Pew Poll Shows Obama Lead Steady
The Page by Mark Halperin — ... National poll, among likely voters: Obama 53, McCain 38 From one week ago: Obama 53, McCain 39 Dates conducted: Oct. 23-26. Error margin: 3.5 points. Read more here.       ...

Pew: McCain Support Continues Downward Spiral (53% to 38% likely)
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News — ... Poll Obama Leads by 19 Among Those Who Have Already Voted Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew's nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back Obama. When the sample is narrowed to those likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38% Read more: http://people-press.org/report/465/mccain-support-decli... Sorry, but I needed this one today. ...

PEW Poll: "McCain support continues downward spiral"
AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth — It's never good news when they start comparing your campaign to a plane crash. From PEW: ...

Pew: Obama By 16...By 19 Among Those Who Have Already Voted
The Atlantic Politics Channel — Pew's Andy Kohut conducts one of the better national surveys out there, and his results today -- even assuming that he caught McCain in a downdraft -- are fairly stunning. Obama leads by 16 points among likely voters, by 17 points among independents, by 13 points among men, by 20 points among women, is tied among whites, and is up eight among white Catholics.   Of the 15 percent of the sample who've already voted, Obama leads by 19 points (although this subsample has a fairly large MoE).  74% of Obama's backers say they support him "strongly," which is 20 points ...

McCain Is Spiraling Downward
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — As I suspected, this race may not be tightening; it may still be widening: Just as ominous for the Republican candidate, Obama holds a 53% to 34% lead among the sizable minority of voters (15%) who say they have already voted. Among those who plan to vote early but have not yet voted (16% of voters), 56% support Obama, while 37% support McCain. Pew finds McCain support still declining and existing backing for Obama gaining in intensity. But the undecideds, though evenly balanced, look more like McCain voters: When ...

Reagan Script Re-Write
N/A — Are you better off than you were eight years ago? “McCain is learning the hard way, even if he won’t yet admit it, that the Reagan playbook’s time has come and gone.  . . .  the Republican era of wholesale deregulation and the redistribution of wealth, upward, is over.” Are you better of than you were four years ago?  This is why McCain is not better off than he was four weeks ago. Good times: “Republicans expect to be crushed in historic landslide . . . ...

Tuesday's campaign round-up
Political Animal — ... Rasmussen shows Obama leading McCain by four, 51% to 47%. * In Missouri, Rasmussen shows Obama leading McCain by one, 48% to 47%. * In North Carolina, Rasmussen shows McCain leading Obama by one, 49% to 48%. * In New Hampshire, a Marist poll shows Obama leading McCain by five, 50% to 45%. * In Iowa, a Marist poll shows Obama leading McCain by 10, 52% to 42%. * In Arizona, Rasmussen shows McCain leading Obama by five, 51% to 46%. * Pew Research Center shows Obama leading McCain nationally by 16, 52% to 36%.— Steve ...

Poll Pron:* Obama By 16
TalkLeft — Pew provides a ridiculous result: Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back Obama. When the sample is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38%. Pew is a real and respectable pollster. But this result is not to be ...

War and Piece — Pew : McCain support continues downward spiral. "A breakdown of voting intentions by demographic groups shows that since mid- September, McCain’s support has declined significantly across most voting blocs. Currently, McCain holds a statistically significant advantage only among white evangelical Protestants (aside from Republicans). In addition, Obama runs nearly even with McCain in the so-called red states, all of which George W. Bush won in 2004." Posted by Laura at October 28, 2008 11:35 AM

McCain Remains Absolutely Anchored Down By Bush: Poll
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... A Pew Research poll released on Tuesday reveals that the Arizona Republican is not only trailing substantially (19 percent) among early voters, but faces political obstacles that seem downright insurmountable. Despite devoting countless airtime and speeches towards distancing himself from George W. Bush, more people today believe McCain would be an extension of the current administration's policies than they did just one week ago. As Pew reports: ...

