huffingtonpost.com - 1/7/2009
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& Anat Biletzki As Israel and Palestine suffer a hideous new spasm of terror, misery, and mayhem, it is important to ask how this situation came about. Perhaps an understanding of recent events will afford lessons for the future. How did the recent ceasefire unravel? The mainstream media in the ...
theweek.com - 1/8/2009
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theweek.com —
Good for Shrum for championing Israel s right
to defend itself against the Hamas rocket barrage. He...
is correct, too, that lasting peace will come only when the Palestinians abandon their hope that Israel can somehow be defeated or destroyed. ...
(more)
Why Democrats recoil from Gaza
news.bbc.co.uk - 1/9/2009
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news.bbc.co.uk —
Israel is to keep up its offensive in
the Gaza Strip despite a UN call for an...
immediate end to nearly two weeks of conflict involving Hamas militants. Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said the latest firing of rockets into Israel showed the resolution was ...
(more)
UN ceasefire call goes unheeded
foxnews.com - 1/9/2009
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foxnews.com —
Friday, January 09, 2009 BREAKING NEWS— Israel's government
says it will press ahead with its offensive in...
the Gaza Strip despite a U.N. Security Council resolution calling for a cease-fire. Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's office says the military "will ...
(more)
Israel and Hamas Reject U.N. Truce, Intensify Attacks - ...
Comments
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Al-Fakhoura School Bombed, 42 Killed, Including Children; 13,000 Homeless Water, Medicine in Short Supply
Informed Comment —
... Nancy Kaminer of MIT can count and therefore so does her article. She demonstrates that after the Israel-Hamas truce was concluded in mid-June, 2008, for four months there were virtually no rockets fired at Israel. The rockets began again after two Israeli attacks that killed several Palestinians. Kaminer analyzes periods of mutual violence and relative calm in the past few years and finds that in 80% of the cases, it is Israel that has re-initiated the violence. Her well-grounded analysis demonstrates the falsehood of the allegations that it is impossible to deal with ...
Who Breaks The Truce (Israel/Hamas)? [Reader Post]
Flopping Aces —
Nancy Kanwisher has an interesting post where she measures who broke the ‘lull’ in the fighting between Isreal and Hamas.
She presents charts showing who killed first after a lull of various lengths duration. Of course Israel has killed first in the majority of cases.
She claims:
The lessons from these data are clear:
First, Hamas can indeed control the rockets, when it is in their interest. The data shows that ceasefires can work, reducing the violence to nearly zero for months at a time.
In fact, ...
Living Next Door to Antagonists
TPMCafe —
... Second response: Hamas isn't just an organization that fires rockets. It strategizes. It observes constraints. It doesn't just attack Sderot, Ashkelon, Beersheva--it's a political actor. (Here's a plausible-seeming analysis arguing that Hamas has actually been better at observing cease-fires than Israel.) It has factions. They live in a world of other factions, and adjust accordingly. They already have. This doesn't make them warm or fuzzy. It does make them calculating. ...
Comment on Whither LarryE? by LarryE
Comments for Lean Left —
... - Stop being the side to break a ceasefire the vast majority of the time. (Linked because I knew there was no way you would believe me otherwise.) ...
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