pollster.com - 11/4/2008
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@ Observer - As with any intercept research, interviewers are supposed to follow strict guidelines about sampling, usually every "n-th" person during particular time frames. What we notice in consumer research (and I can't imagine is any different in political polling) is that interviewers learn ...
cnn.com - 11/5/2008
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cnn.com —
• All Times Eastern Standard• CNN will broadcast
a projected winner only after an extensive review of...
data from a number of sources. Details about CNN's projection process • Poll closing times by state and time zone• "Party change" denotes a race ...
(more)
Local Exit Polls - Election Center 2008 - Elections & ...
cnn.com - 11/5/2008
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cnn.com —
• All Times Eastern Standard• CNN will broadcast
a projected winner only after an extensive review of...
data from a number of sources. Details about CNN's projection process • Poll closing times by state and time zone• "Party change" denotes a race ...
(more)
Local Exit Polls - Election Center 2008 - Elections & ...
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/4/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
Oh, let me count the ways. Almost all
of this, by the way, is lifted from Mark...
Bluemthnal's outstanding Exit Poll FAQ . For the long version, see over there. 1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls . This is ...
(more)
Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls
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Ignore The Exit Polls
Daily Kos —
... But even when you ignore that and want to look at them, Read This First. It's from Mark Blumenthal and explains what you will be seeing. You'll learn about how they are done, how they are handling early voters, what to make of what you see on TV... and maybe even a little bit of what exit polls are for (and they are not to call the races.) ;-P ...
Waiting For The Exits
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
... ignoring exit polls. As does Mark Blumenthal. I'll keep an eye out for them regardless. The first ones are due in about an hour. Their main value is historical. By the way: look out for Ambers on CBS tonight. It's a TV debut of sorts. ...
Waiting for Leaked Exit Polls?
Weekly Standard Blog —
Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com has some good advice about exit polls.
Why hasn’t any information about preliminary results been floating around in emails and on blogs like in years past? Following a lot of criticism about early leaks in 2004, the network consortium that conducts the exits polls has its “representatives” literally sequestered without phones, blackberry’s or computers.
The consortium is supposed to brief its sponsors (i.e. the media) after 5:00 pm EST, but I haven't spotted any leaks yet.
But as Blumenthal and others ...
Why You Should Not Believe Exit Polls
Blue Crab Boulevard —
... Mark Blumenthal, who is well versed in polls and polling warns that the exit poll data the networks will begin releasing soon is not to be trusted . Looking for leaked exit poll results from the Obama-McCain presidential race? Sorry to break the news, but until at least 5:00 p.m. today you are out of luck. Following the 2004 election, when partial and misleading results leaked out at mid day, the network consortium that conducts the exit polls decided to restrict access to a small number of analysts in a “quarantine room” for most of the day. During the primaries this year, ...
DAY'S END ROUNDUP
News —
... . Don't forget that the 2004 exit polls led many to believe that Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.) was going to be president, writes Pollster.com's Mark Blumenthal . To hear conservative bloggers tell it, there's some funny business going on at polling places Tuesday. ...
Related Content
Exit Polls 2008: See The Full Results
huffingtonpost.com 11/4/2008 — In a matter of hours, you are going to start hearing talk of exit polls. We are going to post them ourselves, right here, in this entry.
But, before you get ahead of yourself, there's a question that needs to be asked: Should you trust the exit ...
McCain Obama ‘Exit Polls’
military.rightpundits.com 11/3/2008 — Here is your thread for McCain-Obama exit polls and election results for the general election between Barack Obama and John McCain 2008. We will live-blog throughout the day on November 4, 2008, bringing you any glimpses into the exit polls for the presidential race that become available. Use ...
Exit Polls Are Out. Don't Celebrate Yet.
campaignspot.nationalreview.com 11/4/2008 — Gawker has the first round of state exit poll numbers. I know I said I was going to be skeptical either way, but looks like we're in for a late night.... . . .
On The Exit Polls
marcambinder.theatlantic.com 11/4/2008 — 1. The quarantine this year is supposed to really be a quarantine -- no blackberries, no cell phone, no nothing, until 5:00 pm ET. So anyone who claims to have exit poll data before then is either lying or has really, really good sources. 2. The ...
Beware of Exit Polls
rasmussenreports.com 11/3/2008 — Will they or won’t they – take a few minutes to take an exit poll, that is? Democrats still ache over Election Day 2004 when exit polling showed John Kerry about to become the next president of the United States. The only problem was that the actual ...
Prop 8 Exit Polls
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com 11/5/2008 — They show a narrow victory for marriage equality: 52 to 48 . Every ethnic group supported marriage equality, except African-Americans, who voted overwhelmingly against extending to gay people the civil rights once denied them: a staggering 69 - 31 ...
FAQ: Questions about Exit Polls
pollster.com 11/4/2008 — I wrote quite a bit about exit polls after the 2004 elections, and have learned quite a bit in the process. However for those looking for general information about how exit polls are conducted, my Election Day summary of " what you need to know" about ...
Exit Polls: Economy Top Issue
huffingtonpost.com 11/7/2008 — Preliminary results from a national Associated Press exit poll of voters in Tuesday's elections:
THE ECONOMY DOMINATES
Six in 10 voters picked the economy as the most important issue facing the nation. None of four other issues on the list _ ...
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