blog.newsweek.com - 10/17/2008
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Will energized young people vote more than expected, or will race will play a larger role than expected?
realclearpolitics.com - 10/15/2008
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realclearpolitics.com —
A reader writes in with a question: A
few of my friends have said almost in the...
same words, "I was thinking of voting for McCain until he chose Palin. After that, I'm voting for Obama." Packer's article in the...
(more)
On the "Palin Effect"
nytimes.com - 10/20/2008
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nytimes.com —
WITH only two weeks to go before the
election, talk has turned to the Bradley effect. The...
phenomenon is named for Tom Bradley, the African-American mayor of Los Angeles, who lost the 1982 California governor’s race even though exit polls predicted ...
(more)
Op-Ed Contributor - What Bradley Effect?
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Remainders: Plumbing the depths
Jonathan Martin's Blog —
Democrats spent $53 million on their convention.
A Florida GOP fundraiser forwards a joke about the Obamas blowing up.
Space pork!
God goes unmentioned in the debates.
McCain makes sure he isn't late to Dave.
A Virginia GOP mailer blurs the line with photoshop.
A McCain robocall alleges Obama would deny medical care to babies.
Fineman looks at the two great unknowns: Bradley and Facebook.
Obamapalooza.
Local GOP in ...
Your Abbreviated Pundit Round-up
Daily Kos —
... and Bush at the pelvis. But the more powerful answer is this: Presidential debates are not only — or even mainly — about substance. They’re about tone and affect and body language, and on all these counts, McCain was once again fairly awful. Ezra Klein: This is a year that favors health care plans and regulatory schemes and unemployment benefits. It is not a year that favors John McCain. Howard Fineman: Old farts vs young turks. Dick Morris: How do you know McCain is ...
Related Content
Is "the Bradley effect" a "Democrat" effect?
tigerhawk.blogspot.com 10/20/2008 — Ann Coulter looks at the pre-election polls in every presidential election since 1980. In each case, including all those campaigns in which neither candidate was an African-American -- the Republicans performed better on election day than the polls ...
The Bradley Non-Effect
corner.nationalreview.com 10/20/2008 — Two op-eds appear today -- one in the New York Times and one in the Wall Street Journal -- each debunking the original Bradley Effect. That is, each of them (the Times version is by a former Bradley aide, and the Journal version by a former aide to ...
The Bradley Effect is Dead
thetalentshow.org 11/2/2008 — I was about to write a post about why I don’t think the Bradley Effect is worth worrying about, but then I found this Newsweek article by Nate Silver that makes the exact same points :
There is little doubt Obama is losing some votes due to ...
The Reverse-Bradley Effect
washingtonpost.com 10/22/2008 — At this juncture, I wouldn't want to bet even a subprime mortgage on this presidential election. As perhaps never before, multiple hidden factors could alter the outcome.
Newsweek: Debunking the Bradley Effect
newsweek.com 10/22/2008 — Nick Silver, the polling analyst behind stats-heavy site FiveThirtyEight.com, explains why he doesn't think Barack Obama's race is skewing the public-opinion surveys one way or the other.
The Bradley Effect Reconsidered
time-blog.com 10/20/2008 — For 26 years, when political analysts consider the effect of race in an election, they have warned about the "Bradley Effect." As the story goes, race--and specifically, voters' unwillingness to admit their own racist views--was the major reason that ...
If The Bradley Effect is Gone, What Happened To It?
fivethirtyeight.com 10/20/2008 — It was Tom Bradley's 1982 race for governor of California, in which he lost to George Deukmejian in spite of leading in the public polls, that gave the Bradley Effect its name. But now Lance Tarrance, the pollster for Bradley in that race, has an ...
Bradley Effect: R.I.P.
reflectivepundit.com 11/5/2008 — OK, so I stayed up entering all the data by hand just to answer one question: what was the final word on the Bradley Effect I've had to discuss about a million times in the past few weeks. The answer is: nada. I took the last polling projections from ...
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