blogs.chron.com - 11/6/2008
—
The Pew Research Center and Rasmussen Reports were the most accurate in predicting the results of the 2008 election, according to a new analysis by Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos. The Fordham analysis ranks 23 survey research organizations on...
pollster.com - 11/4/2008
—
pollster.com —
@ Observer - As with any intercept research,
interviewers are supposed to follow strict guidelines about sampling,...
usually every "n-th" person during particular time frames. What we notice in consumer research (and I can't imagine is any different in ...
(more)
Looking for Presidential Exit Polls?
online.wsj.com - 11/5/2008
campaignspot.nationalreview.com - 11/4/2008
—
campaignspot.nationalreview.com —
Gawker has the first round of state exit
poll numbers. I know I said I was going...
to be skeptical either way, but looks like we're in for a late night.... . . .
(more)
Exit Polls Are Out. Don't Celebrate Yet.
Comments
Blog Reactions
Which presidential polls were most accurate?
Democratic Underground Latest Breaking News —
... (10/31-11/2)* 6T. ARG (10/25-27)* 8T. CNN (10/30-11/1) 8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1) 10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3) 11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27) 12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2) 13. FOX (11/1-2) 14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27) 15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3) 16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2) 17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2) 18. Marist College (11/3) 19. CBS (10/31-11/2) 20. Gallup (10/31-11/2) 21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3) 22. CBS/Times (10/25-29) 23. Newsweek (10/22-23) Read more: http://blogs.chron.com/txpotomac/2008/11/the_list_which...
Accuracy of Presidential Polls
Sound Politics —
Accuracy of Presidential Polls The results are in . Conservatives will not be surprised to see Zogby, CBS/ New York Times , and Newsweek bringing up the rear in accuracy. Indeed, polls sponsored by media organizations fared worse than the independent pollsters. Likewise, conservatives will not be surprised to see that Rasmussen tied for first - along with Pew, in a bit of a surprise. Other notables: Gallup under-performed its regular reputation of being close to the money in their final surveys. The bi-partisan GWU/Battleground poll gets points for consistency (they were also ...
Related Content
Are the Polls Accurate?
online.wsj.com 10/22/2008 — Can we trust the polls this year? That's a question many people have been asking as we approach the end of this long, long presidential campaign. As a recovering pollster and continuing poll consumer, my answer is yes -- with qualifications. To start ...
How Accurate are the 2008 Polls?
theneweditor.com 10/22/2008 — D. J. Drummond writes , "The polls are wrong this year, very wrong." (via Instapundit )
I believe that Obama is leading McCain right now, but, like others, I question the purported margin of the lead.
For supporting evidence, examine the ...
Polls, Polls
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com 10/24/2008 — If you read Drudge, you might believe that there's a one-point gap between Obama and McCain, and it's neck and neck in the final stretch. If you read 538, you find that McCain's chances of winning this election just shrank dramatically to 3.7 percent ...
A Note on the Polls
realclearpolitics.com 10/24/2008 — I've received several emails from people asking about the polls. The national polls do seem pretty variable, so I thought I would toss in my two cents on them. First, we need a short primer on basic statistics. Real Clear...
McCain Obama ‘Exit Polls’
military.rightpundits.com 11/3/2008 — Here is your thread for McCain-Obama exit polls and election results for the general election between Barack Obama and John McCain 2008. We will live-blog throughout the day on November 4, 2008, bringing you any glimpses into the exit polls for the presidential race that become available. Use ...
Polls:
volokh.com 11/3/2008 — Today's polls released so far show everything from a 47-45% Obama lead (well within the margin of error), with 8% undecided, in the TIPP poll, to a 52-43-5 result in the...
TippOnline.com - Welcome to America's Most Accurate Pollster
tipponline.com 10/18/2008 — TIPP Election Watch 2008 Daily Tracking by the Nation's Most Accurate Pollster! Sign Up for Our Daily Tracking Reports Today! Results of TIPP's Election 2008 Tracking Poll Beginning October 13th, TIPP began publishing the results of its 2008 ...
Exit Polls 2008: See The Full Results
huffingtonpost.com 11/4/2008 — In a matter of hours, you are going to start hearing talk of exit polls. We are going to post them ourselves, right here, in this entry.
But, before you get ahead of yourself, there's a question that needs to be asked: Should you trust the exit ...
2008 Polls Versus 2004 Polls
yglesias.thinkprogress.org 11/3/2008 — Something funny happened in 2004 where a lot of progressives convinced themselves near the end that John Kerry was likely to win the election even though he was narrowly behind in the polls. Then a lot of people have gone and misremembered that as ...
About the Polls
minx.cc 10/29/2008 — The Bradley Effect is merely a subset of the "socially desirable answer" phenomenon. People tend to tell pollsters the socially desirable answer. Here's one simple example: When a pollster is asking if someone is a likely voter, and if they've...
Obama Team Shifts to Transition Mode —
Wash Post Elections 11/6/2008
A day after winning a historic victory that will make him the first black president in the nation's history, Barack Obama remained largely out of public view yesterday while his aides announced the first details of an ambitious plan for the transfer ...
Follow BeltwayBlips on Twitter
