Follow BeltwayBlips on Twitter
Reactions
 |
RT @joenbc NY 23 New Poll RT @ppppolls: Hoffman 51 Owens 34 Scozzafava 13: http://tinyurl.com/yhhspzq Hoffman 54 Owens 38 in a two way 18 days ago |
 |
http://tinyurl.com/yhhspzq & Hoffman leading by as much as 16 - RT @MilesGrant: Amazing: In contributions from #NY23 residents, Owens.. . 18 days ago |
 |
@wbaustin @ppppolls has it 54-38 Hoffman in a two way race - http://tinyurl.com/yhhspzq 18 days ago |
Poll
PoliPundit.com —
Final NY-23 poll shows Hoffman leading by 16 points!
PPP: Hoffman Way Up -- By: Rich Lowry
The Corner on National Review Online —
Here:
Doug Hoffman has a commanding lead in the special election for New York's 23rd Congressional District. In a three way contest with Democrat Bill Owens and Republican Dede Scozzafava Hoffman leads with 51% to 34% for Owens and 13% for Scozzafava. In a head to head contest with Owens Hoffman holds a 54-38 advantage.
...In interviews conducted before Scozzafava announced the suspension of her campaign Hoffman led Owens 49-31 with 17% going to Scozzafava. Poll ...
No More Mister Nice Blog — ... He's talking about the NY-23 congressional race -- where, by the way, Public Policy Polling still shows wingnut Doug Hoffman with a big lead, even after Republican Dede Scozzafava's decision to ...
Late Polls on NY-23
Talking Points Memo —
... Public Policy Polling now has a late poll out on the NY-23 special election and it shows Hoffman pretty much crushing Owens. The poll was taken over the weekend. And obviously a lot happened over these couple days. But according to PPP's Tom Jensen, the results changed very little from before Scozzafava's suspension till after it and continued pretty much the same after she endorsed Owens today. ...
Dede Goes Down Upstate
The American Spectator —
... , "The NRCC and RNC just spent $1 million on Dede Scozzafava. This is their reward." The first poll published in the wake of Scozzafava's withdrawal showed Hoffman with a commanding lead over the Democrat, Owens. Even if Hoffman wins big in tomorrow's election, however, the consequences of the Republican Party's blunders in this campaign are likely to be felt far away from upstate New York. A yawning chasm of alienation between the GOP establishment and the party's grassroots has been exposed. If Scozzafava has done nothing else, she has shown Republican leaders to be what ...
Poll: Hoffman takes control in N.Y. special
News —
... The Public Policy Polling survey shows Hoffman leading the race by 17 points, 51-34,
over Democrat Bill Owens with Scozzafava still in the race and taking 13 percent. In a straight
head-to-head matchup with Owens, Hoffman’s lead held at 54-38. ...
Poll: Hoffman takes control in N.Y.
Home/News —
... The Public Policy Polling survey shows Hoffman leading the race by 17 points, 51-34,
over Democrat Bill Owens with Scozzafava still in the race and taking 13 percent. In a straight
head-to-head matchup with Owens, Hoffman’s lead held at 54-38. ...
Scozzafava Endorses Democrat Owens
Outside The Beltway | OTB —
... At least one poll — which Silver “respects” because of its good showing in recent races — shows Hoffman with “a commanding lead.” ...
Early Morning Swim
Firedoglake —
It’s Karzai.
Good thing the Democrats control the Senate.
It was too small.
GOP about to get the full teabag.
Palin wants Virginians to vote for quitting, lying.
What are these ‘moderate Republicans’ they speak of?
51-34
RedState: Conservative News and Community —
According to PPP, Doug Hoffman has raced into the lead against Owens, taking 51% to Owens’ 34%
The race, however, is not over and there is no guarantee the polling is even halfway accurate. That is not to slight PPP, it just happens to be a crazy race, with a last minute drop out, and lots of weekend polling scores to make up the foundation.
But, and this is a bit but, a lot of third party and internal polling does suggest Hoffman has gone into the lead. Likewise, it looks from PPP and other polling that even before Scozzafava dropped out, Hoffman had a ...
Advantage: Hoffman (NY-23)
PoliBlog: A Rough Draft of my Thoughts —
Public Policy Polling reports: Hoffman leads big
In a three way contest with Democrat Bill Owens and Republican Dede Scozzafava Hoffman leads with 51% to 34% for Owens and 13% for Scozzafava. In a head to head contest with Owens Hoffman holds a 54-38 advantage.
The post notes that “[p]olling the race was a little haphazard in a weekend” which one would expect given that Scozzafava quit, the fact that it was Halloween, and the nature of special elections themselves. Still, given the numbers that we saw prior to this weekend, ...
