fivethirtyeight.com - 10/29/2008
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Earlier tonight , I suggested that there were in fact proportionately more undecideds among white voters than black voters, as the McCain campaign claimed today . This was based mostly on a recollection of numbers that I'd looked at several weeks ago when the fraction of undecideds was higher. ...
huffingtonpost.com - 10/28/2008
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huffingtonpost.com —
The latest guilt-by-association target that the McCain campaign
is using to hit Barack Obama could carry some...
collateral damage for its own candidate. As Politico's Ben Smith reported on Tuesday, the McCain campaign is demanding that the Los ...
(more)
McCain Funded Work Of Palestinian His Campaign Hopes To ...
rasmussenreports.com - 10/29/2008
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rasmussenreports.com —
After several weeks of John McCain’s campaign attacks
on Barack Obama’s tax plan and idea of “spreading...
the wealth around”, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds voters trust McCain more than Obama on taxes, 47% to 45%. Two ...
(more)
McCain Trusted More on Taxes and Economy
realclearpolitics.com - 10/29/2008
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realclearpolitics.com —
If current survey trends continue, Obama will finish
with less than 50 percent in the polls. Even...
discounting the Nader vote (some people never learn), the undecided voters could tip the race either way. How will they break? Since there is no ...
(more)
Undecideds Should Break for McCain
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Undecideds
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
Nate Silver crunches the numbers: Long story short ... given optimistic assumptions (McCain wins 2/3 of white undecideds, 100 percent of third-party support collapses), the undecided vote is worth a net of about a point for McCain. Given what I'd consider to be more neutral assumptions, there's no particular reason to think that the undecided vote favors him. Aw, go tell that to the real journalists at Fox News. ...
Remainders: Hide the berry
Ben Smith's Blog —
... youth, and Hispanics don't meet projections in Nevada early voting.
Libertarians reveal their choices.
Pay-per-view: Jewish World Review offers cash for the Los Angeles Times Khalidi tape.
Jeffrey Goldberg wonders why they don't release it, and suggests that it could drive traffic. [The explanation, that it was a promise to a source, seems pretty solid to us.]
Elizabeth Dole calls her opponent godless.
Nate Silver doesn't think undecideds give McCain that much of an advantage.
A ...
What the hell is going on?
The Reaction —
... noted, though -- and he does this on a daily basis -- "Obama once again had an exceptionally good day in the state-level numbers" yesterday. Even the national polls were pretty much even, some moving to McCain, some moving to Obama, some remaining flat. Nate also suggests that the undecideds could "split essentially evenly," given that they're not all white Republicans. ...
Election’s Coming Down To “The Wire”
Firedoglake —
... Jim Slattery, for KS Senate because they "concluded that Roberts should be held accountable for his deep involvement in disastrous intelligence decisions." Good on them!
-- More voting problems in Florida? And continued questions about problems in WV. (Where, incidentally, as of Saturday more than 67,000 voters had already cast early ballots.)
-- Michael Scherer publishes a leaked internal McCain campaign sunshine memo. And Nate calls bullshit on it.
-- Real world perspectives on the economy. Great series. ...
10/30 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 50, McCain 45
Daily Kos —
... to break 50% for McCain and 50% for Obama. As even as it gets. There is no evidence here of a large bias towards McCain that is hidden within the undecided respondents. Nor is there evidence of a pronounced racial bias among these undecided voters as compared to the public at large. Among the undecided 27% strongly agree and 32% somewhat agree on the "black excuse" item. For the public as a whole 26% and 32% give the corresponding responses. Here's Nate Silver: Long story short ... given optimistic assumptions (McCain wins 2/3 ...
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Those "undecideds" are for McCain
salon.com 10/27/2008 — Oct. 27, 2008 | As his campaign manager has described it, John McCain is now looking at a "narrow-victory scenario." "The fact that we're in the race at all," added Steve Schmidt, "is a miracle. Because the environment is so bad and the head wind is ...
Undecideds Laughing At, Not With, McCain
time-blog.com 10/16/2008 — From TIME's Amy Sullivan:
In politics it is generally not considered a good sign when voters are laughing at you, not with you. And by the end of the third and last presidential debate, the undecided voters who had gathered in Denver for Democratic ...
McToast
americablog.com 10/16/2008 — FL – St. Petersburg Times (Editorial) "McCain's last offensive:" On the same day a new poll showed that voters' confidence in the federal government has reached an all-time low, Obama spoke with a reassuring confidence…But when the questioning turned ...
More Good News
balloon-juice.com 10/21/2008 — For John McCain :
As voters have gotten to know Senator Barack Obama, they have warmed up to him, with more than half, 53 percent, now saying they have a favorable impression of him and 33 percent saying they have an unfavorable view. But as ...
McCain On Meet The Press: "I Believe I'm Going To Win"
tag:www.huffingtonpost.com,2008: 10/26/2008 — Republican John McCain on Sunday dismissed the sour poll numbers that show him trailing in his White House race against Democrat Barack Obama and said his campaign is "doing fine."
Interviewed on NBC's "Meet the Press," the Arizona senator said he has pulled closer to Obama.
Watch:
...
Stephanopoulos: Is There Anything McCain Can Do?
blogs.abcnews.com 10/15/2008 — ABC News' George Stephanopoulos reports: Going into tonight's third and final presidential debate Barack Obama leads John McCain 53 to 39 percent in support nationally, according to the latest CBS News/New York Times poll. Among independent voters -- ...
How McCain lost me.
althouse.blogspot.com 11/9/2008 — As promised , I'm mining my archive -- beginning in late August -- to try to understand how I turned against John McCain. August 25: "Nicely done. I'm glad to see the return of the light touch," I say about an Obama ad that uses the song "What a ...
Final Debate, Final Analysis
commentsfromleftfield.com 10/16/2008 — Last night Senator John McCain and Senator Barack Obama shared a stage for what is most likely the last time during this presidential election season. It was the last best chance for McCain to force a game changer to save his flagging campaign, ...
Who Do You Believe?
talkingpointsmemo.com 10/25/2008 — The McCain camp is denying that it was a campaign spokesperson who told local TV reporters in Pittsburgh that the "B" supposedly scrawled on the face of a young McCain campaign worker was a reference to "Barack" Obama, angrily carved into her face ...
Will has no use for McCain
washingtonmonthly.com 10/30/2008 — WILL HAS NO USE FOR MCCAIN.... It's probably fair to say conservative columnist George Will has been thoroughly unimpressed by John McCain of late. He's blasted McCain for "behaving like a flustered rookie playing in a league too high." Will...
New president unlikely to attend financial summit —
Reuters: Politics 10/29/2008
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration said on Wednesday it does not expect the winner of the November 4 U.S. presidential election, whether Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain, to attend the summit on the financial crisis on ...
Palin keeps up the hits —
First Read 10/29/2008
From NBC/NJ's Matthew Berger BOWLING GREEN, Ohio -- At an event where Palin was joined by Joe the Plumber, the Republican vice-presidential candidate took up her running mate's attacks against Obama and the media Wednesday. She suggested, as ...
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