marcambinder.theatlantic.com - 10/29/2008
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So -- here's what seems to be happening nationally. Nationally, John McCain seems to be gaining an eensy bit of traction among Republican base voters and conservative leaning independents. A dew drips worth of white men here, a few drips among rural voters. I write "seems to" because there's ...
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/29/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
Stop me if you've heard this one before.
Although the national trackers look slightly stronger for John...
McCain than they did a couple days ago, Barack Obama once again had an exceptionally good day in the state-level numbers. To review the national ...
(more)
Today's Polls, 10/28
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/28/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
There is a lot of discussion going on
about whether the national race is tightening; our model...
concludes that it is not. But what would meaningful 'tightening' look like in terms of the Electoral College? Let me be oddly specific here. In order to ...
(more)
What Would 'Tightening' Look Like?
fivethirtyeight.com - 10/27/2008
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fivethirtyeight.com —
While there are a few surprises here and
there, once again the theme of today's polls is...
stability in the race for the White House. John McCain narrowed his gap significantly in today's Zogby tracking poll, drawing from 9.5 points behind to 5.3. As ...
(more)
Today's Polls, 10/26
Comments
Blog Reactions
She's Tight, She's Ahead of Her Time
Hit & Run —
There are six days left until the election. Tomorrow, Barack Obama tries to own the headlines with a 30-minute 8 p.m. ad/address/fireside chat/colon cleansing commercial. (We don't know what's in it yet.) We don't know what happens on Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, but we know that they're the last days we have to listen to Obama and McCain before we spend four (or eight!) years listening to just one of them. Marc Ambinder sums up the current McCain message—He can still win!—and provides some contrary evidence. I'll simply note again ...
Around The Campaign 2008 Sphere
The Moderate Voice —
... Oh, Those Madcap Political Polls: They are tightening and not tightening. It all depends on the “spin” but even that depends on what you think “spin is” and whether spin is being spun… ...
Related Content
: About That Tightening
mydd.com 10/28/2008 — Re: About That Tightening ( none / 0 ) Thing is, though, following these ebbs and flows as meaningful for the future is the same principle as technical chart analysis for the stock market. It encompasses all psychology, all thought, all emotion, ...
Race Tightening? Where?
3bluedudes.com 10/20/2008 — There have been alot of news media and blogs reporting the Presidential race is tightening. Even Barack Obama said he ‘expects’ the race to tighten. Latest national polling though paints a different picture. The race appears to be slightly widening again, after some minor tightening last week. ...
Fox/Rasmussen battleground polls: Tightening
hotair.com 11/4/2008 — Allahpundit covered the national polling from Fox and Rasmussen in his earlier post, and now a somewhat contradictory set of numbers have come out of the battleground states. The state polls show some hope for McCain yet in the states he needs to ...
Waiting For The Tightening
andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com 10/27/2008 — Mark Blumenthal : Trends are what I concentrate on in these morning summaries, and for the last two weeks we have seen little evidence of an erosion in Barack Obama's lead. If anything Obama's position today -- in both the national and state level ...
The Slow Tightening Of The Race
strata-sphere.com 10/19/2008 — With two plus weeks to go before voting things might finally be turning John McCain's way. I have predicted this race would go down to the decisions made by voters on election day, and that seems to be the case. However, I am not overly confident at ...
CNN Poll: Race may be tightening
politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com 10/20/2008 — Obama has a 5 point lead over McCain in the latest CNN poll.
WASHINGTON (CNN) — With two weeks and one day until election day, a new national poll of likely voters suggests the race for the White House may be tightening up.
In a CNN/Opinion ...
With the race supposedly tightening, McCain guarantees victory
the-reaction.blogspot.com 10/27/2008 — By Michael J.W. Stickings With the race apparently tightening, McCain was on Meet the Press this morning. Among other things, he... guaranteed victory ? Here's what he said: "I guarantee you that two weeks from now, you will see this has been ...
Palin sees polls tightening in closing days
politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com 10/24/2008 — SPRINGFIELD, Missouri (CNN) — Perched on a stage in a chilly parking lot outside a Bass Pro Shops store in Springfield, Missouri, Sarah Palin promised a crowd of bundled up supporters Friday that the presidential race is tightening in these ...
Today's Polls, 11/2: Afternoon Edition
fivethirtyeight.com 11/2/2008 — Polls conducted since our update last evening suggest some tightening toward John McCain, but he sits well behind both nationwide and in many key battleground states and remains a long-shot to win the election. The good news for McCain? SurveyUSA has ...
The Polls - 10/18
talkleft.com 10/18/2008 — Tightening from double digit leads, Barack Obama still holds significant leads in most tracking polls. This could be a function of the volatility of these polls or a genuine (and predictable) tightening of the race. DKos/R2000 has Obama by 7, ...
Accuracy Of Polls a Question In Itself —
Wash Post Elections 10/29/2008
Could the polls be wrong? Sen. John McCain and his allies say that they are. The country, they say, could be headed to a 2008 version of the famous 1948 upset election, with McCain in the role of Harry S. Truman and Sen. Barack Obama as Thomas E. ...