blogs.tnr.com - 10/22/2008
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At our election discussion last week at the Sixth and I Synagogue, Frank asked if anyone thought Obama could lose barring some catastrophic external event. I happen to think Obama's chances of winning are upward of 80 percent, and so I didn't say anything. In fact, ...
zogby.com - 10/21/2008
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zogby.com —
Released: October 21, 2008 Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Obama 50.3%,
McCain 42.4% Obama posts another big day; eats into...
McCain's base UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama posted his second consecutive strong day of polling and pulled well ahead of ...
(more)
Zogby International
blogs.abcnews.com - 10/22/2008
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blogs.abcnews.com —
ABC News' Teddy Davis, Hope Ditto, Arnab Datta,
and Ferdous Alfaruque Report: Facing criticism from John McCain...
that his tax plan constitutes "welfare," Barack Obama recently added a work requirement to one of his proposals. "They started saying this ...
(more)
Obama Alters Tax Plan to Rebut McCain
Comments
Blog Reactions
For McCain, it may all come down to Pennsylvania
The Reaction —
... There are other ways for McCain to win, or for Obama to lose, as Noam Scheiber suggests, but it's pretty clear the McCain campaign has run out of ideas.
Asymmetric Political Warfare
The Corner on National Review Online —
Wednesday, October 22, 2008 [image] Asymmetric Political Warfare [Ramesh Ponnuru] The thought that McCain could still pull out a victory keeps Noam Scheiber awake at night. I'm not sure why. Even if McCain wins, his point of view will still be much better represented in Washington than at any time since 2000. The stakes in this election would seem to be much higher for the Right than the Left. If McCain wins, liberals would win policy fights about half the time, whereas if Obama wins they would win they would win 90 percent of the time. Liberals can't really be afraid of ...
How Obama Could Lose
Opinionator —
President Obama? Not so fast, says The New Republic’s Noam Scheiber. John McCain doesn’t need a “catastrophic external event” to defeat Obama on Election Day, Scheiber says. “I happen to think Obama’s chances of winning are upward of 80 percent,” he writes at The Plank, his magazine’s political blog. He later adds, “But, truth be told, I can imagine a losing scenario that doesn’t involve outside events. It goes something like this: Obama wins all the Kerry states plus Iowa and New Mexico, giving him 264 electoral votes, then narrowly loses the rest of the red states where he’s ...
For McCain, It May All Come Down to Pennsylvania
The Moderate Voice —
... There are other ways for McCain to win, or for Obama to lose, as Noam Scheiber suggests, but it’s pretty clear the McCain campaign has run out of ideas. ...
No — I Do Not Write Under The Name “Noam Scheiber” at The New Republic. He Just Steals His Stuff From Me.
Patterico's Pontifications —
... Some guy over at The Plank blog on TNR’s website has decided that the stuff I’ve been saying here for weeks is quite plausible — that Obama could win large margins in large states, win the national vote by 2-3 points, yet still lose squeakers in VA and PA, and return to the ranks as an otherwise undistinuished US Senator from Illinois. ...
Matt Lewis: Libs Still Worried About Election
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog —
... ). But, as I argued last week, the relationship between battleground-state numbers and national numbers can change significantly as we approach the finish, and those state averages you see could easily be a week out of date. My immediate concern is twofold: That McCain is getting some traction with his liberal/socialist/redistributionist charge--the ...
don't sweat it
skippy the bush kangaroo —
... ). but, as i argued last week, the relationship between battleground-state numbers and national numbers can change significantly as we approach the finish, and those state averages you see could easily be a week out of date. ...
Related Content
How Obama Could Lose
opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com 10/24/2008 — Unlikely but not impossible, the electoral voting might go McCain's way.
More Good News
balloon-juice.com 10/21/2008 — For John McCain :
As voters have gotten to know Senator Barack Obama, they have warmed up to him, with more than half, 53 percent, now saying they have a favorable impression of him and 33 percent saying they have an unfavorable view. But as ...
McToast
americablog.com 10/16/2008 — FL – St. Petersburg Times (Editorial) "McCain's last offensive:" On the same day a new poll showed that voters' confidence in the federal government has reached an all-time low, Obama spoke with a reassuring confidence…But when the questioning turned ...
Things Are Looking Very Good
openleft.com 10/27/2008 — Worried about "the tightening?"
Well, Obama's national lead has been stable at 7% for a month now. The national campaign is not tightening, and we are just seeing statistical noise.
Even if the campaign were tightening, Obama would still have a ...
Stephanopoulos Goes 4 for 4 in Declaring Democrat the Winner
newsbusters.org 10/16/2008 — Though he decided “this was John McCain's best debate,” Democratic operative-turned ABC News journalist George Stephanopoulos made it a “clean sweep for Barack Obama” as he declared on Nightline after Wednesday's third and final presidential debate: ...
Nothing to Lose
thenextright.com 10/16/2008 — Has the McCain campaign considered that the time to change their ad strategy is NOW, and only because two weeks ago is no longer an option?
In the last month, McCain's favorability rating has dropped 6 points, from 56.4 to 50.1, and Obama's ...
What Joe Doesn't Know
corner.nationalreview.com 10/16/2008 — John McCain was on tonight-sharp, confident, and powerful. I think he won this debate, although only on points. True, McCain needed something more than a narrow win, but I still think he did himself some good. On the other hand, even when Obama is on ...
Today's Polls, 10/14
fivethirtyeight.com 10/15/2008 — Perhaps the CBS poll that shows Barack Obama with a 14-point lead among likely voters (12 points when third-party candidates are included) is a modest outlier. But if so, John McCain has more and more outliers that he has to explain away these days. ...
Stephanopoulos: Is There Anything McCain Can Do?
blogs.abcnews.com 10/15/2008 — ABC News' George Stephanopoulos reports: Going into tonight's third and final presidential debate Barack Obama leads John McCain 53 to 39 percent in support nationally, according to the latest CBS News/New York Times poll. Among independent voters -- ...
Final Debate, Final Analysis
commentsfromleftfield.com 10/16/2008 — Last night Senator John McCain and Senator Barack Obama shared a stage for what is most likely the last time during this presidential election season. It was the last best chance for McCain to force a game changer to save his flagging campaign, ...
McCain would consider second stimulus package —
CNN Political Ticker 10/22/2008
MANCHESTER, New Hampshire (CNN) — Republican presidential candidate John McCain said Wednesday he would consider a second economic stimulus package if he is elected president.
He attacked Barack Obama, his Democratic rival for the White House, ...
Martin: GOP attacks show fear and desperation —
CNN.com - Politics 10/22/2008
Watching Sen. John McCain and top Republicans swing wildly in their attempts to slam Sen. Barack Obama, with less than two weeks ago to go before Election Day, is like watching an old fighter --clearly out of gas, his legs turned to rubber, and all he ...
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