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Shocker: McCain vs Obama - All Tied Up in Latest AP Presidential Poll
FullosseousFlap's Dental Blog — ... economic crisis. Conventional wisdom and most of the other Presidential polls have Obama up sometimes by double digits. So, this poll could be an outlier. But, Flap believes the race with tighten and that the Bradley Effect may very well skew poll numbers until election day. The GOP should not be discouraged in their GOTV efforts. There are other races down ticket as well. Update: Now, the IBD/TIPP Tracking poll shows a tightening race. Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead ...

AP Poll: All Tied Up
Stop The ACLU — ... are essentially running even among likely voters. The poll put Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent among those voters who are considered likely to vote on Nov. 4. The survey supports what some Republicans and Democrats privately have said in recent days: that the race has narrowed as Republicans drift home to their party. McCain’s “Joe the plumber” analogy also seemed to strike a chord. What? McCain won the last debate? I thought I was just crazy for thinking that. Uh oh! Other polls are trending McCain’s way too! Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ...

Gotta Give the TBD/IPP Poll Some Notice
Ace of Spades HQ — Gotta Give the TBD/IPP Poll Some Notice For a while, I've been paying particular attention to the Gallup poll, as they got it almost nearly right in 2006. But of course they've been wrong before -- and other people have been right before. As many commenters have told me, TIPP got the 2004 election exactly right. So though I've been ignoring them, I should note that they have The One only up by The Three Point Seven.

National Tracking Polls
Real Clear Politics - TIME.com — This is where the national daily tracking polls stand as of today: Rasmussen : Obama 51 (+1), McCain 45 (-1) Hotline/FD : Obama 47 (nc), McCain 42 (+1) GWU/Battleground : Obama 49 (+1), McCain 47 (nc) Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby : Obama 52 (+2), McCain 42 (nc) ABC News/Wash. Post : Obama 54 (+1), McCain 43 (-1) IBD/TIPP : Obama 46 (-1), McCain 42 (+1) Gallup (Expanded LV model*) : Obama 52 (nc), McCain 44 (+2) Gallup (Traditional LV model*) : Obama 50 (-1), McCain 45 (+1) (change since yesterday) *Gallup's "Traditional" and "Expanded" ...

This Election Is Not Over
A Chequer-Board of Nights and Days — ... recent days: that the race narrowed after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain's "Joe the plumber" analogy struck a chord. Three weeks ago, an AP-GfK survey found that Obama had surged to a seven-point lead over McCain, lifted by voters who thought the Democrat was better suited to lead the nation through its sudden economic crisis. The contest is still volatile, and the split among voters is apparent less than two weeks before Election Day. More : Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD/TIPP ...

Rock the Vote
Power Line — ... We've heard a lot about young people, especially college students, who are devoted to Barack Obama. A lot of ink has been spilled speculating on how many young people will actually turn out to vote. But if this IBD/TIPP poll is correct, Republicans had better hope the kids turn out in droves: ...

This Election Is Not Over
RedState: Conservative News and Community — ... after the third debate as GOP-leaning voters drifted home to their party and McCain's "Joe the plumber" analogy struck a chord. Three weeks ago, an AP-GfK survey found that Obama had surged to a seven-point lead over McCain, lifted by voters who thought the Democrat was better suited to lead the nation through its sudden economic crisis. The contest is still volatile, and the split among voters is apparent less than two weeks before Election Day. More: Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double ...

It's not quite over yet
Maggie's Farm — ... Today's IBD/TIPP tracking polls: Contrary to other polls, some of which show Obama ahead by double digits, the IBD/TIPP Poll shows a sudden tightening of Obama's lead to 3.7 from 6.0. McCain has picked up 3 points in the West and with independents, married women and those with some college. He's also gaining momentum in the suburbs, where he's gone from dead even a week ago to a 20-point lead. Obama padded gains in urban areas and with lower-class households, but he slipped 4 points with parents. Whoever ...