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firedoglake.com - 1/10/2009

FDL Book Salon Welcomes Andrew Gelman: Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State

— firedoglake.com — Discussions of American politics in the media are dominated by conventional wisdom and lazy stereotypes rather than... serious inquiry into the data. The cure to this disease is Andrew Gelman's Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State an inquiry ... (more) FDL Book Salon Welcomes Andrew Gelman: Red State, Blue ...

Rich Lowry

Comments vote downundo vote up Matthew Yglesias found this 1/10/2009found this

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calitics.com - 1/15/2009

: The State Of The State Is, Well, You Know

— calitics.com — (KQED here in the Bay Area will be airing live coverage at 10, as well as an... hour of "pre-game" coverage on their Forum program at 9. You can listen live here . The California Channel will be covering it live as well. - promoted by Brian Leubitz ) ... (more) : The State Of The State Is, Well, You Know

Comments vote downundo vote up Seeing the Forest found this 1/15/2009found this

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amazon.com - 1/5/2009

How Barack Obama Won: A State-by-State Guide to the Historic 2008 Presidential Election ...

— amazon.com — Product Description How Barack Obama Won—by one of the most lauded political journalists of our time, and... one of the most respected pollsters in the business—gives us not only the inside state-by-state guide to how Obama achieved his victory, but also ... (more) How Barack Obama Won: A State-by-State Guide to the ...

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up Taegan Goddard's Political Wire found this 1/5/2009found this

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The 2008 election
The Monkey Cage — ... minority and gained some votes from having a much better funded campaign, and McCain probably lost a little bit by his choice of vice-presidential candidate. But the economy was #1. Even before the bank and stock market meltdown, large majorities of survey respondents were saying that economic issues were most important to them, and the economy wasn’t looking good. The articles under discussion Given my perspective as stated above (also see here for more discussion of the presidential election and here for my discussion of ...

Elections Getting Duller
Matthew Yglesias — ... Election commentary had a tendency to get into some very fine-grained state-by-state analysis about what does and doesn’t appeal to voters in Pennsylvania or Colorado or the I-4 corridor in Florida and so forth. The evidence, however, was of a pretty boring more-or-less uniform national swing: ...

Did Obama Do Better in States with Bad Economies?
The Monkey Cage — ... 2007 to October 2008. Here’s the first plot. The rest are below the fold. The upshot here: the relationships are modest at best, and even the stronger relationships may derive from Hawaii’s outlier status. Simple regression models with one economic indicator and a dummy variable for Hawaii reveal no statistically significant relationships. Further evidence of a uniform swing?

Rich and poor still vote differently in red and blue states
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... What happened in 2008? Exit polls were made available immediately--as of election night. The next step is to go to individual-level data, which we recently obtained from the ...