Shocker: Scozzafava endorses Democrat in NY-23 race
Sister Toldjah —
... As for final polling numbers going into tomorrow’s election, according to Public Policy Polling, Hoffman is leading the race “big” (via ...
They Need a New Name: How About "Organizing for Identity Theft?"
Confederate Yankee —
... Democrat are true). The effort of the national DNC and associated activist groups in this race is fascinating considering this is a race for a one-year term. Obviously, they are far more concerned about the trendsetting and symbolism of a very conservative candidate besting the squishy GOP moderates they would much rather prefer to face, not to mention the Democratic candidate that they want to win. And besting them handily he is: the most recent polls show the conservative Hoffman dominating the race over Owens 54%-38%. If Hoffman wins in a dominating fashion as the polls ...
Public Policy Polling Finds Huge Hoffman Lead In NY-23
Below The Beltway —
... With the caveat that any polling of this race after what’s happened this weekend is tricky, Public Policy Polling seems to show that Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman is headed for a huge lead: ...
Even More on NY 23
The Mahablog —
... The weekend polling for New York’s 23rd district congressional race is, um, inconsistent. Hoffman is ahead by either a landslide or a hair. One poll says independents favor Hoffman, 52-30; another says ...
PPP: A Hoffman Landslide
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
Money quote: Hoffman is leading Scozzafava 71-15 among Republicans with 12%
going to Owens. Among Democrats Owens gets 67% to 21% for Hoffman and
10% for Scozzafava. Hoffman leads Owens 52-30 with independents.
One
key finding that may have ultimately scuttled Scozzafava's candidacy:
59% of Republicans considered her to be a liberal and only 7% thought
she was a conservative. By comparison 80% of them consider Hoffman to
be a conservative, and that's a good thing where nearly two thirds of
GOP voters define themselves that ...
Conservative Party Candidate Leads in New York
Top Stories from CQ —
... vacated the seat when he became secretary of the Army. A survey by Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling pegs Hoffman’s lead at 51 percent to 34 percent, with a margin of error of 2.3 percent. The PPP poll was conducted Oct. 31 to Nov. 1, in the midst of the news of Scozzafava’s withdrawal and her subsequent endorsement of Owens. That poll found that 13 percent of those surveyed still supported Scozzafava and 3 percent were undecided. But in a release analyzing its results, PPP wrote that despite “a tumultuous polling weekend,” there were “no significant differences in ...
Liberals' Doug Hoffman Problem
MoJo Blog Posts: mojo —
... in New Jersey, and the conservative party candidate, Doug Hoffman, looks set to win in NY-23. The actual impact of losing all three races would not be nearly as large as the perceived impact. But in Washington, perception often morphs into reality. ...
NY-23: The Final Day of A Truly Bizarre Campaign
Daily Kos —
... A PPP poll released late Sunday night gave Hoffman a 51-34 lead, but that was largely conducted before the Scozzafava endorsement of Owens Sunday afternoon. PPP also pointed out on their Twitter site that they were seeing a very different electorate (much more conservative) than either Siena or Research 2000 did last week. While other pollsters had Obama's job approval in the 50% range or better, PPP had it at 39%. Siena followed early this morning, and has it much closer: Hoffman leading 41-36-6, with one-sixth of the electorate still undecided. ...
The NY 23 race: does Joe Biden really think…
neo-neocon —
... the words “within your own party,” because the Obama administration has made itself notorious for stifling dissent, especially outside its own party.
Meanwhile, RINO extraordinaire Dede Scozzafava, in a fit of understandable pique (and after being heavily courted by influential Democrats), continues to campaign for her previous Democrat opponent, Bill Owens, as well as to contemplate a change of party for herself.
The only problem is, Hoffman appears to be opening up his lead.
Let’s sit back and watch the sausage being made.
NY-23
Infidel753 —
... but most of his money comes from outside the district, and he's clearly the candidate of the nationwide hard-line right in its battle against what is left of moderate conservatism). Recent polls showed Owens and Hoffman each supported by about 35% of voters, while Scozzafava hovered around 20%. Over the weekend, Scozzafava dropped out, leaving the race to Owens and Hoffman. She endorsed Owens. NY-23 has never elected a Democrat, and most analysts expect Hoffman to win easily today (dissenting view here). If he does, the hard right will celebrate ...
No More Mister Nice Blog — ... But a word of caution for those ready to celebrate the GOP's self-destructive instincts: this poll was conducted by Public Policy Polling -- the same folks who had some of us believing that Doug Hoffman would win NY-23 by 16 or 17 points. I see that PPP did a lot better on the ...
