WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
Eschaton — WHEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE I don't think this is the convention bump, I think it's the Palin bump.

Gallup Daily: Obama Hits 50% for First Time
The Latest on Air America — ... PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, finds Barack Obama leading the race for president with his highest share of support to date. Fully half of national registered voters now favor Obama for president, while 42% back John McCain. ...

Trendline
Talking Points Memo — ... With the proviso that tracking polls are very sketchy indicators of of where a race stands, today's results from Gallup and Rasmussen appear to show a clear trend. Gallup has Obama moving to 50% for the first time ever, with an 8 point margin over John McCain (50% - 42%). Meanwhile, Rasmussen ...

The Palin Effect
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — Obama hits 50 percent for the first time in the Gallup daily tracking.

Poll: Obama’s Lead Over McCain Is Widening
The Moderate Voice — ... Senator had may have hoped it would do. Indeed, one development from one poll: balking Democrats are increasingly returning to their party fold. Immediately after the Democratic convention it looked as if Obama got a chintzy bounce, which some attributed to McCain’s politically masterful announcement of a Vice Presidential pick immediately after the end of the Democratic convention. But polls how show some shifting numbers…which of course can shift again. Gallup: Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, finds ...

Obama hits 50% in Gallup dailies for first time
Martini Revolution — ... And he does it on the 2nd day of the GOP convention, shortly after McCain’s stunningly amazing Veep choice is announced. Obama polls his best numbers yet. ...

Gallup: Obama now at 50% for the first time
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News — Source: Gallup PRINCETON, NJ -- Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, finds Barack Obama leading the race for president with his highest share of support to date. Fully half of national registered voters now favor Obama for president, while 42% back John McCain. Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109960/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Hi... Note that this poll was taken over the course of three days after McCain announced his VP pick. Palin bounce? I think not.

Obama Under Performs With Black Females?
Riehl World View — Probably not, given the internals. Gallup has Obama at 50% for the first time. McCain is at 42%. Going behind the numbers we find this: Non-Hispanic White voters favor McCain 52 - 37. Hispanics favor Obama 58 - 31. Non-Hispanic blacks support Obama 93 - 2. I guess the media is correct, this election is all about race for some people, after all. A snapshot poll from 2004: The Joint Center for Economic and Political Studies, a leading think tank on issues affecting African-Americans, released a poll Tuesday that ...

Bouncy!
Comments from Left Field — ... The result?  The Gallup Daily Tracker has Obama at the fifty point mark for the first time during the general election.  ...

Obama Hits 50 Percent in Gallup Tracking Poll
The Hill's Blog Briefing Room — ... Barack Obama has reached his highest level of support in Gallup's tracking poll . Obama leads John McCain 50 percent to 42 percent according to Gallup's Tuesday survey, which takes into account responses from Saturday through Monday. The two candidates had been virtually tied in the polls at the start of the Democratic convention last week. In ...

Three Days After the Palin Announcement: Obama Hits 50%
Hoffmania! — ... Even though we're not thrilled with polls (especially when they're in our favor), this is significant since it's the first time either candidate has reached that number in the Gallup. I'm also throrughly interested to see if the GOP gets a bounce from this dirt road of a convention they're holding this week. ...

It's Obama with the Lead...
Shakesville — ... Gallup Daily: Obama Hits 50% for First Time: "Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, finds Barack Obama leading the race for president with his highest share of support to date. Fully half of national registered voters now favor Obama for president, while 42% back John McCain." ...

Gallup Tracking: Obama Hits 50% Support
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire — The latest Gallup tracking poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain nationally among registered voters, 50% to 42%.

No More Mister Nice Blog — ... at her first appearance with McCain on Friday---the dials remained totally neutral as Palin went through her heart-warming(?) biography, and only blipped upwards when she said she opposed the Bridge to Nowhere--which wasn't quite the truth, as we now know. ... They really saw this pick as a gimmick--and one that reflected badly on John McCain's judgment. And I agree with Atrios: this is why Obama's getting a second bounce -- to his best numbers ever. Gallup: Gallup Daily: Obama Hits 50% for First Time Leads McCain by eight ...

Where's George?
Taylor Marsh — ... excuse, but he won’t be seen in primetime. He’s positively "nu-cular." But as to Fred’s speech, does anyone else think that talking against women’s civil rights will endear these people to independents? Yes, we will be drinking tonight, which is the only way to watch this debacle. (I’m getting emails from people at Excel that nobody is there.) You call the game. Too bad for the GOP, people are getting the message already. Obama’s at 50%. ...

Gallup: Obama Hits 50% For First Time
TalkLeft — Gallup's daily poll today: Barack Obama leading the race for president with his highest share of support to date. Fully half of national registered voters now favor Obama for president, while 42% back John McCain. ...

Blackazoid: Ascendant
pandagon.net - these things don't just blame themselves — ... who are totally undeserving of the basic mark of respect that would be owed to someone who wasn’t totally in love with a crappy fuckface loser hero.  I do believe I had about seven* online iterations of this conversation when I was 14 and we’d just gotten the internet at my house.  If it’s good enough for Compuserve and Prodigy, it’s good enough for Pandagon.  Our dear hero has reached the 50% level of support in both the Gallup and Rasmussen polls, the first time he’s done so he was created in the mystical ...

