tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com - 12/5/2008
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Four votes.
That's how many votes the Franken campaign just said they're leading Norm Coleman by, with the hand recount now officially finished. In other words, with every single precinct in Minnesota now done counting (except for the one where they're still searching for the missing votes), ...
twincities.com - 12/3/2008
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twincities.com —
What Maplewood giveth, Minneapolis taketh away. Elections officials
in Minnesota's largest city today discovered that one precinct...
came up 133 ballots short of election day totals, resulting in a net loss for Democratic challenger Al Franken of 36 ...
(more)
Minneapolis discovery costs Franken 36 votes
huffingtonpost.com - 12/3/2008
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huffingtonpost.com —
Aides to Al Franken's senatorial campaign announced on
Wednesday that, for the first time since the recount...
began, they were actually ahead of Sen. Norm Coleman. Speaking on a conference call with reporters, Franken's chief counsel Marc Elias said ...
(more)
Franken Ahead 22 Votes Now, Campaign Says
tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com - 12/5/2008
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tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com —
So what exactly happens if that missing envelope
from Minneapolis, which is believed to contain 133 votes...
that heavily favored Al Franken, is simply never found? Could the recount just be certified without it? A state official just confirmed to ...
(more)
Official: Lost Ballots Could Be Restored In Final Count, ...
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FOUR VOTES
Talking Points Memo —
As Minnesota Senate recount officially ends, Franken camp claims a lead that can be counted on the fingers of one hand.
...
The recount ends (but not really) in Minnesota
Political Animal —
... thousands of challenged ballots that will be reviewed by the state Canvassing Board starting on Dec. 16. Likely court fights suggest even that phase won't actually end the contest. Who's winning at this point? According to the latest tabulation from the Star Tribune , Norm Coleman led Al Franken by 251 votes, not including any changes that may have come from this morning's votes. The Franken campaign believes it's ahead, as of right now, by literally four votes. As Eric Kleefeld explained , "The Franken camp's methodology involves taking down the opinions of the local ...
I Think They Should Wrestle For It
Rising Hegemon —
TPM: Four votes. That's how many votes the Franken campaign just said they're leading Norm Coleman by, with the hand recount now officially finished. In other words, with every single precinct in Minnesota now done counting (except for the one where they're still searching for the missing votes), the Franken campaign is claiming the lead. An extremely slim lead, but a lead nonetheless.NYT: Luckily, Minnesota’s electoral law has a provision for ties. ...
Minnesota May Heading Toward Resolution -- In Court
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right —
... A third alternative is presented by the Franken campaign itself. This method assumes that all challenges will be rejected, and that the initial ruling of the local elections judge will prevail. Under this accounting, the Franken campaign claims to lead by the grand total of 4 ballots. In theory, this is the best way to do things; the vast majority of challenges almost certianly will be rejected by the Canvassing Board, and so to give the benefit of the doubt to the challenger -- as the Star Tribune count does -- does not make a lot of sense. Of course, it requires us to take ...
Franken Appears Likely to Lead After Challenge Phase
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right —
... These assumptions are calibrated off the Franken campaign's assertion that it was ahead by 4 ballots, assuming that all challenges would be rejected. This implies, for instance, that a slightly higher percentage of withdrawn Coleman challenges will be converted to Franken ballots than the other way around (not all withdrawn challenges will produce a vote for the opponent, since some were made to ballots deemed to be illegal that the campaigns were hoping to get counted for themselves). ...
Franken is Winning, and Coleman Knows It
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right —
... 2. Prior to the challenge phase beginning, the Franken campaign claimed that it would gain ground if all challenges were rejected, pulling 4 ballots ahead of Coleman. A necessary implication of Franken's claim is that he had a higher proportion of Type 2 challenges. If I try and work backwards from the Franken campaign's math, I show that Franken now has a lead of something like 66 votes after accounting for withdrawn challenges. ...
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"The ...
Franken Camp: We're Ahead by 10 Votes*
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tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com 11/21/2008 — Has Al Franken cut Norm Coleman's lead down to double digits ? That's what the Franken campaign just claimed in a briefing with reporters.
The current estimates from the Star Tribune have Coleman up by about 130 votes, but the Franken campaigns ...
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tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com 12/4/2008 — In a briefing with reporters just now, the Franken campaign essentially confirmed what many of us have suspected: That if those 133 ballots there were reported to be missing yesterday in Minneapolis are not recovered, Al Franken will lose the ...
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fivethirtyeight.com 11/23/2008 — As we wrote yesterday evening, the ever-increasing number of challenged ballots in Minnesota is making it more and more difficult to determine the extent to which Al Franken is in fact gaining ground in the state's recount process. An analysis of ...
So What's the Deal with Franken?
corner.nationalreview.com 12/4/2008 — Yesterday the Washington Post's Chris Cillizza updated the Minnesota Senate recount under heading "Counting Chaos!" Yet the text of his update mostly belied the heading (and the exclamation mark).
Two weeks after Election Day, incumbent Republican ...
Franken Lawyer: "We Are Going To Win"
huffingtonpost.com 12/3/2008 — The Franken campaign struck a tone of confidence on Tuesday, insisting that once the votes were counted the numbers will reveal that they had bested Norm Coleman in the Minnesota Senate race.
"I'm very confident that Franken is going to win," said ...
Franken Claims to Have Lead of 35-50 Votes
fivethirtyeight.com 12/22/2008 — Missed this story yesterday, but: Al Franken’s campaign is as close to declaring victory as it has throughout the weeks-long recount in the Minnesota Senate race. Franken’s campaign attorney Marc Elias said he expects Franken to be leading Sen. Norm ...
Minn. Senate recount nears end: Coleman leads —
Reuters: Politics 12/5/2008
MINNEAPOLIS (Reuters) - A recount in Minnesota's U.S. Senate race between Republican incumbent Norm Coleman and Democrat Al Franken lurched toward an inconclusive end on Friday with Coleman leading by 251 votes out of more than 2.4 million ballots ...
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