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Gallup Daily: Race Tied at 44%
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News —
... points. This suggests that the recent surge in voter support for Obama has truly subsided. The contrast between Obama's recent advantage over McCain (ranging from six to nine points) and today's result is particularly notable because this is McCain's strongest showing in over a month. The last time Gallup found the race exactly tied was in late June. By contrast, in the weeks just prior to Obama's overseas trip, he had led the race by an average of four points.... Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109219/Gallup-Daily-Race-Tie...
The Tracking Polls: It's Tied
TalkLeft —
Ras says it a one point race. Gallup says its tied. What's it mean? Dirty politics works. By Big Tent Democrat, speaking for me only
...
New McCain ad: “The One”
Hot Air » Top Picks —
... and Obama’s polls are down fully nine points in five days, with he and McCain now all even at 44 . Dude’s doing something right. Although how he neglected to include this ...
Gallup: All Knotted Up at 44%
Ace of Spades HQ —
Gallup: All Knotted Up at 44% I don't think actual poll numbers mean anything, especially in this particular race. But they do indicate trends, certain. And the trend for The Golden Child? Not good. ...
Gallup Tracking Closes: Some Thoughts
The Atlantic Politics Channel —
Gallup's daily tracking now has the candidates tied, exactly, at 44%. LAKELAND, FL -- Lookit. Let's make a distinction between short term and long term. In the short term, to those low information voters whose opinion swings from day to day or week to week, Obama's had the rougher go of it. The Britney ad sold. Even if the optics were bad for McCain in the long-term, the conversation was about Obama's presumed presumptuous and riskiness. In the long-term, who knows? This presidential race is not like a football game where points accumulate cumulatively. In politics, the ...
'The One'
JammieWearingFool —
Heh. Just words, just speeches, used very effectively against The Messiah. Won't be long until the baby starts whining about it being racist or that he's being smeared . Via LGF . By the way, Barry O, what happened to that lead ? Update : The whining has already begun. Good luck selling the notion of a 71-year old McCain as childish, dipshits. Labels: Barack [deleted] Obama , humor , John McCain
The Latest "Let's Make The Obama Campaign Sweat" Poll
A Chequer-Board of Nights and Days —
All tied up in Gallup . So much for the 6-9 point lead Barack Obama held only a few days ago. And this poll is of registered voters; imagine what likely voters--who generally trend Republican--might be thinking. In any event, this is looking more and more to be a race to the finish. The McCain campaign certainly cannot take anything for granted. But contrary to popular belief, neither can the Obama campaign.
Huffpollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For August 2
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... Sources:
General Election Poll: Gallup Tracking Poll
The general-election results are based on combined data from July 29-31, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,680 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points.
Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets
The Latest "Let's Make The Obama Campaign Sweat" Poll
RedState: Conservative News and Community —
... All
tied up in Gallup. So much for the 6-9 point lead Barack Obama
held only a few days ago. And this poll is of registered voters;
imagine what likely voters--who generally trend Republican--might
be thinking. ...
A new ‘Teflon-coated candidate’?
Crooks and Liars —
... 40% believe he attended a Muslim school as a child. Neither of these claims is true, but they’ve “stuck” thanks to a concerted smear campaign.
For that matter, Obama has been generally consistent on almost everything, but if a CNN poll from earlier this month is any indication, the “flip-flopper” attack was pretty successful in sticking, too (even if the charge obviously applies far better to McCain).
McCain has been in relentless attack mode all week. And guess what happened?
I’d be delighted if none of the attacks against Obama stuck, but as ...
No More Mister Nice Blog — REASONS NOT TO BE CHEERFUL, PART 3 Gallup yesterday: Gallup Daily: Race Tied at 44% According to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from July 29-31, John McCain and Barack Obama are now tied at 44% in the preferences of national registered voters.... Nine-point lead: gone. Yeah, those bad McCain optics during the Obama overseas trip and the blistering media criticism of McCain's negative campaign are really killing the old maverick, aren't they? **** I've been saying that McCain is actually benefiting from his ...
Gallup or Intrade?
The Washington Note —
Yesterday, Gallup's daily tracking poll showed Obama and McCain even Steven at 44% to 44%.
Intrade though has Obama inching away from McCain at 63% to McCain's Intrade win probability of 36.9%.
And here are some other polls. Obama leads in all of them except the tie at Gallup and a 4 point deficit in a USA Today/Gallup poll.
-- Steve Clemons
Huffpollstrology: Candidates' Horoscopes, Polls And More For August 3
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed —
... Sources:
General Election Poll: Gallup Tracking Poll
The general-election results are based on combined data from July 29-31, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,680 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is +/-2 percentage points.
Horoscopes: horoscopes.co.uk
Weather: Weather.com
Betting Lines: Intrade Prediction Markets
Getting To Fifty Percent
Ross Douthat —
With Gallup showing the race tied as of Friday (Obama has a three-point lead in today's tracking poll), Marc writes: "The McCain strategy seems to be: be mean now so we can be magnanimous and nice when more people are paying attention." I don't think this is a crazy approach: You have to make some effort drive up Obama's negatives (and energize the conservative base), and late summer is as good a time as any to do it. The danger for the McCain campaign is that their ability to pull Obama down in tracking polls with snarky ads in August will translate into ...
Is Obama’s Victory a Statistical Certainty?
The American Spectator —
... that the "decline in Obama's numbers...has halted -- and has possibly begun to reverse itself." Instead, the decline continued. The day after Silver's declaration, Gallup's Gallup's daily tracking poll showed the race deadlocked at 44 percent for each candidate, and by Monday, the ...
Overrated Obama
The American Spectator —
... that Plouffe had mapped an Obama victory with "surgical precision." The hubris at Hope HQ inspired a nine-day overseas trip during which Obama declared himself a "citizen of the world" to a Berlin audience, but canceled a trip to visit wounded U.S. troops, and saw a nine-point Gallup lead evaporate in four days. When the McCain campaign -- now managed by Karl Rove protege Steve Schmidt -- unleashed its first series of attack ads, Team Obama responded with accusations of racism much like those leveled against Clinton during the primaries. But while Clinton's advisers ...
