Gallup Daily: Obama 52%, McCain 42% Among LV - Largest lead for Obama among likely voters to date
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News —
Source: Gallup PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama leads John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviewing conducted Wednesday through Friday by an identical 52% to 42% margin among both traditional likely voters and expanded likely voters. Obama leads by a similar 52% to 41% margin among all registered voters. Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111661/Gallup-Daily-Obama-52... Gallup's "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, ...
Gallup Daily Tracking: Obama Now Has Leads McCain 52% To 42% Among Likely Voters
The Moderate Voice —
... A new Gallup Daily tracking poll suggests that perhaps Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama’s informercial had some impact: he now leads rival Republican Sen. John McCain by 10 points among likely voters — and has the same lead among “traditional” and “expanded” voters. ...
Gallup: Obama By 10
TalkLeft —
... John McCain must now defy history. No candidate trailing in the Gallup poll at the end of October has ever won the Presidency since Gallup commenced polling (note - in the Truman-Dewey race, Gallup did not poll till the end of October.) Today Gallup has Obama leading by 10, 52-42 in both likely voter measures, the traditional and the expanded models. ...
Tightening!
Oliver Willis —
Obama now leads by 10 in Gallup’s most McCain-friendly measure of the likely voters this election.
McCain’s got us right where he wants us.
...
Gallup: Obama now leads by 10 among both traditional and “expanded” likely voters
Hot Air » Top Picks —
Gallup: Obama now leads by 10 among both traditional and “expanded” likely voters posted at 3:00 pm on November 1, 2008 by Allahpundit Send to a Friend | printer-friendly Zog says McCain +1, Gallup says Obama +10, and Rasmussen splits the difference. Whatever happens, someone’s getting their face rubbed in a pile of warm shinola on Wednesday morning. Nate Silver thinks he knows which one it’ll be . We’ll do more of this on Monday, but here’s CNN’s interactive electoral vote feature in case you want to try mapping out ...
Film Noir
N/A —
And Johnny McCain thought a little too late: “I should never have fallen for this dame, I am so screwed.” There was a mad mob of voters outside waiting, growing bigger and bigger by the moment.
And Sarah looked at her lunk of a lover, “Can’t we just shoot it out? That’s how we do it in Alaska.”
The Great Disappointment
Newshoggers.com —
... For my money though, the election is in the bag, (and Gallup’s latest numbers do help in that regard), which gets me wondering as to what the fallout on the right will be when they awaken to the reality of a President Obama. John Rogers is having ...
Hear me, I gloat!
The Reality-Based Community —
... would have to not just make up the gap but win big on Tuesday. 3. The Obama campaign is light on its feet and has invested heavily in information-gathering, including informaiton from its massive daily voter contacts. The candidates' schedules have been fluid. 4. Neither Obama nor Biden is scheduled to be in Pennsylvania between now and Tuesday. 5. Therefore, the Obama campaign is not worried about Pennsylvania. 6. Therefore, Pennsylvania is not in play. Add to that the trend in the Gallup tracking poll , which now has Obama +11 among RVs +10 on the two LV models, which are ...
TPM Track Composite: Obama Leads by Over Seven Points
TPM Election Central —
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. Barack Obama's lead expanded slightly again today, as most pollsters show him pulling away from John McCain in the home stretch:
• Gallup: Obama 52%, McCain 42%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-43% lead from yesterday.
• Rasmussen: Obama 51%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-47% Obama lead from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post: Obama 53%, McCain 44%, with a ±2.5% margin of error, unchanged from ...
War and Piece — Gallup : "Barack Obama leads John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking interviewing conducted Wednesday through Friday by an identical 52% to 42% margin among both traditional likely voters and expanded likely voters. Obama leads by a similar 52% to 41% margin among all registered voters." Posted by Laura at November 1, 2008 04:27 PM
Obama Up 10% With 30% Reporting
Open Left - Front Page —
... According to Rasmussen and Gallup tracking polls, Obama is up by about 10% with nearly 30% of the vote already cast. Here is the relevant quote from today's Gallup poll, which Obama currently leads by 10%: ...
No More Mister Nice Blog — ... Whatever's going on, it doesn't mean McCain will win. It may mean he'll do as well as Dukakis did. And remember that all the polls -- including Zogby's -- still say Obama will win (and some are looking better every day).
Funky Gallup
Wizbang —
Now that the election is entering its final days, I had expected the polls to start tightening the race in order to reflect actual demonstrated conditions. For several days this has been happening in a number of major polls, but today Gallup posted a surprising number ; they show Obama leading McCain by double-digit margins in all three models of their polling. I will admit that when I first saw this, I was shocked and a bit dismayed. For all the criticism I have thrown at them, Gallup has always appeared to me to be the most professional of the polling outfits, and it they ...







