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fivethirtyeight.com - 10/20/2008
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It was Tom Bradley's 1982 race for governor of California, in which he lost to George Deukmejian in spite of leading in the public polls, that gave the Bradley Effect its name. But now Lance Tarrance, the pollster for Bradley in that race, has an article up at RCP suggesting that the Bradley ...
cnn.com - 10/19/2008
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cnn.com —
Polls show that Sen. Barack Obama has a
sizable lead over Sen. John McCain....
(more)
Will Obama suffer from the 'Bradley effect'?
online.wsj.com - 10/20/2008
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online.wsj.com —
If John McCain manages to overtake Barack Obama,
the media will have a ready answer for the...
result: racism. Over the past generation, every time a black liberal candidate runs for public office, pundits are quick to assert that the so-called Bradley ...
(more)
Tom Bradley Didn't Lose Because of Race
nytimes.com - 10/20/2008
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nytimes.com —
WITH only two weeks to go before the
election, talk has turned to the Bradley effect. The...
phenomenon is named for Tom Bradley, the African-American mayor of Los Angeles, who lost the 1982 California governor’s race even though exit polls predicted ...
(more)
Op-Ed Contributor - What Bradley Effect?
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MIDDAY ROUNDUP
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... by an aide to George Deukmejian, who won. Both attest that polls showed Bradley would lose because of unpopular policies, and not because of his race. There may be a number of reasons for the dissipation of the effect, including increased education and generational change, FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver thinks. Republicans should be more careful in celebrating the end of the effect, writes ...
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