleground Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... . Pennsylvania Obama 52 (+7 vs. last poll Sept 14-17) McCain 41 (-4) Obama leads by 10.5% in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania . Wisconsin Obama 53 (+8 vs. last poll Sept 14-17) McCain 40 (-4) Obama leads by 11.4% in the ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... on Jobless Claims October 23, 2008 Where Are They Today? Posted by BLAKE DVORAK | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email Author Just for a sense of what's going on today on the trail, here's where the candidates and their running mates are stumping (and links to those states' RCP Avgs): * Obama is in Indianapolis ; * McCain is in Florida ; * Biden is in North Carolina ; * and Palin is in Ohio , and later tonight in Pennsylvania . Sphere It! |

State of the Race
Politics Daily — ... PA. McCain keeps pushing PA with plenty of appearances this week. It appears they will go down to the end. They are either praying, or they are seeing something in their internals no one else is. They can't bluff, because Obama has internals too. But Obama's camp is saying they have PA under control, Ed Rendell notwithstanding. If Obama or Biden make more trips to PA next week, I'd say there might be something happening there. ...

Is the Race Over?
Pajamas Media — ... and a newfound concentration on Pennsylvania have left conservatives scratching there heads. Are the public polls showing double digit leads for Obama in both states really that far off base? Why hasn’t McCain planted himself or his running mate in ...

Why I'm Still Sweating an Obama Victory
The Stump — ... trackers, which haven't changed much in the last few days). If that drops two-to-three points, as it easily could in a week, I don't think it's crazy to think McCain will have a shot at winning Pennsylvania, Virginia, and/or Colorado. Unlikely, yes, but not crazy. According to sites like Real Clear and Pollster.com, Obama's lead in those states is currently larger than his 5.5 point national lead (significantly so in Pennsylvania). But, as I ...

Matt Lewis: Libs Still Worried About Election
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog — ... trackers, which haven't changed much in the last few days). If that drops two-to-three points, as it easily could in a week, I don't think it's crazy to think McCain will have a shot at winning Pennsylvania, Virginia, and/or Colorado. Unlikely, yes, but not crazy. According to sites like Real Clear and Pollster.com, Obama's lead in those states is currently larger than his 5.5 point national lead (significantly so in Pennsylvania ). But, as I ...

Florida and Ohio looking good for Barack Obama, new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll finds
Top of the Ticket — ... as part of his campaign's unrelenting effort to claim its 21 electoral votes. But even if he succeeds in doing that next Tuesday (which several polls indicate would rank as a major upset), Obama victories in Florida (27 electoral votes) and Ohio (20 electoral votes) almost assuredly would claim the White House. ...

don't sweat it
skippy the bush kangaroo — ... trackers, which haven't changed much in the last few days). if that drops two-to-three points, as it easily could in a week, i don't think it's crazy to think mccain will have a shot at winning pennsylvania, virginia, and/or colorado. unlikely, yes, but not crazy. according to sites like real clear and pollster.com, obama's lead in those states is currently larger than his 5.5 point national lead (significantly so in pennsylvania). but, as i ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... The Morning Report | The RCP Blog Home Page | Politico/InAdv Polls: MO, NC October 31st, 2008 Where Are They Today? Posted by Blake Dvorak | Email This | Permalink | Email Author A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * McCain is still in Ohio ; * Obama is in Iowa , then on to Indiana ; * Palin is in Pennsylvania ; * Biden is in Delaware , then on to Ohio. Sphere It! | [image] ...

The Campaign Spot on National Review Online
Outside The Beltway | OTB — ... 13 percent in early October, and put Obama’s lead at 7 percent on Monday. I don’t know if the state is tightening enough to put McCain over the top. But right now, putting resources in that state doesn’t look like such a wild gamble at all. Pennsylvania is Team McCain’s only hope for snagging a significant Blue State — i.e., one that went for Kerry or Gore — and overcome some sure losses in Red States.  Unfortunately, Mason Dixon and Rasmussen are looking like outliers.  Here’s the RCP summary of all the major polls in the Keystone State commissioned over the last week or so: ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * McCain is in Virginia , then later in Pennsylvania (then to "Saturday Night Live"); * Obama is in Nevada , then Colorado , then Missouri ; * Palin is in Florida , then North Carolina ; * Biden is in Indiana , then Ohio .

What If McCain Wins PA?
The Stump — ... I'm no Nate Silver, but it doesn't seem easy to dismiss two polls in the past three days showing Obama with just a four-point lead in Pennsylvania (even if one of them is the work of the GOP-friendly Rasmussen). ...

A Quick Note About Zogby Showing McCain Ahead
The Next Right — ... If you're looking at good news, I'd take a gander at the trends in Pennsylvania, and the fact that both campaigns are visiting Iowa this week. ...

Has Obama Given Up On PA?
Riehl World View — I appreciate the way Ambinder spins this, but does it really make sense? If it's All About Pennsylvania.... Then the Obama campaign is betraying a certain confidence. At this point, there are no plans for Sen. Obama to visit the state between now and Tuesday. Perhaps, but if Rasmussen and Mason-Dixon have it right, PA is only plus Obama by 4%. Obama is in Nevada. The two latest polls have Obama up from 4-5 points there. Meanwhile, right next store to PA, Ohio might be also only at plus 4 Obama ...