McCain Remains Absolutely Anchored Down By Bush: Poll
The Huffington Post | Full News Feed — ... A Pew Research poll released on Tuesday reveals that the Arizona Republican is not only trailing substantially (19 percent) among early voters, but faces political obstacles that seem downright insurmountable. Despite devoting countless airtime and speeches towards distancing himself from George W. Bush, more people today believe McCain would be an extension of the current administration's policies than they did just one week ago. As Pew reports: ...

Gallup: McCain within two among traditional likely voters
Hot Air » Top Picks — ... actually looks slightly worse today than it did last week, with Ohio having flipped to “Leans Dem” and Arizona now within seven points. As for the Pew poll being circulated, I can only assume it’s an outlier notwithstanding the large sample. Obama by 16, thanks to an eight-point lead among voters 65 and older and a four-point lead in Republican states? Even I’m not that pessimistic. Exit question: Is it time for the ceremonial election predictions thread or should we wait until Monday? Update: The Pew poll claims Obama leads among self-described early voters by 19. The ...

Pew: McCain In Downward Spiral
Daily Kos — ... The Pew poll is one of the most respected in the business, and a real narrative setter. Today's has very bad news for Palin McCain-Palin ...

Pew Research: Obama Crushing McCain Nationally
Taegan Goddard's Political Wire — Sen. Barack Obama leads Sen. John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in the latest Pew Research survey. "This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back Obama. When the sample is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38%."

Obama and McCain Tied with White Voters
Outside The Beltway | OTB — ... A new Pew poll shows a continuing decline for John McCain: Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back Obama. When the sample is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38%. A breakdown of voting intentions by demographic groups shows that since mid- September, ...

Pew Poll Shows Foreboding News For McCain
Comments from Left Field — ... Pew Research Center comes out with a rather shocking poll, one that gives Obama a sixteen point edge nation wide and puts McCain down in the mid thirties. ...

Why I'm Still Sweating an Obama Victory
The Stump — ... ) has shifted toward McCain, in some cases sharply. While some of the more traditional (i.e., non-tracking) polls show Obama with a big lead--like the Pew poll Judis cites--these polls tend to reflect older information. ...

What to Make of the Polls
The Anonymous Liberal — ... Today the Pew Research Center, a respected polling organization, released a national poll with a large sample size showing Obama running away with the election. According to Pew, Obama is up by a staggering 52-36 margin among registered voters and 53-38 among likely voters. Last week there were several national polls, from Newsweek and CBS, showing similarly large margins. ...

Ari Melber: Obama Takes Early Lead in Early Vote
Politics on HuffingtonPost.com — ... Pew reports today that among people who say they already voted, Obama has a 19 point lead. That's not a small cohort, either. Fifteen percent of those surveyed say they have already voted. ...

The GOP Has A Future... Kind Of
DownWithTyranny! — ... , where Republican operative know McCain is going down but where they hope they can save at least one of the 3 crooked reactionary Republicans, the notorious Diaz-Balarts and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, from long overdue political extinction-- McCain's goose is cooked and the situation is getting worse by the day. The goal of McCain's ...

Poll-a-copia, P(w)ew and Galluping edition
No Runny Eggs — ... the the math on Pew’s latest poll (which has Obama up 53%-38% among likely voters), and found that Pew’s bias is 38.83% Democrat, 32.57% independent, and 28.61% Republican. Jim also notes that Pew’s spread was only off by one percentage point in their end-of-the-race 2006 poll bias (they had it at +4 D, it was +3 D). ...

Today's Polls, 10/28
FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right — ... A brief aside about the Pew poll, which pegs the race at Obama +15. Pew has a very good reputation. Their polls, however, have also had about a 3-point Democratic lean this cycle. There may be good reasons why a poll leans a certain way; for instance, Pew calls cellphones, whereas most other pollsters do not. But a +15 from Pew isn't quite as meaningful as if, say, that result were coming from Gallup, which has been very neutral overall this year. ...

