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Franken's Odds of Winning Recount May Be Long -- or Short

The Reaction found this 11/10/2008 on fivethirtyeight.com

Votes counted in Minnesota's senate race: 2,833,089 Votes separating Norm Coleman and Al Franken: 221 Determining a candidate's odds of winning a recount is a function of three parameters. The first parameter is the margin separating the leading and trailing candidates. In Minnesota, this ...