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fivethirtyeight.com - 8/21/2008

The Case for Hillary

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A (very smart) reader writes in: There is another important strategic implication of choosing Hillary Clinton now. Three of the worries/concerns that people had about Clinton would be that she would fire up the Republican anti-Clinton machines, in times of both money and energy as well as do the thing that John McCain couldn't do--unite the Republican party. Well, we can draw at least ...

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8/21: Turning A Corner?
Blogometer — ... and Nate Silver , [are] making the late case for Clinton as the game-changer Obama needs (Gergen also mentions [Al] Gore ). They are both right but, what Obama has been personally told by [ex-SD Sen.] Tom Daschle is to pick someone whom is an ally, someone whom he already trusts, on his side from the get-go -- and not have to build it with the VP choice going forward. No offense to David & Nate, but I think Obama's listening to Tom on his VP choice. Other than Clinton or Gore, there is one other game-changer out there: John Kerry. I know that will raise the ire of many ...

Clinton As Veep
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — Nate Silver makes the case. Bill Schneider is on board.

Pick Her
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan — Nate Silver makes one last pitch: If Obama picks Clinton, the Republicans are likely to overplay their hand. One thing that Obama has not really been able to do is to generate some organic level of backlash when he is attacked. This is separate and distinct from the notion of "fighting back"; it is voters stepping in and refereeing the match themselves. Voters recognize that McCain has gone negative but they aren't really punishing him for it -- his favorables haven't moved at all. Why not?  ...

Hillary Clinton
Open Left - Front Page — ... 7. There's no time left for McCain to raise "scary Hillary Clinton" money for his campaign because he switches to public financing in 13 days. The RNC can raise money this way but then again, Hill and Bill are pretty good fundraisers who would free Obama from those duties for the fall. ...