DAY'S END ROUNDUP
News — ... . But a new Pew Research Center poll shows 53 percent to 38 percent lead for Obama among likely voters. Pew's survey, which has a strong reputation, also shows that more of Obama's support is considered "strong" than McCain's, which suggests that Obama will have an easier time turning support into actual votes, writes Daily Kos's ...

don't sweat it
skippy the bush kangaroo — ... ballgame. and there's absolutely no evidence - none - that mccain can do that. especially when you factor in the massive turnouts we're already seeing and the incredibly wide gap in advertising dollars and the gotv effort between the two camps… i'm getting my info from gallup, which polls early voting: http://www.gallup.com/poll/111580/Early-Voting-Now-18.aspx and pew today also reported that the difference in early voting is in the double digits: people-press.org/.../mccain-support-declines ...

Pew Poll: Obama Favored By Early Voters As Lead Widens Over McCain
The Moderate Voice — ... A new Pew Research Center poll shows Republican Presidential candidate Sen. John McCain’s lead shrinking — and underlines the impact early voting could have on this and future elections. ...

Obama Leads by 19 Points Among Early Voters
Tennessee Guerilla Women — ... Pew Research: Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. . . Just as ominous for the Republican candidate, Obama holds a 53% to 34% lead among the sizable minority of voters (15%) who say they have already voted. Among those who plan to vote early but have not yet voted (16% of voters), 56% support Obama, while 37% support McCain. ...

10/29 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 50, McCain 44
Daily Kos — ... 50 (52)    43 (42)    2         RV  See also the LV I and LV II numbers IBD/TIPP:       48 (47)    44 (44)    3.3       LV  alternate link ABC/WaPo:       52 (52)    45 (45)    3         LV Ipsos/McClatchy:50 (50)    45 (42)    3.4       LV Pew:            53 (53)    39 (38)    3.5   ...

New Pew poll puts Obama up by 16
The Reaction — ... The national outlier continues to be Pew, which currently has Obama up among registered voters by a whopping 16 points, 52 to 36 (15 points among likely voters, 53-38). Among those who have voted already, Obama is up by even more, 19 points, 53 to 34. And the internals are all extremely strong for Obama. Very few demographic groups are going for McCain. ...

SPINNING THE LIGHT FANTASTIC
Right Wing Nut House — ... the campaign is “witnessing an impressive ‘pop’ with Independent voters.” That “pop” you hear from the Indies is the bubble of hope that McCain can grab enough of them to overcome Obama’s lead among party registrants. The Democrat holds a 8 point advantage with self-identified Democrats over Republicans which would mean McCain would need at least 54% of independent voters (who make up about 27% of the electorate) to win the popular vote. Throwing out the strange numbers offered up by Pew Research which show McCain trailing Obama 52-36 among all groups, their projection of the ...

Early Voting and Exit Polls
The Caucus — ... through Monday indicated that 18 percent in its survey said they had voted early; another 15 percent said they planned to do so. A new Pew Research poll released yesterday showed that 15 percent of the respondents said they had voted early. Andrew Kohut, the president of the Pew Research Center, noted that the early voters heavily favored Mr. Obama over Mr. McCain, and Mr. Obama enjoyed a healthy lead in the overall poll. Ultimately, Mr. Lenski said the early voting might represent somewhere in the ballpark of 20 to 25 percent of a blending in with the Election Day exit ...

Tracking Poll Update
Daily Kos — ... (43)    2         RV  LV II is 51 (51) - 44 (44). Yesterday IBD/TIPP:       48 (47)    44 (44)    3.3       LV  alternate link ABC/WaPo:       52 (52)    45 (45)    3         LV Ipsos/McClatchy:50 (50)    45 (42)    3.4       LV Pew:            53 (53)    38 (39)    3.5 ...

Undecideds
Rising Hegemon — ... Well, Obama has 74% plus strong and enthusiastic supporters, McCain has 56%. That's an extraordinary difference and explains why going negative in this election, the Rove playbook, has been a mistake by McCain. Because though he'd probably lose either way, he'll lose ugly the way he's chosen. He'll need that self-deluded sense of honor more than ever. ...

Who the Hell is Undecided?
Garling Gauge — ... if you like. But I'd like to offer a few words in defense of the undecided voter, if only because she — about 63% of this year's undecideds are women, according to the Pew Research Center for the People ...