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andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com - 10/24/2008
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If you read Drudge, you might believe that there's a one-point gap between Obama and McCain, and it's neck and neck in the final stretch. If you read 538, you find that McCain's chances of winning this election just shrank dramatically to 3.7 percent from 6.5 percent yesterday. The beauty of ...
virginiavirtucon.wordpress.com - 10/26/2008
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virginiavirtucon.wordpress.com —
From VV contributor Ignatius: I was having dinner
a night ago with a friend of mine who
is a statistician for a well-regarded private polling company. They do some work for Republicans in California, but most of the work they do is for Democrats or ...
(more)
Interesting tidbit on polls
strata-sphere.com - 10/27/2008
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strata-sphere.com —
I have been noting that national polls and
some state polls may be way off based on
optimistic voter turnout models which are historically nonsense (see posts here and here). One of the first indicators of whether Obama really is enjoying some massive ...
(more)
3rd Early Voting Indicator National Polls May Be Way Off
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/24/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
This is not the time when John McCain
can afford a bad polling day. And yet he's
had perhaps his worst one of the year. The national trackers were essentially a push -- three moved toward Obama, two toward McCain, two were flat -- but the action today ...
(more)
Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support
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10/24: The Freak Show Ruled By Matt Drudge
Blogometer —
... GOP orthodoxy: "One of the virtues of Sarah Palin being badly underbriefed about national security issues, is that she has to rely on common sense to bluff her way through questions, and she keeps accidentally straying from conservative dogma. When asked about the 'Bush Doctrine' of preventive war, she said she embraced the doctrine, but then actually outlined a much more reasonable 'imminent threat' standard for action." THOUGHT OF THE DAY: The Freedom To Create Your Own Reality The Atlantic 's Andrew Sullivan : "If you read ...
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