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TPM Election Central: TPM Track Composite: Obama's Big Lead Holding Steady
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan: Gallup Daily
Hot Air » Top Picks: WaPo poll: Obama rated a “safer” choice for president than McCain
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News: Gallup Daily: Obama Ahead, 51% to 41%
TPM Track Composite: Obama's Big Lead Holding Steady
TPM Election Central —
Here's our daily composite of the five major national tracking polls. Barack Obama still holds a solid lead over John McCain, with the overall margin is unchanged from yesterday:
• Gallup: Obama 51%, McCain 41%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 50%-43% Obama lead yesterday.
• Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-45% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 48%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.4% margin of error, compared to a 49%-41% Obama lead yesterday. ...
The Comeback Kid
Eschaton —
McCain losing 51-41 in latest Gallup tracking.
Gallup Daily
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
No narrowing. Basically no change in ten days.
WaPo poll: Obama rated a “safer” choice for president than McCain
Hot Air » Top Picks —
... on the economy, which 53 percent rate as their number one issue. Among that 53 percent, The One is favored — 62/33. Oof. Update: The new Gallup’s just out. After showing the lead shrinking yesterday to seven points, it’s back to 10. Cue the warnings about weekend polls of conservative voters who are busy at church.
Gallup Daily: Obama Ahead, 51% to 41%
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News —
... points, 51% to 41%, among all registered voters, according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 10-12. The percentage of registered voters favoring Obama has been 50%, 51%, or 52% in each Gallup Poll Daily tracking report since Oct. 4. Support for McCain has been a steady 41% to 43% across the same time period. Thus, although the gap between the two candidates has varied from seven to 11 points in recent days, voter preferences have, in fact, been quite stable. Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111112/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Ah... [image] [image]
Gallup Poll: Obama Now 10 Points Ahead Of McCain
The Moderate Voice —
... The latest Gallup Daily tracking poll puts Democratic candidate Sen. Barack Obama 10 points ahead of GOP candidate Sen. John McCain, and Gallup notes that there are “auspicious” signs for Obama, given the decreasing campaign calender: ...
On Gallups' new voter screens
Daily Kos —
... Today, Gallup has Obama back up 51-41 among all registered voters. But check out what happens with their "likely voter" screens applied: ...
Today's Polls, 10/13
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right —
... There is a little bit of tracking poll housekeeping, however. Gallup is now listing likely voter results in addition to registered voter results. Our policy since the first debate has been to use the likely voter model when we have the choice, and so that's what we will do from here forward. However, Gallup provides two separate likely voter models: "Likely Voters I", which favors Obama by 7 points, is based on "current voting intentions and past voting behavior"; "Likely Voters II", which goes to Obama by 10, is based on "current voting intentions" only. ...
10/14 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 52, McCain 41
Daily Kos —
... : 51 (50) 41 (43) 2 RV See also theLV I and LV II numbers ...
The Polls - 10/14
TalkLeft —
Only new results (no WaPo (Obama by 10) for example). DKos/R2000 has Obama up 11, 52-41. Zogby has a tracker too and he has Obama up 6, 49-43. Gallup tracker (new LV model) has Obama up 10, 53-43. IBD/TIPP has Obama up 2, 45-43. Ras says Obama by 5, 50-45. In terms of state polling, Q Poll issued a bunch of state polls. Obama has locked up WI, MI and MN (which should surprise no one) and he holds a significant lead in CO, 52-43. By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only
...
McCain Has a Good Week For Once
Politics Daily —
... And the one that has everyone talking is the Gallup traditional model at Obama +2 down from +7 on Tuesday. Now Gallup also has an expanded likely voter model that has obama at +6, for those who believe in a huge youth turnout. So keep that one in mind. ...
