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GA-Sen: Another photo finish in the works?
Daily Kos — ... We trail narrowly, but it's winnable. We had R2K poll the general election results, and they match up pretty well, (49-47 in the Senate, 52-47 in the presidential). Of course, the voter universe for the special will be different than that of the special. Nate says that guess turnout will be tough: ...

Still counting, Recounting and Runoff Compendium
Open Left - Front Page — ... . Turnout for the run-off will only be about 50%-60% November 4th levels. Also, it is unlikely that African-Americans, who were about two-thirds of Martin's voters on November 4th, will turnout at such high levels. So, the odds do not favor us on this one. ...

GA-Sen: Chambliss Leads by 4
Swing State Project — ... being the other) have showed little movement since November 4th. Chambliss still retains a slight lead, but as Nate Silver says, likely voter models are tough to set for special-type elections, and it's difficult to make assumptions about turnout. Incredibly, 88% of Georgian voters say they are "certain" to vote in this runoff, which is a bit hard to believe considering that voter turnout was over 20 points lower on November 4th. In this race, so much will come down to getting out the vote, making the outcome difficult to predict. ...

The Race To 60: Alaska, Minnesota, Georgia
DownWithTyranny! — ... . Polls are less relevant in special elections like this however because the entire game is turn-out, which is expected to be low. It comes down to this: will the Republican's ...