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blogs.abcnews.com - 11/4/2008

Among the Other Voters

— blogs.abcnews.com — CHICAGO, Ill. -- Among the other voters who have shown up to vote at Shoesmith Elementary School this morning, where Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., will vote: Louis Farrakhan and William Ayers. Seriously. Welcome to the South Side of Chicago. -... (more) Among the Other Voters

White House

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rasmussenreports.com - 11/3/2008

Beware of Exit Polls

— rasmussenreports.com — Will they or won’t they – take a few minutes to take an exit poll, that is? Democrats still ache over Election Day 2004 when exit polling showed John Kerry about to become the next president of the United States. The only problem was that the actual ... (more) Beware of Exit Polls

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gawker.com - 11/4/2008

Exit Polls: First State Exit Poll Numbers Are Tighter Than Recent Polling

— gawker.com — See, we told you not to get too excited. The first state exit polls have crossed our transom and they look like Obama's margins are tighter than recent polling in key states Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida. So hold your breath. (more) Exit Polls: First State Exit Poll Numbers Are Tighter ...

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Barack Obama

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Hugh Hewitt: Rasmussen: Obama Up 4; Battelground: Obama Up 4: Will The Undecideds Help McCain Close This Gap?
Townhall.com Blog's TownHall Blog — ... --Colorado, Minnesota and Ohio-- I know from first hand experience that the McCain effort is well staffed and very enthusiastic. The effort to set up "exit polls" as decisive is already being blunted and though we will be treated to the standard "massive turnout" and "Obama wave" stories on CNN election day, the GOP is poised to get its people to the polls, and to ignore the effort to stomp on turnout as MSM's early and erroneous call of Florida for Gore did in 2000. (See, btw, Geraghty's explanation of why exit polls are guaranteed to skew Obama. HT: ...

Hugh Hewitt: Rasmussen: Obama Up 4; Battelground: Obama Up 4: Will The Undecideds Help McCain Close This Gap?
Hugh Hewitt's TownHall Blog — ... --Colorado, Minnesota and Ohio-- I know from first hand experience that the McCain effort is well staffed and very enthusiastic. The effort to set up "exit polls" as decisive is already being blunted and though we will be treated to the standard "massive turnout" and "Obama wave" stories on CNN election day, the GOP is poised to get its people to the polls, and to ignore the effort to stomp on turnout as MSM's early and erroneous call of Florida for Gore did in 2000. (See, btw, Geraghty's explanation of why exit polls are guaranteed to skew Obama. HT: ...

The validity of polls
Betsy's Page — ... without knowing who the people are who are refusing to answer your polls so you know how to weight the sample? Remember, if you're off by a few percent in your weighting of the sample, your entire results will be called into question. I'm not saying that I think McCain is ahead or that turnout won't be massive in this election. I'm just saying that we should take this proliferation of numbers with a healthy dose of skepticism. And we should feel the same way about those exit polls. Jim Geraghty points to an intriguing answer to, yes, ...

Beware of Exit Polling...As Usual
Weekly Standard Blog — ... Jim Geraghty hit on this last week, and it poses a real problem given than states such as Nevada and Colorado will still be voting when the media jumps to crown Prince Obama: ...