PA GOP: Obama Wrong on Wright
Politics Daily — ... the cynical type, I can easily believe that the McCain team actually focused it and decided that it didn't hit hard enough to be worth it and/or Obama had something up his sleeve in response. But I can also believe that this is McCain being McCain, known more for chastising his own side to avoid criticizing a Democrat. Will he speak against the state GOP on this? Will the ad swing Pennsylvania over to his side? There are four state polls in recent days that show PA in single digits and moving toward McCain. Rasmussen: The latest Rasmussen ...

Polling And The Nature Of Miracles
Riehl World View — ... Democrat versus Republican voter ID and subsequent turn-out numbers by only a point or two, we could be in for a surprise by Tuesday night. Below are some key examples - admittedly a rose-colored glasses interpretation that makes the race close, even without that simple error. You can pick your major poll and depending on how you pick one or a few, the case can be made that the race for President is too close to call. Both Mason Dixon and Rasmussen have Pennsylvania just within the margin of error. Two pollsters have Ohio just one ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * McCain is in Pennsylvania , ...

Poll Dump
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Obama +13 MI Detroit Free Press Obama 53, McCain 37 Obama +16 MN Star Tribune Obama 53, McCain 42 Obama +11 MO Mason-Dixon McCain 47, Obama 46 McCain +1 NV LVRJ/Mason-Dixon Obama 47, McCain 43 Obama +4 NC Mason-Dixon Obama 46, McCain 49 McCain +3 OH Mason-Dixon Obama 45, McCain 47 McCain +2 OH Columbus Dispatch* Obama 52, McCain 46 Obama +6 PA Morning Call Obama 52, McCain 45 Obama +7 UT Deseret News ...

Obama: We Will Bankrupt the Coal Plants
Politics Daily — ... McCain is targeting OH, VA, WV, and PA, a blue state that where McCain has been quickly catching up in the polling numbers. All of these states have large areas where Coal is a huge and necessary industry. And I mean the type of industry that keeps towns together, pays for schools and jobs. ...

The Importance of Pennsylvania
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — McCain has spent a good portion of this final weekend campaigning in Pennsylvania, even though he still trails by 7-points in the latest RCP Avg. However, he trailed by about 14-points in early October, so halving that is admirable. More to the point, if McCain can pull out a victory in Pennsylvania, he's made Obama's path to victory that much harder. That McCain is spending so much  time there probably means that his campaign has figured how election night is likely to go -- with certain states like Florida, North Carolina and Indiana turning his way.  That puts the focus on ...

Don’t Count McCain Out!
Flopping Aces — ... who is living illegally in this country. Obama said he had no idea the woman he refers affectionately to as “Auntie Zeituni” in his memoir had been ordered out of the country four years ago by an immigration judge but said he believed all U.S. laws should be followed. She lives in public housing in Boston and attended Obama’s swearing-in as a U.S. senator in 2004 and, according to Obama, last talked to him about two years ago. • Pennsylvania, Ohio and ...

McCain Camp: Things Are Getting Tight
Swampland — ... "McCain is in a good position to win every red state," Black said. "Plus he is probably going to win Pennsylvania and Iowa." Polls have narrowed sharply in Pennsylvania in recent weeks, though Obama still has a sizable lead of 7 points in the Real Clear Politics average. Black said he had seen a poll recently that showed McCain tied in the Philadelphia suburbs, a crucial swing region of the state. ...

How to Lose Pennsylvania?
Weekly Standard Blog — ... at the state of the race in Pennsylvania. The RCP average of polls shows McCain down by 7 points in the state, with Rasmussen and Mason-Dixon polls showing McCain trailing by just 4 points. (The Mason-Dixon poll is particularly good news for McCain, as it shows Obama leading 47 percent to 44 percent, while in every other recent poll, including Rasmussen, Obama gets more than 50 percent.) ...

Where Are They Today?
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — ... Markets Sports The Morning Report | The RCP Blog Home Page November 3rd, 2008 Where Are They Today? Posted by Blake Dvorak | Email This | Permalink | Email Author A quick look at where the candidates and their running mates are campaigning today with links to those states' RCP Avgs: * Obama is in Florida , North Carolina and Virginia ; * McCain is in Florida, Tennessee , Pennsylvania , Indiana , New Mexico , Nevada and Arizona ; * Biden ...

How McCain Might Win
Weekly Standard Blog — ... And, of course, McCain would only need one of those three states if he pulls off an upset in Pennsylvania, where he's currently trailing by 7.6 points according to RCP. But remember that Hillary Clinton ...

Morris and Hannity Promote Discredited Smear That Obama Would Not Get Security Clearance
News Hounds — ... Then Hannity quickly moved on to show the latest Rev. Wright attack ad in its entirety. Hannity said, "I want to run (the ad) for you and see if you think this could help what is now Rasmussen 4 point race in the state of Pennsylvania." Actually, Rasmussen had it as a 6 point race. But why worry about numbers if you can't trust them, eh? ...