blah3.com - 11/4/2008
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Zogby: Obama 54%, McCain 42% . Marist: Obama 52%, McCain 43% . And the first results are in - from Dixville Notch, NH : Obama - 15, McCain - 6 (the first Dem win since 1968!). From Hart's Location : Obama - 17, McCain - 10, Paul - 2 . Let the ass-whupping begin.
Polls, Polls
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com 10/24/2008 — If you read Drudge, you might believe that there's a one-point gap between Obama and McCain, and it's neck and neck in the final stretch. If you read 538, you find that McCain's chances of winning this election just shrank dramatically to 3.7 percent ...
A Note on the Polls
realclearpolitics.com 10/24/2008 — I've received several emails from people asking about the polls. The national polls do seem pretty variable, so I thought I would toss in my two cents on them. First, we need a short primer on basic statistics. Real Clear...
We Get More Votes Than You
smalldeadanimals.com 10/26/2008 — "One man, one vote" is the foundation of our democracy. More than one-hundred million Americans cast their ballots in the 2000 U.S. presidential election, yet in the end the victory was won, in Florida, by a margin of approximately five...
Polls:
volokh.com 11/3/2008 — Today's polls released so far show everything from a 47-45% Obama lead (well within the margin of error), with 8% undecided, in the TIPP poll, to a 52-43-5 result in the...
Hope Votes
themoderatevoice.com 10/24/2008 — Whether you’re voting for McCain or Obama, stories like this have got to make you proud of what this election represents for those Americans who fought and died for civil rights not that long ago. A story from an African-American early voter:
...
2008 Polls Versus 2004 Polls
yglesias.thinkprogress.org 11/3/2008 — Something funny happened in 2004 where a lot of progressives convinced themselves near the end that John Kerry was likely to win the election even though he was narrowly behind in the polls. Then a lot of people have gone and misremembered that as ...
Polls: Obama Leading In Many Bush States
tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com 10/28/2008 — A new round of Zogby polls shows Barack Obama ahead in six states that George W. Bush won twice, with McCain only leading in two out of the eight polled:
• Virginia: Obama 52%, McCain 45%.
• Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 45%.
• Nevada: Obama 48%, ...
About the Polls
minx.cc 10/29/2008 — The Bradley Effect is merely a subset of the "socially desirable answer" phenomenon. People tend to tell pollsters the socially desirable answer. Here's one simple example: When a pollster is asking if someone is a likely voter, and if they've...
Our Polls Are on the Mark. I Think.
washingtonpost.com 11/2/2008 — Comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed. ...
Obama leads McCain in 5 of 8 key states —
Reuters: Politics 11/4/2008
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in five of eight key battleground states as Americans prepare to vote in the White House race, according to a series of Reuters/Zogby polls released on Tuesday.
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