Obama
The Corner — [image] [image] NRO BLOG ROW | THE CORNER | ARCHIVES SEARCH E-MAIL PRINT RSS [image] [image] Tuesday, September 02, 2008 [image] Obama [ Rich Lowry ] At 50, and 51 in the Gallup and Rasmussen Tracks today, up 8 and 6 points over McCain respectively. 09/02 06:00 PM [image] [image] [image] © National Review Online 2008. All Rights Reserved. Home | Search | NR / Digital | Donate | Media Kit | Contact Us This page loaded in 0.006499 seconds. ...

Today Was Sell-Sarah-Palin Day on Cavuto or, Put Another Way, Crooks and Liars on Parade
News Hounds — ... and there were probably more television cameras at the back of that one room than there exist in the entire state of Alaska —and she gave a superb, I thought, speech. She was warm, she struck the right note, she clearly developed a link with the crowd; the crowd responded very well to her family. It was an interesting, you know, introduction. And if she gives that same kind of speech tomorrow night and if McCain gives a good speech on Thursday night, I wouldn't be surprised to see these numbers close, ah, start to close on the weekend." ...

Today Was Sell-Sarah-Palin Day on Cavuto or, Put Another Way, Liars on Parade
News Hounds — ... and there were probably more television cameras at the back of that one room than there exist in the entire state of Alaska —and she gave a superb, I thought, speech. She was warm, she struck the right note, she clearly developed a link with the crowd; the crowd responded very well to her family. It was an interesting, you know, introduction. And if she gives that same kind of speech tomorrow night and if McCain gives a good speech on Thursday night, I wouldn't be surprised to see these numbers close, ah, start to close on the weekend." ...

Wishful Thinking From The Sinking McCain Camp
DownWithTyranny! — ... had been greater than a typical bounce. Now that people have started questioning McCain's judgment in picking an inexperienced running mate with series ethical problems, bizarrely extremist policy positions-- she thinks contraceptives and condoms should be outlawed and she and her husband were activists for Alaska seceding from the U.S.-- and a messy personal life, Obama has just gone over the 50% mark for the first time in a Gallup tracking poll. Electorally, this scenario would leave McCain with a few sparsely populated western states, like Utah, Wyoming and Idaho and most of ...

sarah failin'
skippy the bush kangaroo — ... while you're at it, take a look at the gallup poll that has obama up at 50% for the first time evah!

HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For September 3
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... Sources: General Election Poll: Gallup Daily Tracking For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008. The general-election results are based on combined data from Aug. 30-Sept. 1, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,772 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points.). Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk Weather: Weather.com Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets ...

The First Night
Weekly Standard Blog — ... The conventions resemble the candidates. Obama is smooth and polished, a brand that holds, for the moment, a majority market share. McCain is a politician who takes risks, flaunts convention, and loves being the underdog. And somehow he comes out on top. ...

Did Obama get a Palin bounce?
Crooks and Liars — ... Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30 through Sept. 1, finds Barack Obama leading the race for president with his highest share of support to date. Fully half of national registered voters now favor Obama for president, while 42% back John McCain. (Gallup) ...

A Poll Number To Haunt Obama?
Riehl World View — Given that a political convention often gives a candidate a "bounce" from which they may, or may not fall - I decided to compare post Dem convention polls from 2004 and 2008. 2008: Prior to now, no more than 49% of registered voters supported Obama for president in Gallup Poll Daily tracking. Still, Obama's eight percentage point lead over McCain in the new poll falls one point shy of the lead he attained in late July after returning from a well-publicized trip to Europe and parts of the Middle East. At that time, Obama led by nine points, 49% to ...

Polls Are The Only Accurate Convention Pundits
Open Left - Front Page — ... , Obama rose from a 49%-46% in the tracking poll conducting Friday through Sunday, to a 51%-45% lead in the tracking poll conducted Saturday through Monday. With Monday's numbers replacing Friday's numbers, Obama went up 3% in the tracking poll, meaning that he performed between 7%-11% better on Monday than on Friday. In the Gallup poll, the story is similar. Obama rose from a 49%-43% lead in the tracking poll that was conducted Friday through Sunday, to a 50%-42% lead in the tracking poll that was conducted Saturday through Monday. This means that Obama polled between 4-8% ...

Convention Bounce: Gallup Has McCain Up By Three
NewsBusters.org - Exposing Liberal Media Bias — ... As media outlets seemed fascinated with Gallup's September 2 survey finding Barack Obama taking an eight point lead after his Party's convention in Denver -- a LexisNexis search identified over 100 reports on that poll, including eleven on television and radio -- we should expect similar press exposure for this one. ...

up, up and away
skippy the bush kangaroo — ... obama's current 50% rating matches his 50% record high reached just after the democratic national convention. (that came in gallup poll daily tracking from aug. 30-sept. 1.) however, his current six percentage point advantage is not as large as the nine-point lead he held in late july and an eight-point lead after the democratic national convention in late august. it is important to note that mccain recovered and moved ahead after each of these obama high points, suggesting that it is certainly possible that mccain could recover in this situation as well. ...

Obama's Well Up
Shadow of the Hegemon — ... obama's current 50% rating matches his 50% record high reached just after the democratic national convention. (that came in gallup poll daily tracking from aug. 30-sept. 1.) however, his current six percentage point advantage is not as large as the nine-point lead he held in late july and an eight-point lead after the democratic national convention in late august. it is important to note that mccain recovered and moved ahead after each of these obama high points, suggesting that it is certainly possible that mccain could recover in this situation as well. ...