Facebook

Twitter

StumbleUpon

Email

topics:

White House

Barack Obama

vote downundo vote up flag

gallup.com - 10/23/2008

Gallup Daily: Obama Has Modest Lead Among Likely Voters

—

PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily tracking shows Barack Obama running ahead of John McCain among likely voters -- 50% to 46% using the "traditional" model Gallup has employed in past elections, and 51% to 45% using an "expanded" model that takes into account possibly greater turnout by new or ...

20

gallup.com - 10/28/2008

Gallup Daily: Presidential Race Narrows Slightly

— gallup.com — PRINCETON, NJ -- The gap between Barack Obama and John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from... Saturday through Monday has narrowed slightly, and Obama is now at 49% of the vote to 47% for McCain among likely voters using Gallup's traditional model ... (more) Gallup Daily: Presidential Race Narrows Slightly

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up Hot Air » Top Picks found this 10/28/2008found this

16

gallup.com - 10/31/2008

Gallup Daily

— gallup.com — PRINCETON, NJ -- The political landscape could be improving for Barack Obama in the waning days of... the campaign. Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Oct. 28-30 shows him with an eight percentage point lead over John McCain among traditional likely voters ... (more) Gallup Daily

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up Politics Daily found this 10/31/2008found this

12

gallup.com - 10/30/2008

Gallup Daily: Obama Lead Among Likely Voters 5 to 7 Points

— gallup.com — PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama holds a statistically significant lead over John McCain in both Gallup likely... voter models, according to Oct. 27-29 Gallup Poll Daily tracking . In the traditional model , which defines likely voters based on current ... (more) Gallup Daily: Obama Lead Among Likely Voters 5 to 7 ...

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News found this 10/30/2008found this

Leave a Comment

Good(ish) Polls: Within 4, Within 2
Ace of Spades HQ — Good(ish) Polls: Within 4, Within 2 Gallup: 4 among likelies. In the traditional model -- which someone points out is actually predicting a historic 60% turnout, three points better than 2004. So Gallup's "expanded" pool of likely voters, with its eyepopping two thirds turnout modeling, seems a bit of stretch. ...

Gallup
The Corner on National Review Online — [image] [image] NRO BLOG ROW | THE CORNER | ARCHIVES SEARCH E-MAIL PRINT RSS [image] [image] Thursday, October 23, 2008 [image] Gallup [ Rich Lowry ] Traditional down to 4; expanded to 6. 10/23 01:37 PM [image] [image] [image] © National Review Online 2008. All Rights Reserved. Home | Search | NR / Digital | Donate | Media Kit | Contact Us

Are Universities Playing Politics With Polls?
Riehl World View — ... that had party ID way off from what one might expect. It also has Obama way up in most battleground states. Just one observation from an early look. In the internals for Ohio the poll sample was comprised as follows: Dem 40% Rep 27% Ind 28%. In 2004 Ohio exit poll results Party ID turned out to be Rep 40% Dem 35% Ind 25%. Has Ohio changed that much in four years? We'll know on November 4th. Yet, also today, both Gallup and the Battleground poll show McCain tightening it up a bit. ...

Polls Continue to Tighten
Stop The ACLU — McCain gains ground in Gallup …only behind 4 points now at 50% to 46%. Battleground poll shows 44 to 42 in Obama’s favor. McCain gains a point in the IBD/TIPP poll making it a virtual tie at 44 to 43! Its gonna be a nail biter again. McCain has cut into Obama’s lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point de?cit ...

TPM Track Composite: Obama's Lead Grows Again
TPM Election Central — Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. Barack Obama's already-big lead has inched up again: • Gallup: Obama 51%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 52%-44% Obama lead yesterday. • Rasmussen: Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-45% Obama lead from yesterday. • ABC/Washington Post: Obama 54%, McCain 43%, with a ±3% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday. • Hotline/Diageo: Obama 48%, McCain 43%, with a ±3.4% ...

Three Versions of the Gallup Tracking Poll
PoliBlog: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts — ... Gallup has a comparative post of two versions of its likely voter model (the traditional model and one that attempts to take into consideration higher than normal turnout) and its registered voter poll: Obama Has Modest Lead Among Likely Voters. ...

National Tracking Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — This is where the national daily tracking polls stand as of today: Rasmussen : Obama 52 (+1), McCain 45 (nc) Hotline/FD : Obama 48 (+1), McCain 43 (+1) GWU/Battleground : Obama 49 (nc), McCain 45 (-2) Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby : Obama 52 (nc), McCain 40 (-2) ABC News/Wash. Post : Obama 54 (nc), McCain 43 (nc) IBD/TIPP : Obama 45 (-1), McCain 44 (+2) Gallup (Expanded LV model*) : Obama 51 (-1), McCain 45 (+1) Gallup (Traditional LV model*) : Obama 50 (nc), McCain 46 (+1) (change since yesterday) *Gallup's "Traditional" and "Expanded" ...

The Polls - 10/24
TalkLeft — ... which has Obama by 5, 48-43; Gallup Expanded, which has Obama by 6, 51-45. There has not been a poll in the past month that I can remember that has had McCain ahead. ...