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Congress

Saxby Chambliss

Georgia

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fivethirtyeight.com - 12/3/2008

Saxby Shows Republicans The Way Forward?

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I tend to think that we should not be too dismissive of Saxby Chambliss's win in Georgia tonight. Although the outcome was expected, and although runoffs and special elections sometimes behave in idiosyncratic ways, moving from a 3-point margin of victory on November 4 to a 15-point margin of ...

Blog Reactions

Blogometer:  12/3: The GOP Comeback Begins?

QandO:  What Does the Chambliss Victory Really Mean?

Daily Kos:  GA-Sen: The GOP is back, baby! (Or something)

The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan:  The GOP Rebounds?

Open Left - Front Page:  A Way Forward For Republicans

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12/3: The GOP Comeback Begins?
Blogometer — ... 's Chris Bowers , on the other hand, is upset by the loss: "Damn. Much now rests on Minnesota, including the Employee Free Choice Act." FiveThirtyEight 's Nate Silver argues that Chambliss embraced a centrist message that resonated with the electorate: "I tend to think that we should not be too dismissive of Saxby Chambliss's win in Georgia tonight. Although the outcome was expected, and although runoffs and special elections sometimes behave in idiosyncratic ways, moving from a 3-point margin of victory on November 4 to a 15-point margin of victory a month later is a ...

What Does the Chambliss Victory Really Mean?
QandO — ... some intelligent analysis about what it means in the big picture. Referring to Nate Silver’s look at the numbers, Bowers highlights some concerns for Democrats: ...

GA-Sen: The GOP is back, baby! (Or something)
Daily Kos — ... Nate Silver thinks Chambliss' victory may point a way forward for the GOP, but special elections are funny beasts, and it's not worth reading too much into them. Remember when winning tough early-2004 special elections in South Dakota (Stephanie Herseth) and Kentucky (Ben Chandler) meant things were looking up for us for November 2004? Remember how the GOP's strong performance in the Massachusetts 5th 2007 special election meant they were bouncing back from their 2006 drubbing? ...

The GOP Rebounds?
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — Nate Silver analyzes Chambliss's victory: ...while proportionately lower black turnout tells part of the story, Chambliss also appeared to gain with white voters. In certain ways, this is an awkward time for a Democrat to be running for office. On the one hand, with the imminent end of George W. Bush's term in office, and the fact that Barack Obama has effectively been serving as shadow present -- Obama is generating between two and three times as much news coverage as Bush according to Google traffic metrics -- it has already ...

A Way Forward For Republicans
Open Left - Front Page — Looking through recaps of last night's defeat in the Georgia Senate election, I agree with a lot of what Matt, Kos and Nate Silver have written. Matt argues that it the country hasn't shifted so far to the left that a progressive has a decent shot in a statewide election in Georgia. Rather, we all knew it was always a longshot campaign, and people didn't want to invest in such a difficult election both after big wins in November and with so much other positive news for Democrats. Even Obama didn't invest himself too strongly, not wanting to risk political ...