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Gallup: McCain within two among traditional likely voters
Hot Air » Top Picks —
... Much depends upon turnout , needless to say, since the “expanded” likely voter model has Obama by seven. Split the difference and you’re in line with both ...
Gallup
The Corner on National Review Online —
[image] [image] NRO BLOG ROW | THE CORNER | ARCHIVES SEARCH E-MAIL PRINT RSS [image] [image] Tuesday, October 28, 2008 [image] Gallup [ Rich Lowry ] Traditional has it at 49-47 . 10/28 01:09 PM [image] [image] [image] © National Review Online 2008. All Rights Reserved. Home | Search | NR / Digital | Donate | Media Kit | Contact Us
Hugh Hewitt: Gallup's Tradtional "Likely Voter" Poll: O 49%, M 47%
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog —
... Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 2:39 PM The "expanded" poll puts the Obama lead at 7% , which is also movement towards McCain after weeks of bad economic news and a hundred million plus spending advantage for Obama. With a full week left for voters to consider Obama's plans to hike their taxes and redistribute their wealth.... ...
Hugh Hewitt: Gallup's Tradtional "Likely Voter" Poll: O 49%, M 47%
Hugh Hewitt's TownHall Blog —
... Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 2:39 PM The "expanded" poll puts the Obama lead at 7% , which is also movement towards McCain after weeks of bad economic news and a hundred million plus spending advantage for Obama. With a full week left for voters to consider Obama's plans to hike their taxes and redistribute their wealth.... ...
Gallup Tracking
The Corner on National Review Online —
[image] [image] NRO BLOG ROW | THE CORNER | ARCHIVES SEARCH E-MAIL PRINT RSS [image] [image] Tuesday, October 28, 2008 [image] Gallup Tracking [ Mona Charen ] Hmm. Gallup tracking has race almost even . Dow up 400. 10/28 03:07 PM [image] [image] [image] © National Review Online 2008. All Rights Reserved. Home | Search | NR / Digital | Donate | Media Kit | Contact Us ...
TPM Track Composite: Obama's Lead Cut By One Point
TPM Election Central —
Here's our daily composite of the six major national tracking polls. John McCain has chipped away slightly at Barack Obama's lead in today's polls, but Obama is still ahead and remains at over 50% support:
• Gallup: Obama 51%, McCain 44%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 53%-43% Obama lead from yesterday.
• Rasmussen: Obama 51%, McCain 46%, with a ±2% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday.
• ABC/Washington Post: Obama 52%, McCain 45%, with a ±3% margin of error, unchanged from yesterday. ...
Counterevidence Watch: "Narrows Slightly"
The Atlantic Politics Channel —
This column is looking for counterevidence to suggest that, pace John McCain, the press and pundits are being fooled by all this talk of an Obama lead....
Presidential Race Narrows Slightly
(That's the traditional Gallup LV model.)
This is all I've got.
Anyone else?
Poll-a-copia, P(w)ew and Galluping edition
No Runny Eggs —
... Given that Gallup’s tracking polls have Obama up by 2 with the traditional model and 7 with the “expanded” one, something is seriously hosed. ...
Gallup Poll: Race Tightens
PoliGazette —
... The latest Gallup poll confirms what the latest Zogby poll published earlier today said: the race between John McCain and Barack Obama is tightening, on a national level at least. ...
DAY'S END ROUNDUP
News —
... ROUNDUP John McCain's backers still see a path to victory. Some national polls have tightened slightly in recent days, which puts the Republican in position to pull off an upset, according to conservative bloggers. But one respected poll portends a Democratic landslide and prompts one liberal blogger to declare the race all but over. Ever since McCain and Joe the Plumber have revealed Obama's socialist sympathies, polls by Zogby , Investor's Business Daily and Gallup have been showing a closer race, according to Contentions' Abe Greenwald . The ...
Obama Pulls Ahead In Florida And Ohio Battleground States
The Moderate Voice —
... 3 hours of listening to conservative talk radio shows today (including one by a host who says he is an independent) revealed a strong growing counter belief — that a variety of polls now show the race is seriously tightening and that McCain’s insinuation that Obama is a Socialist in all but name is catching on. (This claim was choed by Joe The Plumber, who now has formally endorsed McCain and who also has now proclaimed Obama a danger to Israel…)
The latest Gallup Daily tracking poll does show the race slightly tightening: ...
'Stand Up and Fight'
The American Spectator —
... Nevertheless, many Republicans cherry-pick the polls and say they
see "tightening" in the contest.
Gallup says Obama's national lead may be as small as 2
points, depending on how "likely voters" are gauged. The
possibility of a McCain victory at this point would appear to
depend upon a powerful anti-Obama shift among undecided voters,
but even that possibility might not be enough to justify the
GOP's last-ditch effort in Pennsylvania. ...
SPINNING THE LIGHT FANTASTIC
Right Wing Nut House —
... 15, Gallup 13. That’s an awful lot of ground to make up in a week in what all pollsters are saying is a pretty static race that hasn’t changed much in 3 weeks.. As for the rest of McInturff’s fantasy, did anyone else note that those voters are supposed to be the base of the Republican party? If John McCain is doing nothing more than solidifying his base with a week to go in the election, stick a fork in him. Some of the state polls are just terrible for McCain. Obama is virtually tied in Montana. Montana? Good God! I remember when Republicans used to rack up 65% of the vote ...
The Polls - 10/29
TalkLeft —
... , which has Obama by 7, 52-45. The tight vs expanded effect is well illustrated by Gallup, which has a foot in each camp. Its traditional LV screen garners a 2 point Obama lead, 49-47 while its expanded LV screen shows Obama by 7, 51-44. ...
Rasmussen: Race within margin of error
Hot Air » Top Picks —
... shows a significant narrowing of the race with just six days to go before Election Day. John McCain has closed to within three points of Barack Obama nationwide, within the tracking poll’s margin of error. This comes as Gallup also shows it a margin-of-error race as of yesterday in its traditional turnout model: The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 47%. This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month and the first time ...
10/29: Fighting To The Finish
Blogometer —
... In a matter of hours. Maybe more. More would depend on the tape. This offer includes is particularly directed towards Los Angeles Times employees. Maybe ones that just got fired. Or will get fired in the next couple of weeks. Guaranteed. Anonymous. That's how we roll. Pretty pathetic that we have to try to bribe 'newsmen' to release newsworthy tapes. If your conscience is troubled, They should have released it anyway. " HORSERACE: Did You See Those Tracking Polls? Yesterday's Gallup tracking poll (which showed Obama up by only 2 points among traditional LV's) and today's ...
Well, looky here
Babalú Blog: an island on the net without a bearded dictator —
... percentage points. They also have an expanded model which is based on certain groups having higher than usual participation rates which has Obama ahead by 7 percentage points. ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 30
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 25-October 27
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 31
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 25-October 27
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
HuffPollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For October 31
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... A Research 2000 representative explained the methodology of the poll, saying that it was a rolling poll with a baseline of 1,100 likely voters, taking approximately 355 to 365 calls per night and throwing out the oldest numbers. "I would say that [we take] one in every eight calls on average," he said, attributing this rate to a combination of callers "telling us to go to hell" and callers not meeting their standard of a "likely voter" through a name recognition test.
Gallup Daily Poll Conducted October 25-October 27
Results: McCain 44%, Obama ...
