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Polls, Polls
If you read Drudge, you might believe that there's a one-point gap between Obama and McCain, and it's neck and neck in the final stretch. If you read 538, you find that McCain's chances of winning this election just shrank dramatically to 3.7 percent from 6.5 percent yesterday. The beauty of ...
Interesting tidbit on polls
Interesting tidbit on polls
virginiavirtucon.wordpress.com — From VV contributor Ignatius: I was having dinner a night ago with a friend of mine who is a statistician for a well-regarded private polling company. They do some work for Republicans in California, but most of the work they do is for Democrats or ... (more) Interesting tidbit on polls
3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
strata-sphere.com — I have been noting that national polls and some state polls may be way off based on optimistic voter turnout models which are historically nonsense (see posts here and here). One of the first indicators of whether Obama really is enjoying some massive ... (more) 3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
fivethirtyeight.com — This is not the time when John McCain can afford a bad polling day. And yet he's had perhaps his worst one of the year. The national trackers were essentially a push -- three moved toward Obama, two toward McCain, two were flat -- but the action today ... (more) Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
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10/24: The Freak Show Ruled By Matt Drudge
Blogometer — ... GOP orthodoxy: "One of the virtues of Sarah Palin being badly underbriefed about national security issues, is that she has to rely on common sense to bluff her way through questions, and she keeps accidentally straying from conservative dogma. When asked about the 'Bush Doctrine' of preventive war, she said she embraced the doctrine, but then actually outlined a much more reasonable 'imminent threat' standard for action." THOUGHT OF THE DAY: The Freedom To Create Your Own Reality The Atlantic 's Andrew Sullivan : "If you read ...

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A Note on the Polls
realclearpolitics.com 10/24/2008 — I've received several emails from people asking about the polls. The national polls do seem pretty variable, so I thought I would toss in my two cents on them. First, we need a short primer on basic statistics. Real Clear...
Polls:
volokh.com 11/3/2008 — Today's polls released so far show everything from a 47-45% Obama lead (well within the margin of error), with 8% undecided, in the TIPP poll, to a 52-43-5 result in the...
The Polls - 10/15
talkleft.com 10/15/2008 — Yesterday, Sarah Palin said : Our opponents spend so much time pretending they are running against the current president. I think it's wearing pretty thin . . . The American people are really waking up and saying no, the status quo is not one of ...
About the Polls
minx.cc 10/29/2008 — The Bradley Effect is merely a subset of the "socially desirable answer" phenomenon. People tend to tell pollsters the socially desirable answer. Here's one simple example: When a pollster is asking if someone is a likely voter, and if they've...
The Polls - 10/31
talkleft.com 10/31/2008 — Any Halloween scares to come in the polling today? Not likely. DKos/R2000 has Obama up 6, 51-45. Ras has Obama up 4, 51-47 and a good explanation of what has happened in the last week or so: The tightening comes entirely from McCain solidifying ...
2008 Polls Versus 2004 Polls
yglesias.thinkprogress.org 11/3/2008 — Something funny happened in 2004 where a lot of progressives convinced themselves near the end that John Kerry was likely to win the election even though he was narrowly behind in the polls. Then a lot of people have gone and misremembered that as ...
Today's Polls, 10/16
fivethirtyeight.com 10/17/2008 — With seven different daily tracking polls to work with -- one of which releases three separate versions of its model each day -- there is a lot to choose from for those who might seek to cherry-pick results. Slow news day, Matt? If this is a ...
Our Polls Are on the Mark. I Think.
washingtonpost.com 11/2/2008 — Comments that include profanity or personal attacks or other inappropriate comments or material will be removed from the site. Additionally, entries that are unsigned or contain "signatures" by someone other than the actual author will be removed. ...
Last Polls, First Votes.
blah3.com 11/4/2008 — Zogby: Obama 54%, McCain 42% . Marist: Obama 52%, McCain 43% . And the first results are in - from Dixville Notch, NH : Obama - 15, McCain - 6 (the first Dem win since 1968!). From Hart's Location : Obama - 17, McCain - 10, Paul - 2 . Let the ass-whupping begin.
What to Make of the Polls
anonymousliberal.com 10/29/2008 — This has been an especially odd election when it comes to polls. We're seeing an exceptionally large divergence in both state and national poll numbers, not only in absolute numbers but in trendlines. Both of these phenomena are worth pondering.  ...
McCain presses tax issue on the trailL.A. Times - Politics 10/24/2008
Obama takes time off to visit his ailing grandmother. Another Republican, former Massachusetts Gov. William Weld, endorses the Democrat. > With polls ...
Biden appears with telemarketer who quit over anti-Obama callsCNN Political Ticker 10/24/2008
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CNN Truth Squad: Does McCain offer 'more tax cuts for jobs outsourcing?'CNN Political Ticker 10/24/2008
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Police: Woman lied about bumper-sticker-linked attackCNN Political Ticker 10/24/2008
(CNN) — A Texas woman who told Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, police she was assaulted at an ATM by a man angered by a John McCain bumper sticker on her car admitted Friday she made up the report, the assistant police chief said Friday. ...
Bush and Cheney cast ballots for McCainCNN Political Ticker 10/24/2008
WASHINGTON (CNN) — President Bush has cast his ballot in the 2008 election, spokeswoman Dana Perino said Friday. He voted for John McCain, "of course," she said. Laura Bush, who also cast her ballot Friday, also voted for McCain, her ...