theplumline.whorunsgov.com - 6/19/2009
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There's a fascinating revelation in Ben Smith's article today about political prognosticator Larry Sabato that really tells you a lot about how Washington works and how D.C. insiders reinforce their mutual influence, unwittingly at times.
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Remainders: TMZ
Ben Smith's Blog —
... Iran 1978, from the New Yorker archives.
Tomorrow is a big, tense day.
Kyl has a hold on State nominees.
Jonathan Cohn cheers up.
The White House plans a sit-down with gay groups.
Andrew Sullivan puts out a call to arms over gay rights.
Gay marriage opponents in Maine hire Prop 8 strategists to overturn Maine law.
Ensign admitted his affair after the other man called Fox.
Sargent thinks Sabato should have disclosed his earmark.
Gawker thinks the same, ...
Perriello: Sabato, let’s call the whole thing off
Balloon Juice —
Via Greg Sargent, Ben Smith has a fascinating piece about Hitler-stached pundit Larry Sabato’s pork-barrel prognosticating:
The race that took Sabato by surprise was close to home: In Virginia’s 5th Congressional District — which includes Sabato’s University of Virginia Center for Politics, in Charlottesville — a young, long-shot Thomas Perriello defeated the courtly, six-term Virgil Goode by the slimmest of margins. Goode had been more than just a congressman to Sabato. The men are friends dating back to ...
Hullabaloo —
... were spreading propaganda to promote the war while working for military contractors who stood to make a ton of money on it, right? (You could be forgiven for not knowing about it --- the TV news media have blacked out their own scandal, thus creating another one.) So, with all that, I suppose it was only a matter of time before corruption in academia, specifically that which crosses over into the punditocrisy, would be revealed as well. And this one's a doozy. Greg Sargent: There’s a fascinating revelation in Ben Smith’s article ...
Blogger Ethics Panel
Eschaton —
Oh dear. It looks like we're going to have to convene another one.
links for 2009-06-22
J. Bradford DeLong's Grasping Reality with All Eight Tentacles —
Prediction is hard, especially about the future
Balloon Juice —
... I find the intersection of political prognosticating and political messaging to be a fascinating place. I think that most of the major prognosticators (Cook, Rothenberg, Sabato—with obvious local exceptions, previously Chuck Todd) play it straight with their predictions (if not their other comments) for the simple reason that to do otherwise would hurt them professionally. But politics is full of self-fulfilling prophecies, people like to back a winner, fundraising depends on the perception of how likely a candidate is to win a race, and so on. There’s an ...
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