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On Obama-McCain polls, it depends on the meaning of ’squeaks by’
Yesterday, Lifetime Networks released a national poll of women and their presidential preferences. Time’s Mark Halperin said Barack Obama “ edged out ” McCain in the poll. Obama’s lead? 11 points. “Edged out” made it sound like it was close. It wasn’t. Similarly, CNN characterizes Obama’s five-point national lead as “ squeaking by ...
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close only counts in horseshoes and atom bombs
skippy the bush kangaroo — as we have discussed before, the multi-millionaire media has a vested (read: monied) interest in keeping the presidential race exciting, that is to say, close. ergo the use of the terms "statistically tied" or "dead even." when the spread between the two candidates falls within, or close to, the margin of error in a poll, the media will call the race even. but digones, commenting at the carpetbagger report directs us to this paper by dr. douglas lonnstrom from the international statistical institute (pdf), discussing the incorrect ...

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