Facebook

Twitter

StumbleUpon

Email

topics:

White House

Barack Obama

vote downundo vote up flag

dailykos.com - 3/26/2009

How whites really voted in 2008

—

Andrew Gelman over at Fivethirtyeight.com purports to show how whites at various income levels voted in 2008 at the presidential level, which is an interesting enough concept. However, Gelman inexplicably avoids using exit poll data to make his charts. Rather, he bizarrely decided to make broad ...

9

pewresearch.org - 4/2/2009

No Decline in Belief That Obama is a Muslim

— pewresearch.org — More than two months into Barack Obama's presidency, as many people incorrectly identify him as a Muslim... as did so during the 2008 campaign with white evangelicals and Republicans most likely to misidentify his religious affiliation. (more) No Decline in Belief That Obama is a Muslim

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up MoJo Blog Posts: mojo found this 4/2/2009found this

7

washingtonexaminer.com - 3/27/2009

www.washingtonexaminer.com >> Politics

— washingtonexaminer.com — On Spending and the Deficit, McCain Was Right By Byron York Chief Political Correspondent 3/27/09 AP/ Mary... Altaffer Barack Obama used to get very upset about federal budget deficits. Denouncing an "orgy of spending and enormous deficits," he turned ... (more) www.washingtonexaminer.com >> Politics

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up Hit & Run found this 3/27/2009found this

3

politics.theatlantic.com - 3/26/2009

'Why Doesn't He Get It?'

— politics.theatlantic.com — Considering that Democrats last November won their most sweeping electoral victory since 1964, and now enjoy unified... control of government for the first time since 1994, the organized Left doesn't seem very happy these days. Some of that discontent ... (more) 'Why Doesn't He Get It?'

White House

Barack Obama

Comments vote downundo vote up The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan found this 3/26/2009found this

Leave a Comment

Pre-election Polls and Exit Polls
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — Kos's comments and my reply. Quick summary: No, I don't think exit polls are necessarily better and, in any case, I don't yet have the raw exit poll data. But Kos got me on New Hampshire. As we continue to analyze further data, I don't think our maps will change by much but they will certainly change in some details (notably, whites in N.H.). Also, now I'm convinced that it's better to use some range of shading to indicate the close calls, so that people don't think I'm expressing 100% confidence in the color of each state. ...

How Did White People Vote? How Did Rich and Poor People Vote?
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... based on the Pew pre-election polls to estimate how Obama and McCain did among different income groups, for all voters and for non-Hispanic whites alone. The next day the blogger and political activist Kos posted some criticisms. I disagree with one of Kos's suggestions--he wanted me to rely on exit polls, but I don't actually see them as more reliable than the Pew pre-election polls--but he pointed out some serious problems with my maps. I ...

How did white people vote? Updated maps and discussion
The Monkey Cage — ... based on the Pew pre-election polls to estimate how Obama and McCain did among different income groups, for all voters and for non-Hispanic whites alone. The next day the blogger and political activist Kos posted some criticisms. I disagree with one of Kos’s suggestions—he wanted me to rely on exit polls, but I don’t actually see them as more reliable than the Pew pre-election polls—but he pointed out some serious problems with my maps. I ...

What Bayesian Statistics Can Do For You
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... This discussion relates to my disagreement with Kos over the maps of Obama and McCain vote. I graphed model-based estimates constructed using the Pew pre-election polls; Kos didn't trust these where they disagreed with published exit poll results. ...