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Obama's Convention Bounce Grows
TPM Election Central —
Today's Gallup tracking poll shows Barack Obama continuing to enjoy a convention bounce, and it may still be growing.
The numbers: Obama 49%, McCain 41%, well outside the ±2% margin of error. Yesterday, Obama was up by a 48%-42% margin, after having fallen behind McCain by two points in Gallup just as the convention was beginning. This morning's Rasmussen poll had Obama moving into a 49%-45% lead.
Note that this is a three-day sample that is just starting to take into account the impact from Bill Clinton's full-hearted endorsement of Obama, and we have ...
Friday's Tracking Polls
Open Left - Front Page —
The tracking polls for Friday are out, and they both show a pretty significant bounce for Obama. Here are the numbers, with the final, pre-convention polls (August 23rd-25th) in parenthesis:
Gallup
Obama: 49 (44)
McCain: 41 (46)
Rasmussen
Obama: 49 (46)
McCain: 45 (46)
There is a clear Obama bounce in these polls. Still, it is important to remember that these polls were conducted from August 26-August 28th. As such, very few of these interviews, if any, include responses to Obama's speech last night. All interviews were conducted after ...
GALLUP: Obama gets a bounce
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth —
Obama is now up 8 over McCain 49-41%. From Gallup: The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking finds Barack Obama moving to an eight percentage point lead over John McCain, 49% to 41%. Obama's significant lead over McCain almost certainly reflects the effects of the Democratic National Convention. The two presidential candidates were tied at 45% in the last Gallup Poll Daily tracking results conducted entirely before the convention began. The latest results include interviews from Tuesday through Thursday night, though most of the interviewing was ...
Beginnings Of A Bump
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
... Obama's lead stretches to eight in Gallup daily. That's before his acceptance speech and before the Palin shocker. But I'll wait till the week after next. ...
The Bright Side
Power Line —
... from the presidency. Of course, "zero foreign policy experience" describes Obama, too, unless giving ill-informed campaign speeches constitutes "experience." So maybe, in the end, Palin will highlight Obama's lack of qualifications rather than undermining McCain's critique of them. Maybe. Then, too, Palin's selection was probably the only one that could drive Obama's speech last night off the front pages. Just in time, perhaps, as the Obama bounce is now up to 8 points if you believe Gallup . (That tends to support the conclusion that Obama is an ...
Barack Obama's 8-point convention 'bounce'
The Swamp —
by Mark Silva
DENVER - Barack Obama's "convention bounce'' has put him eight percentage points ahead of Republican rival John McCain in the latest daily tracking poll - with McCain hoping that his naming of a running mate today will start reining in his opponent's advantage heading into next week's Republican National Convention.
It's Obama 49, McCain 41, in the latest Gallup Poll track.
The two had been virtually tied in the national daily tracking surveyl that Gallup runs heading into the first convention, and if ...
DAY'S END ROUNDUP
News —
... . The latest Gallup tracking poll , which includes responses taken after the start of the Democratic convention, shows Obama leading McCain 49 percent to 41 percent. The poll has yet to account for Obama's convention speech, but Open Left's ...
So Far McCain's First Executive Decision Is Going Over Like A Lead Balloon-- What A Contrast With Obama's Choice Of Biden!
DownWithTyranny! —
... Many observers feel that Palin's selection will strengthen Obama's bounce from the convention. The new Gallup poll numbers show a steady climb from a 45-45% tie before the Convention to a 49-41% Obama v McCain split... before Obama made his incredible acceptance speech last night at the highest rated ( ...
38.3 million viewers
Political Animal —
... conventions in 1960. Keep in mind, several decades ago, conventions dominated every major network -- and there was no cable. For that matter, let's also not forget that Nielsen's numbers don't include those who watched the fourth night of the convention on PBS, C-SPAN, online, or via a DVR. In order words, there was an extraordinary amount of attention in what the Democrats had to say during the convention. We'll learn soon enough whether the viewers liked what they heard, but the early results look favorable for the party.— ...
New[ly Published] Latino Poll: In The Southwest, Obama Leads By 45
Daily Kos —
... ahead of John Kerry’s share of the vote four years ago, while McCain receives only a bare majority of Bush’s 2004 Latino vote. And the bottom line: As these results suggest, Obama has clearly been able to establish a connection with Hispanic voters, and the concern among some that Hispanics would not vote for a black presidential candidate has largely shown to be unfounded. Meanwhile, as most of you know, Gallup has Obama +8 and Rasmussen has Obama +4, and Scott Rasmussen has some thoughts: ...
The Obama Show
Weekly Standard Blog —
... The answers to such questions are not clear. But it is likely that the Obama bounce is about to bounce a little higher. ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For August 30
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... Sources:
General Election Poll: Gallup Daily Tracking
For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008. The general-election results are based on combined data from Aug. 26-28, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,727 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points.
Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets ...
Gallup Sees Palin as Attempt to Solve McCain’s “Women Problem”
The Moderate Voice —
... who watched Barack Obama’s speech on Thursday night. At that point we should see if the convention’s 8 point bounce for Obama holds, grows or fades. It will likely be early next week before we begin to see the effect of the Palin nomination on these numbers. Looking ahead, though, was there a background reason hiding in the numbers that made the choice of a woman for running mate even more attractive to John McCain? ...
Where’s Waldo? errr… Obama?
The Moderate Voice —
... How will this fare? Thus far the results are mixed. In the first week after the announcement, it seemed to do nothing to the Gallup three day rolling average which showed Obama reopening a measurable if not dominating lead after the Democrats’ big party in Denver. In recent days, however, after the Republican rejoinder in St. Paul and the various speeches given there, ...
