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tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com - 10/28/2008
Polls: Obama Leading In Many Bush States
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A new round of Zogby polls shows Barack Obama ahead in six states that George W. Bush won twice, with McCain only leading in two out of the eight polled: • Virginia: Obama 52%, McCain 45%. • Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 45%. • Nevada: Obama 48%, McCain 44%. • Missouri: Obama 48%, McCain ...
Today's Polls, 11/1
fivethirtyeight.com - 11/2/2008
Today's Polls, 11/1
— fivethirtyeight.com — This is beginning to look like a five-state election. Those states are Virginia, Colorado, Pennsylvania, Ohio and... Nevada. Essentially all relevant electoral scenarios involve some combination of these five states. I should caution that by far the most ... (more) Today's Polls, 11/1

Comments vote down The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan found this 11/2/2008found this
3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
strata-sphere.com - 10/27/2008
3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
— strata-sphere.com — I have been noting that national polls and some state polls may be way off based on... optimistic voter turnout models which are historically nonsense (see posts here and here). One of the first indicators of whether Obama really is enjoying some massive ... (more) 3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off

Comments vote down QandO found this 10/27/2008found this
Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/24/2008
Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
— fivethirtyeight.com — This is not the time when John McCain can afford a bad polling day. And yet he's... had perhaps his worst one of the year. The national trackers were essentially a push -- three moved toward Obama, two toward McCain, two were flat -- but the action today ... (more) Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support

Comments vote down Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News found this 10/24/2008found this

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TomDispatch:  Tomgram: Robert Eshelman, Republican Nosedive in Pennsylvania

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Tomgram: Robert Eshelman, Republican Nosedive in Pennsylvania
TomDispatch — ... , in the Obama camp by at least 8 points, or that he's leading in a remarkable number of states Bush took in 2004, or even that Democratic Senate and House candidates are ...

Related: who is leading in the polls
Exit Polls: Az Good Az It Gets — Hotline On Call Part Deux
In John McCain 's home state of AZ, exit polls show: - The candidates tied among men and McCain leading by 1% among women. The electorate was split evenly between men and women - Obama leading Indies by 14%, who made up 31% of voters; Kerry won Indies by 6% in '04
Exit Polls: Say It Thrice — Hotline On Call Part Deux
In FL, exits shows: - Obama and McCain deadlocked 49-49% among men and Obama with a slight 2% edge among women - McCain leading voters aged 65+ by 11%; Bush carried these bubbies and sadies by 3 in '04 - Obama leading in the Tampa area by 13% and McCain leading in central FL by 3%
Exit Polls: The Buckeye Stops Here — Hotline On Call Part Deux
In OH, exit polls show: - Obama leading men by 8% and women by 10%. In '04, Bush carried men by 5% and split women 50-50% with Kerry - Party ID as: 40%D and 30%R vs. 35%D and 40%R in '04 - Obama leading 61-37% among families earning less than $50k/yr, 58-41% among union households and ...
Exit Polls: Sweep Virginia? — Hotline On Call Part Deux
In the Hotline battleground of VA, exit polls show: - Obama leading men by 6% and women by 12% - African-American turnout is 21% -- unchanged from ‘04 - 90% of voters think the economy is not so good/poor -- a group breaking 56-43% in Obama's favor - McCain leading 59-38% among ...
Exit Polls: An Indiana Night — Hotline On Call Part Deux
At the top of the hour, the nets say reliably red IN is too close to call ... In the Hotline battleground of IN, exit polls show: - Obama leading men by 2% and women by 9% - African-American turnout to be 7% -- identical to what it was in '04 - Obama leading Indies, who made up 23% ...