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Gallup Daily: Before Final Debate, Obama Leads by 7
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News —
... than has been the case in recent weeks. His 43% share of the vote matches his high over the past two weeks -- roughly covering the month of October to date -- due, in part, to a stronger showing in Tuesday night's polling. Obama's 50% support level matches his average for October to date. Obama has held a statistically significant lead, as large as 11 points at times, over McCain among registered voters since just before the first presidential debate in late September. Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111172/Gallup-Daily-Before-F... [image] [image]
TPM Track Composite: Obama Holds Steady Lead Over McCain
TPM Election Central —
Here's our daily composite of the five major national tracking polls. Barack Obama is holding on to his big lead over John McCain, which has remained relatively unchanged since the financial meltdown became big news:
• Gallup*: Obama 52%, McCain 44%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 53%-43% Obama lead yesterday.
• Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 49%, McCain 41%, with a ±3.4% margin of error, compared to a 48%-42% Obama lead from ...
Hugh Hewitt: Gallup On Debate Day: Tightening
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog —
... | Photos | Funnies | [image] Blog [image] | Your Blogs | Issues | Get Magazine [image] [image] Hugh Hewitt | Mike Gallagher | Michael Medved | Mary Katharine Ham | Kevin McCullough | Matt Lewis | Radio Blogger | Your Blogs Directory [image] Wednesday, October 15, 2008 Gallup On Debate Day: Tightening Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 1:41 PM Closer than you had been led to believe? f8sdadan [image] Email It | Print It | ...
Gallup: Three Point Race Among Likelies
Ace of Spades HQ —
Gallup: Three Point Race Among Likelies 7 among registered voters. Using the HopeyChangey turnout model, which only takes account of someone's self-reported determination to vote (something that is inherently unreliable, which is why it's never used), Obama is up by 8. That 8 is too high but I'm sure a lot of these cultists will vote for the first time, much more than usual. So the lead is... who knows? 5? 6? The ...
Gallup Poll: Is the Presidential Race Tightening Again?
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog —
...
The answer is perhaps when you look at the next poll graphic:
If McCain makes a good showing in tonight’s debate, he might have a chance of beating Obama. Of course, Obama will look for a knockout blow. ...
National Tracking Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com —
This is where the national daily tracking polls stand as of today: Rasmussen : Obama 50 (nc), McCain 45 (nc) Diageo/Hotline : Obama 49 (+1), McCain 41 (-1) GW/Battleground : Obama 51 (-2), McCain 43 (+3) Reuters/C-Span/Zogby : Obama 48 (-1), McCain 44 (+1) Gallup (Traditional LV model*) : Obama 49 (-2), McCain 46 (+1) Gallup (Expanded LV model*) : Obama 52 (-1), McCain 44 (+1) (change since yesterday) *Gallup Tracking "Traditional" and "Expanded" Likely Voter models are weighted at 50%, so that the survey only counts once in the RCP National ...
Gallup: McCain trails by just three among likelies (sort of); Update: Obama claims his lead would be bigger if not for Fox News
Hot Air » Top Picks —
... The “polls don’t mean anything!” crowd has suddenly decided that this one does mean something and dared me in the comments to another thread to post it, which I’d been planning to do. Here you go: Obama 50, McCain 43 among registereds, a net gain of four for Maverick since last week, and Obama 49, McCain 46 among likely voters, two points better than the recent Gallup average and the steady ...
Obama Camp’s Marchin Orders to Media Leaked
Stop The ACLU —
... since this crisis began - staggering from position to position and trying to change the subject away from the economy by launching false character attacks. I guess we see how the Obama camp want the picture painted. Its mostly already being painted this way. We will see how closely the media follow their marching orders. Heh, the email started out: “Reminder: These are for staff only and not for distribution,” O.K. class…the word for the day is “erratic”! Meanwhile, the polls tighten.
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 16
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
The Polls - 9/16
TalkLeft —
... has Obama up 8, 49-41. Gallup expanded has Obama up 8, 52-44. A slew of big media polls have Obama up big from 9 (LATimes), 10 (WaPo) to 14 (NYTimes). ...
Gallup's New 'Likely Vote' Category: Likely to Find More Obama Voters
NewsBusters.org - Exposing Liberal Media Bias —
... Instead of merely presenting "registered" and "likely" voters, the polling firm has decided to present a third category: an "expanded" version of likely voters. This third category is in addition to its "traditional" likely-voter presentation.
My look at Gallup's October 12-14 results indicates that the "expanded" version is indeed likely -- likely to find Obama voters, and that's about it.
First, here's the organization's explanation of the new category:
Here is the October 12-14 ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 17
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 17
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 18
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 18
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 19
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 20
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 12-October 14
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
