fivethirtyeight.com - 10/17/2008
—
With seven different daily tracking polls to work with -- one of which releases three separate versions of its model each day -- there is a lot to choose from for those who might seek to cherry-pick results. Slow news day, Matt? If this is a two-point race right now, I'll eat Drudge's fedora. ...
time-blog.com - 10/16/2008
—
time-blog.com —
From TIME's Amy Sullivan: In politics it is
generally not considered a good sign when voters are...
laughing at you, not with you. And by the end of the third and last presidential debate, the undecided voters who had gathered in Denver for Democratic ...
(more)
Undecideds Laughing At, Not With, McCain
corner.nationalreview.com - 10/16/2008
—
corner.nationalreview.com —
John McCain was on tonight-sharp, confident, and powerful.
I think he won this debate, although only on...
points. True, McCain needed something more than a narrow win, but I still think he did himself some good. On the other hand, even when Obama is on ...
(more)
What Joe Doesn't Know
article.nationalreview.com - 10/16/2008
Comments
Blog Reactions
Breaking
The Daily Dish | By Andrew Sullivan —
... Drudge discovers the old Gallup model and breaks out the red font!!!. It's going to be a drama-filled two weeks, isn't it? Nothing a nice glass of Merlot and a Xanax can't help with, though. ...
10/17 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 52, McCain 42
Daily Kos —
... an improvement in McCain's numbers, Obama has been at 50 or more since 9/29 (see top graph). As Tuesday's number drops off tomorrow, the topline number should tighten. Zogby (the other early AM poll) shows no such improvement. Don't look at the change in the lead (OMG! 5 instead of 6 point lead!) Look at the range of Obama numbers (49-52) and McCain numbers (41-46), which remain unchanged. IBD/TIPP remains odd man out(lier) with Obama at 45. Nate has more: Our model, indeed -- crunching all of this data along with ...
MORNING READ
News —
... , who admits that Obama could have the advantage because of new voters. The Drudge Report, however, seems to be cherry-picking its results, as every other poll shows larger Obama leads, including the Gallup survey that uses an updated likely voter model, writes FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver . The Washington Post's ...
Everyone's Wrong But Drudge
Crooks and Liars —
... This headline of a mad man doesn't link to anything, it just sits there like something rapped out on the keyboard out of frustration. It seems like Drudge is implying that everyone is wrong but him. Perhaps he is upset that the media didn't take his lead and report on the unreliable poll he posted a couple of weeks ago showing Obama with only a two point lead. Maybe he is just trying to steer away attention from the story turned hoax that he pushed so hard last week ...
Related Content
Today's Polls, 10/26
fivethirtyeight.com 10/27/2008 — While there are a few surprises here and there, once again the theme of today's polls is stability in the race for the White House. John McCain narrowed his gap significantly in today's Zogby tracking poll, drawing from 9.5 points behind to 5.3. As ...
Today's Polls, 10/29
fivethirtyeight.com 10/30/2008 — We're getting to you a little bit late tonight, so let's keep this short and to the point... With no fewer than 45 polls released since our last update, covering essentially all of the major swing states, we have a pretty good idea of where this ...
Today's Polls, 10/14
fivethirtyeight.com 10/15/2008 — Perhaps the CBS poll that shows Barack Obama with a 14-point lead among likely voters (12 points when third-party candidates are included) is a modest outlier. But if so, John McCain has more and more outliers that he has to explain away these days. ...
Today's Polls, 10/21
fivethirtyeight.com 10/22/2008 — After some incremental improvements by John McCain over the course of the past week, we are now looking once again a handful of polls showing Barack Obama with a double-digit lead -- most dramatically his 14-point advantage in the latest Pew poll . ...
Today's Polls, 10/19
fivethirtyeight.com 10/20/2008 — Well, scratch West Virginia from the swing state list for the time being. Both Public Policy Polling and Mason-Dixon have new polling out in the state, and they give John McCain leads of 8 and 6 points respectively. It's possible that this is one of ...
Today's Polls, 10/20
fivethirtyeight.com 10/22/2008 — It's been a confusing day of polling -- one of those where I'm happy to have a computer handy to do my dirty work for me. The trend over the past 7-10 days remains slightly toward McCain. It is difficult to pinpoint, however, just where the movement ...
Today's Polls, 10/27
fivethirtyeight.com 10/28/2008 — John McCain is making no progress in his pursuit of the White House. Our model now projects Barack Obama to win 351 electoral votes to John McCain's 187, and to win the Electoral College 96.7 percent of the time to McCain's 3.3 percent. Both numbers ...
Today's Polls, 10/31
fivethirtyeight.com 11/1/2008 — Is Pennsylvania John McCain's last, best hope? Perhaps it is. But that speaks as much to McCain's problems elsewhere on the map as any success he has had in the Keystone State. Pennsylvania does seem to be narrowing a bit: the Muhlenberg / Morning ...
Today's Polls, 10/28
fivethirtyeight.com 10/29/2008 — Stop me if you've heard this one before. Although the national trackers look slightly stronger for John McCain than they did a couple days ago, Barack Obama once again had an exceptionally good day in the state-level numbers. To review the national ...
Today's Polls, 10/25
fivethirtyeight.com 10/26/2008 — With fewer than ten days to go until the election, John McCain is another day older and deeper in the polls.: It is hard to find any trend at all at the national level, although Barack Obama's position improved has incrementally in a couple of the ...
Obama warns against overconfidence —
Reuters: Politics 10/17/2008
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama warned his supporters to guard against overconfidence on Thursday as he and underdog Republican rival John McCain opened a 19-day sprint to Election Day.
Follow BeltwayBlips on Twitter
