marcambinder.theatlantic.com - 11/7/2008
—
Republican strategist Patrick Ruffini believes that swings within the young voter demographic can account for Obama's victory -- and he's worried. People have been focusing on whether the youth vote was up. It was
-- slightly: going from 17 to 18 percent. But the real story about the
youth vote ...
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Generation Obama
The Moderate Voice —
... rate as the rest of the population, even moreso than the oldest voters. In 2004, the shift had begun, and Kerry outperformed Bush, but his 54% of the youth vote wasn’t enough to actually swing the election. Obama improved on that dramatically, and it wasn’t just a matter of the inherent liberalism of youth; if so, Obama’s margins wouldn’t dwarf Gore’s and Kerry’s to that extent.
Republican strategist Patrick Ruffini (via Marc Ambinder) explains the implications:
He produced a gargantuan 25% swing ...
The GOP Gets Off to a Bad Start
Pajamas Media —
... as minority leader. Was this the way to communicate to Republicans and the country as a whole that it would no longer be business as usual? If so, it was a strange way to show it. None of this suggests that those inside the Beltway appreciate the predicament the GOP is in. The election returns were filled with bad news: Republican lagged in party identification (39-32%), got a fraction of the Hispanic vote (31%), and lost multiple red states (e.g., Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida). Young people are flocking to the Democratic Party. Sniping at the new president’s White House ...
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