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Hand-wringing
The Reaction — ... , it's natural to worry. While some say it's still early, I say it's getting late fast. If the media continues to portray everything as good news for McCain, it's going to be increasingly difficult for Obama to turn this ship around. However, with that being said, there's a VP to announce, a convention to be held, debates to be staged, and a whole lot of money to be spent. So, I'm willing to hold my own hand-wringing off until at least after the first debate. Until then, however, my brow will certainly be furrowed. ...

No More Mister Nice Blog — ONE NON-SNARKY REASON BAD POLLS MIGHT BE GOOD FOR OBAMA But first, the snarky reason, from John Cole: ... if Obama only leading nationally by a few points all summer was considered bad news for Obama, then clearly McCain taking the lead must be construed as bad news for John McCain. Or am I just not really understanding the premise that EVERYTHING IS GOOD NEWS FOR JOHN MCCAIN, and that when Obama was only leading by 5 it was bad news for Obama, and this is now CATASTROPHIC NEWS and the CAMPAIGN IS IN DISARRAY and they NEED A SHAKE-UP! ...

The state of the race: Polls, projections, and presidential politics
The Reaction — ... general, poll results show a tightening race. It is not necessarily the case, however, that Obama is "weakening." Rather, McCain may actually be strengthening as Republicans (and conservatives who find him suspect) coalesce behind him heading into the conventions and the more earnest campaign to follow. Basically, for whatever reason, the race is now extremely close. As the indispensable Nate Silver finds, it's more or less a tie. And yet, like John Cole and my friend Skippy, I think there's more ado about this than there ought to ...

The State of the Race: Polls, Projections, and Presidential Politics
The Moderate Voice — ... that, in general, poll results show a tightening race. It is not necessarily the case, however, that Obama is “weakening.” Rather, McCain may actually be strengthening as Republicans (and conservatives who find him suspect) coalesce behind him heading into the conventions and the more earnest campaign to follow. Basically, for whatever reason, the race is now extremely close. As the indispensable Nate Silver finds, it’s more or less a tie. And yet, like John Cole and my friend Skippy, I think there’s more ado about this than there ...