fivethirtyeight.com - 10/28/2008
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Our projection models are designed to be fairly dynamic -- but you don't usually have the circumstance wherein a sitting senator gets convicted on seven felony counts (appeal pending!) eight days before an election. So, a little bit of creativity is going to be required. Once we have ...
adn.com - 10/27/2008
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adn.com —
WASHINGTON - A jury has found U.S. Sen.
Ted Stevens guilty of all seven counts of lying...
on his financial disclosure forms. It is the highest-profile felony conviction in a sweeping four-year federal investigation into corruption in Alaska politics, ...
(more)
Jury finds Stevens guilty of lying about gifts: Sen. Ted ...
politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com - 10/27/2008
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politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com —
(CNN) — Sarah Palin said Monday Sen. Ted
Stevens' guilty verdict "is a sad day for Alaska."...
"This is a sad day for Alaska and a sad day for Senator Stevens and his family," she said on the tarmac at Richmond International Airport. "The verdict ...
(more)
Stevens verdict: Palin reacts
thehill.com - 10/27/2008
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thehill.com —
The Senate's chief GOP campaign strategist cut Sen.
Ted Stevens loose Monday after the Alaska Republican was...
convicted in his corruption trial. In a strongly worded statement, Sen. John Ensign (R-Nev.), head of the National Republican Senatorial ...
(more)
Ensign: Stevens's career ends in 'disgrace'
Comments
Blog Reactions
The Party's Over (Him)
Opinionator —
... long - too addicted to the pork barrel, too fast and loose with ethics. Stevens’ conviction in federal court today is the exclamation point on an era in Republican politics in general and Alaska politics in particular that needs to end (and which Gov. Sarah Palin has been battling to clean up). Republicans need to clean our own house.” The final indignity for the senator, of course, would be to lose his seat — is it really possible he won’t? Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com does the math : The closest recent parallel I can find to the Ted Stevens situation is that of ...
Nate Silver Says: Hulk Smashed Toobz Worth -6 Points
Firedoglake —
...
graphic by twolf
FiveThirtyEight:
Let's assume that Stevens will also suffer a decline in his net approval score of 18 points. Since he's at roughly 50/50 now, that would put him in the range of 40 percent approve, 60 percent ...
The Daily Blue America Report-- #8
DownWithTyranny! —
... . In fact, as long as he isn't sentenced before Tuesday, he can even vote for himself! And he'll need every vote he can muster. "Like most people, I'm not perfect," Stevens told a throng of adoring recipients of wealth from the Lower 48 spread around through Stevens' earmarks. ...
Related Content
Will Dems get a brake-free Senate?
swamppolitics.com 10/23/2008 — by Frank James
One of the biggest question marks right now about what will happen on Election Day is whether Democrats will gain a filibuster-proof Senate by reaching 60 votes.
The filibuster, of course, is the way that the Senate minority can ...
Editors: Republican Conviction
article.nationalreview.com 10/29/2008 — The Republican party only has itself to blame for being in the unenviable position of depending upon the good name of Ted Stevens.
Anchorage rally welcomes Stevens
adn.com 10/30/2008 — Sen. Ted Stevens returned to Alaska on Wednesday for the first time since his conviction, telling a crowd of supporters he made a mistake but is not a criminal and needs their help to save his re-election.
Senate Projections, 10/31
fivethirtyeight.com 10/31/2008 — We are beginning to get a much clearer idea of where the action is going to be on Election Day. Although the Democrats are on the verge of wrapping up several pickups, their chances of earning a 60th seat have somewhat declined. Democrats were ...
Stevens Convicted On All Counts
huffingtonpost.com 10/27/2008 — WASHINGTON — Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens was convicted of seven corruption charges Monday in a trial that tainted the 40-year Senate career of Alaska's political patriarch.
The verdict, coming just days before Election Day, adds further ...
Stevens guilty on 7 counts, won't quit Senate race - Yahoo! News
news.yahoo.com 10/27/2008 — WASHINGTON Ted Stevens , a pillar of the Senate for 40 years and the face of Alaska politics almost since statehood, was convicted of a seven-felony string of corruption charges Monday found guilty of accepting a bonanza of home renovations and ...
Senate Projections, 10/14
fivethirtyeight.com 10/14/2008 — The Democrats appear to have nearly as much momentum in the race for Capitol Hill as they do for the White House, and now have approximately a 3 in 10 chance of winding up with a 60-seat working majority in the Senate. Noteworthy movement since our ...
Stevens Pollster: Race Is Over, Begich Will Win
huffingtonpost.com 11/13/2008 — Alaska-based GOP pollster David Dittman, who worked for Sen. Ted Stevens during this year's primary race, believes Democratic challenger Mark Begich is all but certain to expand his current razor-thin lead and snatch the seat.
"I don't think ...
Stevens found guilty —
First Read 10/28/2008
The Washington Post writes, “Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska, one of Congress's most powerful Republicans, was convicted yesterday of lying on financial disclosure forms to conceal his receipt of gifts and expensive renovations to his house, just ...
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