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Interesting tidbit on polls
Interesting tidbit on polls
From VV contributor Ignatius: I was having dinner a night ago with a friend of mine who is a statistician for a well-regarded private polling company. They do some work for Republicans in California, but most of the work they do is for Democrats or Democrat-leaning operations (Unions, etc.). ...
Polls, Polls
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com — If you read Drudge, you might believe that there's a one-point gap between Obama and McCain, and... it's neck and neck in the final stretch. If you read 538, you find that McCain's chances of winning this election just shrank dramatically to 3.7 percent ... (more) Polls, Polls
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Just So You Know…
Nice Deb — ... Virginia Virtucon has some uplifting polling information for you “Eeyores” out there: I was having dinner a night ago with a friend of mine who is a statistician for a well-regarded private polling company. They do some work for Republicans ...

The latest "Democrat internal pollster says the polls are crap and Obama's coronation is far from certain" story
doubleplusundead — The latest "Democrat internal pollster says the polls are crap and Obama's coronation is far from certain" story Here you go , and the money quote, She said she has very little doubt that the public polling is part of a “concerted voter suppression effort” by the MSM. She said IBD/TIPP was the only outfit doing public polling that was “worth a bucket of warm piss”. ...

Palin to Obama: Don’t celebrate just yet
Hot Air » Top Picks — Palin to Obama: Don’t celebrate just yet posted at 9:42 pm on October 26, 2008 by Allahpundit Send to a Friend | printer-friendly Here’s the clip I asked for earlier; the money part comes about halfway through. Note the sustained boos for the media, much more so than for Obama. They have a “very steep hill to climb,” says Karl Rove. Do they?

Duane R. Patterson: If MSM Isn't Trustworthy, Why Are Conservatives Trusting The MSM 8 Days Out?
Hugh Hewitt's TownHall Blog — ... a very doable close for McCain, if this poll is accurate. I'm not going to provide any pessimism here. You can find that a little bit later amongst the trolls that will comment on this post, virtually anywhere you look in the left wing blogosphere, or elsewhere in the rest of mainstream media. What I will offer you is the only thing Barack Obama is offering - that is, besides a gigantic tax hike and a lurch to the left this country hasn't ever seen before - hope. From the blog Virginia Virtucon : Is this accurate? Who knows? If it's not, does this mean you give up because ...

Why turnout models are so important in polling
Babalú Blog: an island on the net without a bearded dictator — ... (or portrays himself as Black despite having a White mother). This should effect the historically lower turnout rates for Black Democrats. But those historical differences are not insignificant. So you can easily see how a pollster is faced with a dilemma when he gets a respondent on the phone. He needs to determine what the likelihood of that respondent actually following through and voting is. I'll leave you with this last bit of cheerful news. There's a blogger out there that is claiming that the election is a lot closer than many of the polls are letting on because of ...

For What It's Worth...On the Polls
Wizbang — ... ways than one, and has a steep hill to climb, but as Sarah Palin said in Florida, you don't cut down the nets until the basketball game is over. Obama has reportedly rented the stadium, ordered the caviar, put together his transition team and written his inaugural address, but the buzzer has not sounded yet. His Dean Smith four corners defense may allow him to sit on his lead until election day, but there is still a week for anything to happen. Take this with a grain of salt, but this comment , is an example of some of the things I am hearing from those who (like Palin) say ...

A word of clarification
Sister Toldjah — ... posts that talk about early voting stats and poll weighting samples that indicate that some states may be a lot closer than the pollsters have made them out to be. Just some food for thought to ruminate on 8 days before we go to the polls. As always, take this with a grain of salt. Anything can happen next week. ...

Reality keeps confirming that kuh- razy ol' right-wing rhetoric
Jim Treacher's Blog That Is on the Internet — Reality keeps confirming that kuh- razy ol' right-wing rhetoric The polls are crap. Obama is a socialist -- I repeat: a socialist -- who tries to repress free speech and pals around with terrorists . The media is willing to betray its own ideals , not to mention sacrifice its own well-being , to cover up Obama's misdeeds via obfuscation or just plain suppression of the truth . Nothing to see here, folks. Just do as you're told, and Obama will make everything okay. He controls the tides. He'll give you free ...

This is Interesting
PoliGazette — ... Of course, there’s a lot of information out there that will prove wrong on election day. However, some of those reports which could very well prove to be utterly incorrect are interesting. This one for instance: ...

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